Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/21/24
Friday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Phillies has a first pitch of 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Phillies are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -140, while the Diamondbacks are at +119. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
Arizona will be starting Jordan Montgomery, and they are 2nd in the NL West with a record of 37-38. Philadelphia is 1st in the NL East with a record of 49-25. APLTV will be televising this NL matchup.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +119
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, June 21st.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Ryne Nelson put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Arizona is 37-38 overall and is nine games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks will be on the road today to take on the Phillies. They are 2nd in the NL West, and their division record is 15-12 this year.
As the road underdog, the Diamondbacks are 14-15 this year compared to 18-20 overall on the road. Arizona has won three straight games as the underdog, and they are 10-11-3 in series this year. Their overall series record is coming off a series win over the Nationals.
Arizona has a run line record of 36-39, with a 20-18 mark on the road. The Diamondbacks have a run line record of 22-17 as an underdog, and they have covered the run line in each of their last three games as an underdog. Arizona has an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game this season.
Arizona’s over/under record is 36-37 this season, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the record is 2-5. The under has hit in three straight games and in 82.7% of their games this season.
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to build off his last two outings, where he picked up the win. In his most recent outing, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, Montgomery has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of them. This season, he has a record of 5-4, an ERA of 6.00, and WHIP of 1.63. Opposing batters are hitting .296 off Montgomery this season. So far, he has made four road starts and has a record of 2-2 with a 6.48 ERA on the road.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the better units in the league so far this season, as they are 6th in the league in runs per game at 4.8. This is a team that has been good both at home and on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game at home and 4.7 on the road. The Diamondbacks are also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.
Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/41 in his last nine games with five homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .258 with a team-high 17 homers and 50 RBIs. Walker’s 17 homers are 7th best in the league, while his 50 RBIs are 9th. Ketel Marte is 2nd on the team in RBIs (42) and is batting .280 for the season.
Phillies Records & Stats
Bryce Harper and the Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 5-2 loss. Philadelphia was the heavy favorite at -189 going into the game but fell behind early, as the Padres scored a run in the 2nd.
Ranger Suárez put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Phillies offense couldnjson’t pick up the win, and Orion Kerkering took the loss out of the bullpen. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Bryce Harper, who homered twice, going 2/4.
Philadelphia is currently 49-25 overall, putting them 1st in the NL East. They hold a seven-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies were 2-1 in their series with the Padres and are 15-7-4 in series this year.
At home, the Phillies are 29-11 this year, and they have gone 20-14 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 34-12 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 43-19 this year, and they are 6-6 as the underdog.
When the Phillies are favored, they have a run line record of 33-29, but they are just 6-6 against the run line as the underdog. Overall, they are 39-35 against the run line this season with an average run margin of +1.4 runs per game. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2 runs.
Philadelphia’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 32-37. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is just 1-3. Their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs just four times this season, with the under hitting in three of those games. Their under streak is at two games.
Taijuan Walker will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, where he took the loss. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, four walks, and two home runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Walker has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made two quality starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 5.33 ERA. Walker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.45. For the year, he has allowed nine home runs and is averaging 7.35 strikeouts per nine innings.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5 runs per contest, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Phillies are also 7th in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league.
Over his last eight games, Alec Bohm has gone 14/34 with a home run and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season batting line to .306. Kyle Schwarber has also been hot of late, going 13/34 with six homers in his last nine games. Schwarber and Bryce Harper are tied for the team lead in homers, with 17 apiece.