Today at 2:00 ET, the Celtics (-228) will take on the Heat (+187) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Boston is favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under is set at 225.5.

Both teams come into this game with win streaks, as the Celtics have won three straight and the Heat have won two in a row. Tip-off will be at the Kaseya Center in Miami, and the game can be seen on ABC.


The Pick: Miami Heat +5.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, February 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 146-132 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Jimmy Butler finishing with Jimmy Butler points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.1% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can Boston Grab a Win on the Road?

The Celtics are 5.5-point favorites against the Heat today. This season, Boston has been favored in 49 of their 52 games and has a record of 38-11 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have won three straight games vs. the spread.

Boston's ATS record for the season is 23-27, and they have gone 10-13 ATS on the road. The team's straight-up road record is 15-9, and they have won four straight games on the road.

In their last game against the Wizards, the Celtics won 133-129 as 19-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 236.5, and the teams combined for 262 points.

This season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 26-26. In their games, the average combined scoring total is 231.8, compared to today's line of 225.5.

Against Eastern Conference teams, the Celtics are 27-6, which is the best record in the East. Overall, they are 40-12, which is also the best in the East.

Heading into the game, the Celtics are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, leading the NBA in both three-pointers made per game (16.2) and attempted (42.8). In terms of overall scoring, they are fourth in the league at 120.6 points per game.

On the road, Boston is averaging 119 points per game, which is fifth in the NBA. In terms of pace, the Celtics are 14th at 98.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, Boston is 12th in the league at 47%. However, they are one of the top teams in two-point shooting, converting 56% of their attempts (4th).

At this time, the Celtics' defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 111.1 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Celtics defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.8% while allowing 34.8% from downtown.

Can the Heat Offense Score Enough at Home?

Miami has won two straight games at home and will look to make it three in a row today vs. the Celtics. As the underdog, the Heat are 8-12 straight-up and 6-14 vs. the spread. Their O/U record as the underdog is 16-18.

In the Eastern Conference, Miami is currently in 8th place with a record of 28-24. Within the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. Today's O/U line of 225.5 is slightly lower than their season average of 221.2 points per game.

In their last game, the Heat defeated the Spurs by a score of 116-104. The O/U line for that game was 227 points, and Miami covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites.

On the season, the Heat have an ATS record of 22-27, including going 11-16 ATS at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +0.2 points per game.

So far this season, Miami has played in games with lower over/under lines than 225.5 points in 34 of their 52 games. The team's O/U record for the season is 21-31.

At home, the Heat are scoring 113.3 points per game (23rd) compared to their season average of 110.5 (27th). So far, they have outscored the NBA average in 34.6% of their games.

Overall, Miami is 25th in offensive rebounds and 21st in assists. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 25th in field goal percentage (46%) and 27th in two-point shooting percentage (52%). From beyond the arc, they are 11th in three-point shooting (37%).

Currently, the Heat's defense holds the 5th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat's defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.4% and allowing 36.8% from beyond the arc.