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Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bruins versus the Bears? Tip off is at at 2:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO. The over/under for this game is set at 148 points, and Missouri State is favored by -4.5 vs. Belmont in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.

BELMONT BRUINS VS MISSOURI STATE BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Missouri State Bears -4.5

This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.

WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Bruins Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

Belmont is coming off a 78-72 loss at Indiana State, and the Bruins are just 4-9 as underdogs this season. They are 12-10 overall and 5-6 in Missouri Valley Conference play.

On the road, Belmont has gone 4-8 this season, and its average scoring margin is -8.2 points per game. The Bruins have lost five straight games away from home.

Belmont has an ATS record of 8-13 this season and is 4-8 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Bruins are 5-8 vs. the spread this year and have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games as the underdog. Over their last three road games, Belmont is 0-3 vs. the spread.

Belmont's over/under record this season is 9-12, and today's line of 148 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (155.1). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 144 points.

In their previous game, the Bruins' offense finished with 72 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.9 points per contest. The top scorer for the Bruins was Malik Dia with 22 points, while Cade Tyson also added 20 to the scoreboard.

Coming into the game, Belmont will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 78.1 points per game (284th). So far, the Belmont defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.2 times per game (601st).

Can the Bears Secure a Win at Home?

Missouri State will be playing at home, where they have an 8-3 record this season. They are 7-3 when favored and 4-6 when the underdog. So far, they have gone 13-9 overall.

After their 81-70 win over Valparaiso, the Bears have won two games in a row. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3.

As the favorite, Missouri State has gone 6-4 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Bears are 7-4 ATS and over their last 10 games as the favorite, their ATS mark is 6-4. However, their ATS record over their last three home games is just 1-2 and their ATS record over their last five home games is 2-3.

Today's over/under line of 148 is higher than the average over/under line in Missouri State games this season (141.6). This year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line.

In their latest game, Missouri State's offense looked good, scoring 81 points against Valparaiso. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 46.5% and made 8/12 free throws. The top scorer for the Bears was Brad Mason with 22 points, while Donovan Clay also added 18 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Bears' defense holds the 129th rank in the nation, allowing 70.4 points per game. Missouri State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Valparaiso to just 35% shooting in their most recent game.