Planning on watching today's Bulls and Falcons game? Catch the action at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH, as the Falcons hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 149.5 points, and Bowling Green is favored by -12.5 to win at home against Buffalo.

BUFFALO BULLS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Bulls +12.5

This game will be played at Stroh Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 6th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO BULLS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Even though we have Bowling Green winning straight-up, we like Buffalo at +12.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Bulls Pull the Upset on the Road?

Buffalo is coming off a 83-52 loss to Kent State, and the Bulls have lost eight straight games. They are 2-19 overall, including a 1-8 record in Mid-American Conference play. On the road, Buffalo is 1-8 this season.

So far, the Bulls have been the underdog in 16 of their 21 games, going 1-15 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is -9.9 points per game, and they are currently on a four-game losing streak away from home.

Buffalo's ATS record this season is just 6-14, but they have fared much better vs. the spread on the road, going 6-3. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulls are 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Buffalo games is 7-12-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 145.2 points. Today's over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (146.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line.

Most recently, the Buffalo offense finished with just 52 points vs. Kent State. For the game, they hit 6/28 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 32.1%. Leading Buffalo in scoring vs. Kent State was Isaiah Adams with his 12 points. Sy Chatman also added 12 points for the Bulls.

Currently, the Bulls' defense holds the 309th rank in the nation, allowing 80.0 points per game. Against Kent State in their most recent game, the Buffalo defense gave up a total of 83 points while allowing Kent State to hit 32% of their shots.

Do the Falcons Have a Shot at a Home Win?

At home this season, Bowling Green is 9-4, and they are 9-3 when favored. They are coming off a loss to Central Michigan, 77-76, and their record this season is 15-7. So far in Mid-American Conference play, the Falcons are 6-4, and they are 4-3 on the road.

Over their last 10 games at home, Bowling Green has gone 8-2, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +6.7. For the year, they have a scoring differential of +3.3 points per game. Currently, they are favored by 12.5 points, and their average scoring margin on the road is -3.4.

As the favorite this season, Bowling Green has a 5-7 record vs. the spread, and they have gone 4-5 ATS in their last 10 home games. Overall, the Falcons are 6-7 vs. the spread at home this year, and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three games at home. In their last 10 games as the favorite, Bowling Green has a 3-7 ATS mark.

So far this season, the over/under record for Bowling Green games is 14-6. Today's over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points.

In their most recent game, the Falcons' offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.7 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Marcus Hill who comes into today's matchup averaging 21.2. Rashaun Agee also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.7.

Currently, the Falcons' defense holds the 165th rank in the nation, allowing 72.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Bowling Green's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.4% this season.