The Celtics and Cavaliers are tied at one game apiece heading into game three of this Eastern Conference first-round matchup. Saturday's game is being played in Cleveland at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse and is set to tip-off at 8:30 PM ET. ABC is carrying the game on TV. The Celtics are favored by 7.5 points and are -331 on the money line. The Cavaliers are +265, and the over/under line is at 211 points.

BOSTON CELTICS VS CLEVELAND CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Celtics -7.5

This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 8:30 ET on Saturday, May 11th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON CELTICS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-105 in favor of the Celtics.
  • Our projections have Jayson Tatum finishing with Jayson Tatum points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and knocking down 17 threes.

Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers pulled off a big upset in the most recent game of this series, as they picked up a 118-94 win over the Celtics. Cleveland was a 13-point underdog heading into the game, and they easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 212.5 points, and the teams just missed the over, as they combined for 212 points.

Mitchell had a big game for the Cavaliers, scoring 29 points and hitting five threes. Evan Mobley also had a double-double with 21 points and 10 rebounds. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 54.7% from the field. On the other side, the Celtics shot just 41.2% from the field and made only eight threes. Jayson Tatum had 25 points to lead the Celtics.

Will the Celtics Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

The Celtics are favored by 7.5 points today against the Cavaliers. This season, they have been favored in 85 of their 82 games and have a record of 67-18 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have gone 44-37 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +12 points per game.

Boston's ATS record for the season is 46-39, including a 21-20 record on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two road games and have an average scoring differential of +7.9 points per game on the road.

In their most recent game, the Celtics lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 118-94. Boston was favored by 13 points in that game and the O/U line was 212. The Celtics' ATS result in that game was a loss.

This season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 46-42-1, with an average combined scoring total of 227.8 points per game. Today's O/U line is set at 211, and 83 of their games have had higher O/U lines than that.

Boston is currently in 1st place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 64-18. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 41-11 and 23-7 against the West.

This season, Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game, and 10.4 rebounds over his last five games. In terms of three-point shooting, the Celtics lead the league in both three-point attempts and three-pointers made per game. Overall, they have hit 38% of their threes, which is the second-best mark in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 23 points per game in his last five games, while shooting 52.2% from the field. Derrick White is averaging 22.8 points per game in his last five games, and 4.6 made threes per game. Over his last five games, Brown hit just 23.1% of his threes.

When it comes to defense, the Boston Celtics are one of the best in the league, ranking 4th in points allowed per game at 108.2. They have been particularly stingy on the road, giving up just 109.4 points per game away from home, which is 3rd in the NBA.

Over their last five games, the Celtics have been even better, allowing just 93.8 points per game, which is tops in the league over that stretch. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Boston is 3rd overall at 45.3%.

One area where opponents have had success is from three-point range, as they are shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc vs. the Celtics this season. However, Boston has done a good job of keeping teams off the free-throw line, ranking 1st in made free throws allowed per game.

Can Cleveland Lock in a Home Win?

The Cavaliers have an overall record of 48-34 and are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 31-21 compared to 17-13 against the West.

At home, the Cavaliers are 30-15 this season and have won their last four games straight up. Against the spread at home, they are 22-23 and have an average scoring margin of +4.4 points per game.

Cleveland has been the underdog in 34 of their 82 games this season and have a record of 12-22 in those games. As the underdog, they are 15-18 against the spread with an average scoring differential of -6.5 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Cavaliers defeated the Celtics by a score of 118-94. Cleveland was a 13-point underdog in that game and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 212.5 points.

This season, the Cavaliers have an O/U record of 45-45-1, and 73 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's line of 211. On average, their games have scored 220.6 points.

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 35.8 points per game over his last five games on a shooting percentage of 49.2%. In these games, he also averaged 6.4 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 26.6 points per game. Darius Garland has averaged 16.8 points and 4.6 assists in his last five games.

Cleveland is averaging 113.3 points per game at home this year, which is 17th in the league. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 112.6 points per contest. The team's three-point shooting percentage of 36% is 19th in the NBA.

Coming into tonight's game, the Cavaliers have been one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 7th overall in points per game allowed. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 102.8 points per contest.

One area where Cleveland has been particularly strong is defending the three-point line. On the season, they are 10th in three-point shooting percentage allowed, and over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 5th in three-point percentage allowed.

So far this season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 72% of games against the Cavaliers. Additionally, teams have made fewer threes than their season average in 64.6% of games vs. Cleveland.