Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 5/2/24
Looking to win big? The Bruins and Maple Leafs face off at 8:00 ET on TBS. The Maple Leafs are hosting the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this game is set at 5.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 against the Bruins in a Atlantic division matchup.
BOSTON BRUINS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 8:00 ET on Thursday, May 2nd.
WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:
- Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Bruins (+1.5)
Will Boston Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Heading into this game, the Bruins are 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-20-15. In the Atlantic Division, they are 2nd and have gone 18-8 against divisional opponents. On the road this season, Boston has gone 23-9-9.
Over their last ten games, the Bruins have gone 5-5 and have lost their last two games. As the underdog this season, they are 9-2-4, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games.
On the year, the Bruins have gone 39-43 against the puck line, including going 20-21 on the road. So far, they have 31 wins by multiple goals and have lost by multiple goals 15 times.
Overall, Boston’s scoring margin sits at +.5 goals per game, and they have gone 26-41 against the puck line as the favorite. In their last ten games, the Bruins are just 4-6 vs. the puck line.
For the season, Boston’s games have finished with an average of 6 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 5.9. Overall, the Bruins have an over/under record of 37-44-1.
The Bruins are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
For their offensive performance, the Bruins come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 14th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 21st in the league. So far this year, the Bruins are 18-3 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 27-16 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Boston will be looking for a good game from David Pastrnak who leads the team in scoring with 47 goals, ranking 7th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 63 assists so far.
The Maple Leafs defense is currently 17th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 12th with 5 shutouts.
Goalie Jeremy Swayman gets the start and has made 43 starts this season. His record at this point is 25-10, and his save percentage is 0.776%.
Can the Maple Leafs Deliver Being Favored at Home?
In the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs are currently in 5th place and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have an overall record of 46-26-10 and have 102 points. At home this season, Toronto has gone 22-15-4.
Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone just 3-7 and have dropped their last two games. This season, Toronto has been favored in 65 of their 82 games and have gone 39-18-8 as the favorite.
At home this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 14-27 and an average scoring margin of +.4 goals per game. Overall, they have gone 32-50 on the puck line, including 27 wins by multiple goals.
Coming into the game, Toronto has dropped four straight games vs. the puck line and is 21-44 against the puck line when favored. In their last ten home games, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of just 3-7.
On average, Toronto’s games have finished with 6.9 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.5. In total, the Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 45-35-2.
Across their last three road contests, Boston has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 2 goals per game.
For their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs come in averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, which is 2nd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 12th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 23rd in the NHL.
Toronto will be looking for a good game from Auston Matthews who leads the team in scoring with 69 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 38 assists so far.
Toronto defense takes on the Bruins ranked 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 12th in shutouts, with 5 shutouts.
Goalie Joseph Woll comes into the game having made 23 starts this season. So far, his record is 12-11 and he has a save percentage of 0.586%.