Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos Betting Pick & Prediction 12/15/24

The Colts are +170 on the money line as they head to Denver to take on the Broncos at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th. The Broncos are favored at -203 on the money line and -4 on the point spread. The game is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 44 points for this week 15 AFC matchup.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS DENVER BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Broncos -4

This game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th.

WHY BET THE DENVER BRONCOS:

• We have the Broncos winning this one by a score of 26 to 21
• Not only do we have the Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
• Look for this game to go over the line of 44 points

Will The Colts Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 15, the Colts sit 8th in the AFC with a 6-7 record, giving them a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 24th in our power rankings and are 2nd in the AFC South despite a 1-3 division record. Indianapolis is 5-4 in conference games and 3-3 at home and 3-4 on the road.

Against the spread, the Colts are 8-5, with a +2.4 scoring margin. They are 6-3 as underdogs and 2-2 as favorites. Their O/U record is 6-7, with their games averaging 43.5 points compared to an average line of 44.5.

Heading into week 15, the Colts rank 25th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.5 points per game (20th in the NFL) and 311.5 yards per game (23rd). They are 25th in passing yards, with 192.7 per game, on 29.7 attempts per game. On the ground, they average 118.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in the league, on 26.7 attempts per game. Indianapolis ranks 21st in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (36.6%) and 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Anthony Richardson threw for 109 yards (12/24) with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in week 13 against the Patriots. Jonathan Taylor led the Colts with 96 rushing yards on 25 carries, while Michael Pittman Jr. had 5 receptions for 42 yards. Indianapolis scored in every quarter, putting up 8 points in the 4th quarter.

In their 25-24 win over the Patriots, the Colts’ defense gave up 200 rushing yards on just 31 attempts, including a 75-yard touchdown run to Rhamondre Stevenson. Despite this, they managed to hold New England to 24 points and came up with four sacks and one interception. The Patriots also had success through the air, completing 80% of their passes for 222 yards, with a yards per attempt of 7.4.

Indianapolis allowed New England to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts and the Colts’ offense put up 422 yards in the game.

Are The Broncos Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Denver’s win over the Browns in week 13 extended their winning streak to three games, bringing their record to 8-5. The Broncos are 4-2 at home and 4-3 on the road, and they currently sit 7th in the AFC standings. Our projections give them a 73.6% chance of making the playoffs, but they have no chance of winning the AFC West. Heading into week 15, they rank 22nd in our NFL power rankings.

Denver is 10-3 against the spread this season, including four straight ATS wins. They have a +5.5 average scoring margin and are 6-0 ATS as favorites and 4-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-5, with the over hitting in their last two games. The average O/U line in their games is 40.5, and their contests have averaged 41.5 combined points.

Heading into week 15, the Broncos are 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.5, and are 21st in yards per game with 320.2. Denver is 20th in passing yards per game (209) and 13th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 20th in rushing yards per game, with 111.2, on 26.4 attempts per game.

Bo Nix threw for 294 yards in week 13, completing 18 of 35 passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. Marvin Mims Jr. led the team with 105 receiving yards on three catches, while Jaleel McLaughlin had 84 rushing yards on 14 carries. Denver scored 10 points in the 4th quarter and converted 46.2% of their 3rd downs.

Denver’s defense came up with three interceptions in their most recent game against the Browns, despite giving up 475 yards through the air. The Broncos won the game 41-32, but their defense allowed Cleveland to put up 552 total yards. The Broncos also gave up 77 rushing yards on just 23 attempts.

Even though the Browns had some success moving the ball, the Broncos’ defense made key plays, forcing three turnovers. Denver’s defense also had three sacks and held Cleveland to a 47.4% conversion rate on third down. However, the Broncos allowed four passing touchdowns in the game.