The Bermuda Championship and the Houston Open are all that remains before The Masters at Augusta National. This week’s event was supposed to be an alternate event to the WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai, but it was canceled because of COVID-19. Instead, the Bermuda Championship goes on as scheduled and most of golf’s best enjoy a week off before teeing it up next week in Houston to smooth out any rough edges before the next major. This is a full FedEx Cup Points event, but it does have a purse of just $4 million, so most of the big names will stay home rather than venturing to the island. It will be interesting to see who plays next week, as the last thing anybody wants is a positive COVID test that takes away a chance to play Augusta. In any event, Port Royal Golf Course is the track in question and a Masters invite is among the prizes on the line. We’ll break it down with odds from MyBookie Sportsbook:
WILL ZALATORIS +1000
BRENDON TODD +1100
HAROLD VARNER III +2500
DOC REDMAN +2800
EMILIANO GRILLO +3000
DENNY MCCARTHY +3000
KRISTOFFER VENTURA +3300
RASMUS HOJGAARD +3300
CHARLEY HOFFMAN +3500
CAMERON TRINGALE +3500
PETER MALNATI +3500
HENRIK STENSON +4000
ADAM SCHENK +4000
JUSTIN SUH +4000
DANNY WILLETT +4500
HENRIK NORLANDER +4500
STEWART CINK +4500
TOM LEWIS +4500
MAVERICK MCNEALY +5000
LUKE LIST +5000
PATRICK RODGERS +5500
AARON WISE +5500
TYLER MCCUMBER +5500
SEPP STRAKA +5500
PADRAIG HARRINGTON +5500
PAT PEREZ +6000
RAFAEL CABRERA BELLO +6000
RUSSELL KNOX +6600
SCOTT PIERCY +7000
WYNDHAM CLARK +8000
SCOTT STALLINGS +8000
BRANDEN GRACE +8000
DOUG GHIM +8000
BRIAN STUARD +8000
CHESSON HADLEY +8000
ANIRBAN LAHIRI +8000
CAMERON PERCY +8000
BEAU HOSSLER +9000
WESLEY BRYAN +9000
KYLE STANLEY +9000
MAX HOMA +9000
BEN MARTIN +9000
WILL GORDON +10000
SEAMUS POWER +10000
HUDSON SWAFFORD +10000
KEITH MITCHELL +10000
JHONATTAN VEGAS +10000
ROB OPPENHEIM +10000
TROY MERRITT +10000
KYOUNG HOON LEE +10000
BRICE GARNETT +10000
MATT JONES +11000
JASON DUFNER +11000
KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT +11000
JOSEPH BRAMLETT +11000
DAVID HEARN +12500
KELLY KRAFT +12500
KRAMER HICKOK +14000
HANK LEBIODA +14000
CHASE SEIFFERT +14000
FABIAN GOMEZ +14000
LUCAS BJERREGAARD +14000
VINCENT WHALEY +15000
RYAN ARMOUR +15000
WES ROACH +15000
BO HOAG +15000
SCOTT HARRINGTON +15000
MICHAEL GLIGIC +16000
PETER UIHLEIN +16000
ROGER SLOAN +16000
ANDREW PUTNAM +16000
BRONSON BURGOON +17500
SANGMOON BAE +17500
BRANDON HAGY +17500
JOSH TEATER +17500
ROBERT STREB +17500
VAUGHN TAYLOR +17500
RYAN BREHM +17500
NICK WATNEY +17500
BRIAN GAY +17500
DOMINIC BOZZELLI +20000
D J TRAHAN +20000
KEVIN TWAY +20000
CAMILO VILLEGAS +20000
JAMIE LOVEMARK +22500
RICKY BARNES +22500
TIM WILKINSON +22500
BILL HAAS +22500
RHEIN GIBSON +22500
MARK ANDERSON +25000
CHRIS BAKER +25000
LUKE DONALD +25000
SETH REEVES +25000
JONATHAN BYRD +27500
AARON BADDELEY +27500
ZACK SUCHER +30000
ZAC BLAIR +30000
RYAN BLAUM +30000
GEORGE MCNEILL +30000
JOHNSON WAGNER +30000
ALEX CEJKA +30000
HUNTER MAHAN +35000
GRAHAM DELAET +35000
SHAWN STEFANI +35000
NELSON LEDESMA +40000
BEN TAYLOR +40000
JOHN ODA +40000
TOMMY GAINEY +40000
BO VAN PELT +50000
MICHAEL MILLER +50000
MATT EVERY +50000
JAMES NICHOLAS +50000
RAFAEL CAMPOS +50000
D A POINTS +75000
MICHAEL KIM +75000
DANNY WALKER +75000
JORDAN GUMBERG +100000
DEREK ERNST +100000
MATTHEW BORCHERT +100000
KEVIN STADLER +100000
PAUL STANKOWSKI +100000
JOHN SENDEN +100000
MICHAEL SIMS +100000
MICHAEL GELLERMAN +100000
ERIC DUGAS +150000

