Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 6/21/24
At 7:10 PM ET, the Red Sox and Reds face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are slight money line favorites (-113). The Red Sox are on a five-game winning streak and are 40-35 overall, while the Reds are 35-39 and are 5th in the NL Central.
The over/under line for Friday’s game is at 9 runs, and BSOH is carrying the game on TV. Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox, while the Reds are going with Andrew Abbott.
CINCINNATI REDS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -113
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, June 21st.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Red Sox Records & Stats
The Red Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 7-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Blue Jays in the 4th inning, the Red Sox responded with a run of their own and added two more in the 6th. Boston was the +120 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Brayan Bello put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out six Blue Jays batters. Jarren Duran was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Boston is on a five-game winning streak, and they are 40-35 overall this season. The Red Sox will be on the road today vs. the Reds, and they are 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone 10-9 in AL East matchups this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 18-20 and have gone 22-15 on the road. As the road favorite, the Red Sox are 9-2 this season and have won four straight road games overall. Boston’s overall series record is 11-9-4, and they have won three straight series.
When betting the run line with the Red Sox, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. Their run line record is 22-15 as the visitor, compared to 14-24 at home. Boston’s average run margin is +1.4 on the road and -0.2 at home. The Red Sox have been the underdog in more games than they’ve been the favorite, and their run line record is 24-17 as the underdog compared to 12-22 as the favorite.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, with an over/under line of 9 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 34-36. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-1-2. So far this season, 13.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Yankees. In that June 16th outing, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and he issued two walks. Looking back further, Crawford had lost three straight starts before that outing. His overall record for the season is 3-6, and he has an ERA of 3.54. Opposing batters are hitting .223 off the right-hander this season. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.15.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .254, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Boston’s offense has been tough to strike out this season, as they have the 28th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, as Devers has 14 homers and O’Neill has 15, which is 9th best in the league. Ceddanne Rafaela and Tyler O’Neill have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Rafaela going 11/15 in his last four games and O’Neill hitting .353 with three homers in this stretch.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Pirates scored the game’s only run in the bottom of the 8th. Cincinnati was the +110 underdog on the road going into the game.
Hunter Greene was excellent for the Reds, going 6 1/3 innings, and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Pirates batters. However, the Reds couldn’t close things out, and Nick Martinez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds also wasted a big game from Joey Votto, who went 2/4 with a double.
Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 8.5 games. Overall, the Reds are 35-39 as they get ready to host the Red Sox today. Cincinnati’s record vs. other NL Central teams is 9-10 this year.
The Reds lost the final two games of their series vs. the Pirates and are just 4-6 across their last 10. So far, they are 18-19 at home compared to a road record of 17-20. As the underdog, Cincinnati has dropped four straight, and their overall record as the underdog is 16-26. They have been better as the favorite, going 19-13 this year. Their overall series record is 8-14-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 39-35 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 24-13, compared to just 15-22 at home. They have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game, and their average run differential in wins is +3.5 runs per game.
When the Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Cincinnati is 31-40, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, the Reds’ over/under record is 1-12-2. This season, 29.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, while 50.0% have had lines set lower than 9 runs. The under has hit in each of their last five games.
Cincinnati is starting left-hander Andrew Abbott today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.42 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.20 and has turned in five quality starts. Abbott’s ERA for the season at home is 3.35 compared to 3.65 on the road. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has given up 13 homers and is averaging 6.84 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is a bit of a step up from their home scoring average of 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Reds are batting just .225, and their on-base percentage of .305 is also near the bottom of the league. One positive for the Reds is that they have the 15th ranked home run offense in the league and have been average in terms of drawing walks.
Jeimer Candelario has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, going 12/37 in his last 10 games with four homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .251 with 12 homers. Candelario’s 35 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team, behind Spencer Steer, who is 15th in the league with 43 RBIs.