Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 12/15/24

The Lions are favored at -1.5 as they host the Bills at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions’ money line odds are -129, and the over/under line is set at 55 points. Buffalo’s record is not included, and the Lions’ record is also missing. The non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS.

BUFFALO BILLS VS DETROIT LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Bills +1.5

This game will be played at Ford Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:

  • We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 29 to 22
  • Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 55 points

Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Despite a 25-point win over the 49ers in week 13, the Bills couldn’t keep their momentum going, falling 44-42 to the Rams in week 14. Buffalo entered the game as 3.5-point favorites but couldn’t hold on for the win. The two teams combined for 86 points, easily surpassing the 50-point O/U line.

Heading into week 15, the Bills are 10-3, putting them 2nd in our NFL power rankings. They have a +9.9 scoring margin and are 8-5 against the spread. Buffalo has already locked up the AFC East and has a 100% chance of making the playoffs.

Josh Allen has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 117 in week 14, with 342 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Rams. He also rushed for 82 yards and 3 touchdowns on 10 carries. Khalil Shakir led the Bills in receiving with 5 catches for 106 yards.

Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.5, and they are 10th in total yards per game with 355. They are 8th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate at 43.4% and 28th in red zone conversion percentage.

In their 44-42 loss to the Rams, Buffalo’s defense struggled to get off the field, as the Rams converted on 73.3% of their third down attempts. The Bills allowed 320 yards through the air on 23 completions, with the Rams averaging 10.7 yards per passing attempt. Overall, Buffalo gave up 457 total yards, with 137 of those coming on the ground. The Rams ran the ball 42 times and averaged 3.3 yards per attempt.

Buffalo’s defense failed to record a sack in the game and allowed the Rams to complete 76.7% of their passes. Additionally, the Bills gave up two passing touchdowns. Despite a couple of positive stats in the trenches, such as a +2 advantage in QB hits, the Bills couldn’t slow down the Rams’ high-powered offense.

Will The Lions Win At Home Over The Bills?

Detroit’s 12-1 record puts them atop our NFL power rankings heading into week 15. The Lions have now won 11 straight games, including a 34-31 victory over the Packers in week 14. This win improved their division record to 4-0, and they are 8-1 against NFC opponents. Our projections give Detroit a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 89% chance of winning the NFC North.

So far, the Lions have an average scoring margin of +14.1 points per game and are 9-3-1 against the spread. They are 8-3-1 ATS as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-6-1, with their games averaging 50.1 points per game.

Heading into week 15, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in points per game (32.1) and are 2nd in yards per game (394.8). Despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts, they are 4th in passing yards per game (243.8). Detroit is also 4th in rushing yards per game (151.1) on 32.5 attempts per game. They rank 4th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and lead the league in red zone attempts, though they are 29th in conversion percentage.

Jared Goff threw for 283 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14, completing 32 of 41 passes with 1 interception. David Montgomery had 51 rushing yards and a touchdown on 14 carries, while Jameson Williams led the receivers with 5 catches for 80 yards. Detroit scored in every quarter against the Packers, putting up 10 points in the 2nd and 4th quarters.

In their 34-31 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense allowed just 199 passing yards on 12 completions. Green Bay managed only a 20% conversion rate on third down and 1 touchdown through the air. Detroit defended the run well, allowing just 99 yards on 24 attempts.

The Lions’ defense also pressured the quarterback, with 4 more QB hits than Green Bay, but they only managed 1 sack. Despite giving up 298 total yards, the Lions were tough in critical situations and limited big plays.