The Field

Like we said, there are not a lot of big names here. Will Zalatoris, who has been excellent on the Korn Ferry Tour over the last year, is the favorite. Reigning champ Brendon Todd is 11/1 and the second favorite. This is a big leap from those two down to Harold Varner III and Doc Redman. Some decent players are in the 30/1 to 50/1 range, but this tournament lacks star power. This is the kind of event when it makes sense to go price hunting and to play some bombs. The fact of the matter is that a lot of these guys have high upside, but also have a low floor.

Course Profile

This is a pretty short par 71 that comes in around 6,850 yards. As you would expect with any coastal course, wind can pick up and make things a bit challenging. Distance control always matters with wind, so you’ll be looking at SG: Approach and putters. For the most part, this course is very flat. There are a few holes that have some trees that will impact extremely errant tee shots, but this is a course where you can go low. When Todd won last year, he finished 24-under, four shots better than Harry Higgs at 20-under. Ten players shot at least 15-under. If wind is a factor, scoring may not be quite as easy.

Yay or Neigh?

In our horse for course section, we only have one year of data to throw out. Alphabetically, those that finished in the top 10 last season were Ryan Armour, Brian Gay, Fabian Gomez, David Hearn, Hank Lebioda, Brendon Todd, and Aaron Wise. Not exactly a who’s who of PGA Tour players. By no means is it a perfect comp, as the course was a lot longer at Corales for the Puntacana Championship four weeks ago, but Anirban Lahiri, Luke List, Tyler McCumber, Cameron Percy, Hudson Swafford, and Will Zalatoris were in the top 10 at that event. Padraig Harrington and Jason Dufner played in the PGA Grand Slam when it was here as recently as 2014. A lot of guys that play well on coastal courses tend to do well across the board. Usually those are older guys or guys that play more of a fairways and greens style for whatever reason.

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The Handicap

This is only Year 2 at Port Royal, so we really don’t have much to go on. Spectators will be on hand, but a maximum of 500 per day. This will be the first event with spectators since before the pandemic. Todd won the OHL Classic at Mayakoba last year along with this event. The problem is that he’s 11/1, so it’s hard to like him at that price, even if he is one of the more accomplished players in this field over the last few years. A lot of the guys with shorter odds are great putters, like Denny McCarthy, Kristoffer Ventura, and Patrick Rodgers. There are a few other putters down the list like Wyndham Clark and Beau Hossler in the 80/1 or 90/1 range. It’s a hard week to know what exactly to look for, so you have to decide what you want to prioritize with the players you are playing.

Picks

I’ll be looking at some long shots here, like Hossler, who has made five straight cuts and finished 24th here last season. He’s traditionally a good putter and this course isn’t overly tough, so he should be able to strike it well. He’s at 90/1, so that’s a good price for him. Ryan Armour is 150/1 and he fits the bill as an older player that doesn’t hit it far, but hits a lot of fairways. The smaller course should benefit him here and his top-10 last season is suggestive of some course form attractiveness. Golf Channel will have coverage of this one, as well as PGA Tour Live.