The Knights and Lions are set to face off at 8:45 ET on ESPN+. The Lions will host the game at Flowers Hall in Florence, AL. The over/under for this game is set at 144.5 points, and the Lions are the home favorites against the Knights in a Atlantic Sun conference matchup.

BELLARMINE KNIGHTS VS NORTH ALABAMA LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: North Alabama Lions -5.5

This game will be played at Flowers Hall at 8:45 ET on Thursday, January 11th.

WHY BET THE NORTH ALABAMA LIONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 86-62 in favor of the Lions.
  • Not only will North Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

After losing their last game to Lipscomb by a score of 81-70, Bellarmine will try to snap their 10-game losing streak. So far this season, the Knights have a record of 4-13, including a 0-2 record in Atlantic Sun Conference play.

On the road this season, Bellarmine has gone 1-9, and they are currently on a six-game losing streak away from home. As underdogs, the Knights have a record of 1-10. For the year, Bellarmine's average scoring differential on the road is -13.9 points per game.

When looking at Bellarmine's ATS record this season, they have gone 4-9-1. On the road, they are 4-5-1 vs. the spread this year and 1-2 in their last three road games. As the underdog, the Knights have gone 4-6-1 vs. the spread this season and just 1-4 in their last five games as the underdog.

Today's over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Bellarmine's games this season (139.8). So far, 12 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today's total. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 159 points.

In their previous game, the Knights' offense finished with 70 points, which is right in line with their current average of 68.5 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Peter Suder, who enters today's matchup with an average of 11.6, while Garrett Tipton also carries a PPG average of 10.2 into the game.

So far, the Knights' defense is ranked 211st in the country at 74.1 points per contest. So far, the Bellarmine defense is giving up an average of 8.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.4 times per game (420th).

Can North Alabama Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

North Alabama enters this game as 5.5-point favorites, and they have gone 4-3 when favored this season. The Lions have struggled recently, as they have lost four straight games and are 6-9 overall.

At home, North Alabama is 3-2 this season, and they have an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 6-4.

North Alabama's ATS record this season is currently 5-8. They have gone 2-3 vs. the spread at home and are 3-4 vs. the spread when favored this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions are 5-5.

North Alabama's over/under record this season sits at 6-7 and today's line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (146.8). So far, 7 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

In their previous game, the Lions' offense finished with 81 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.7 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Jacari Lane, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 13.9, while KJ Johnson also maintains a PPG average of 13.2 leading up to the game.

At this time, the Lions' defense is positioned 240th in the country, permitting 75.7 points per game. North Alabama will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Central Arkansas to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.