Looking to win big? The Cougars and Bears face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears are hosting the game at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 154 points, with the Bears being the favored team playing at home against the Cougars.


The Pick: Baylor Bears -4

This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, January 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-65 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Baylor pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Cougars Offense Score Enough in Waco?

BYU is coming off a 71-60 loss to Cincinnati and has gone 3-2 in their last five road games. So far this season, the Cougars have gone 2-1 on the road, and their average scoring margin is +17.7 points per game.

Overall, BYU has gone 12-2, and they are 12-1 in non-conference games. As the underdog, the Cougars have yet to play a game this season, and they are 12-2 when favored.

BYU has been solid vs. the spread this season with an 11-3 record. Their road ATS mark is 2-1 and they have gone 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Cougars are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for BYU games is 5-9 and today's line of 154 is higher than the average OU line in their games of 151.7. So far, 9 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the BYU offense ended with 60 points against Cincinnati. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 32.8% and made 13 threes. Trevin Knell led the scoring for the Cougars, contributing 27 points. Additionally, Dallin Hall chipped in with 10 points.

BYU's defense has been playing well, ranking 15th nationally, with 62.2 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.2 threes per game vs. Baylor. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 26.6%.

Can the Bears Lock in a Home Win?

After picking up a 75-70 win over Oklahoma State, the Baylor Bears will look to extend their win streak to four games. So far this season, Baylor has gone 12-2, including a perfect 9-0 record at home. The Bears have also been the favorite in 11 of their 14 games, going 10-1 in those contests.

On the other hand, BYU comes in as the underdog, as Baylor is favored by four points. Through 14 games, the Bears have an average scoring margin of +27.6 points per game at home, compared to -2.8 on the road. In Big 12 play, Baylor is 1-0, while they have gone 11-2 in non-conference action.

As the favorite this season, Baylor has gone 8-3 vs. the spread. At home, they have an ATS mark of 8-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 8-2 vs. the spread.

On the season, Baylor's over/under record is 8-5 and today's line of 154 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (150). So far, they've had more games finish with less points than today's line (6) than games with more points (7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.

In contrast to their season average of 88.1 points per game, the Baylor had a below average performance. They scored 75 points against Oklahoma State and had a field goal percentage of 42.5%. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 51%, which is 16th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 29th in percentage and 40th in three-pointers made.

The Bears' defense is presently ranked 125th nationally, allowing an average of 69.4 points per contest. In today's game, the Baylor defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 4 three-pointers while giving up 70 points.