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<p>Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Big Green and Red Foxes. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Red Foxes at McCann Center in Poughkeepsie, NY. Get ready to place your bets! This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points, and Marist is favored by -9 vs. Dartmouth.</p><h3>DARTMOUTH BIG GREEN VS MARIST RED FOXES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Dartmouth Big Green +9</p><p>This game will be played at McCann Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, November 19th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE DARTMOUTH BIG GREEN:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-71 in favor of the Red Foxes.</li><li>Even though we have Marist winning straight-up, we like Dartmouth at +9.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.</li></ul><h3>Are the Big Green Ready for a Win at Poughkeepsie?</h3><h3>Dartmouth Big Green Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Dartmouth's season continued with a 78-50 road loss to Boston on Saturday, November 16th. The Big Green entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The combined points of 128 fell short of the 135.5 O/U line.</p> 

<p>After trailing 34-21 at halftime, Dartmouth allowed 44 points in the 2nd half while scoring 29. Defensive struggles and a lack of offensive production contributed to the lopsided result.</p><p>Dartmouth's offense struggled in their last game, scoring just 50 points on 29.3% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 36.2%, with two-point shooting at 32.1% and three-point shooting at 26.7% (8/30).</p> <p>Free-throw shooting was also an issue, as they hit only 47.1% from the line. Kyrone Alexander led the way with 21 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 58.3% overall and 50.0% from three-point range (4/8).</p><p>Despite Dartmouth's defensive struggles, they allowed 78 points on 54% shooting from the field. The Big Green gave up 72% shooting on two-point attempts, with the opposing team hitting 24 of 33 shots inside the arc.</p> <p>From beyond the three-point line, Dartmouth held their opponent to 27% shooting, as they made just 6 of 22 attempts. The Big Green also sent the other team to the free-throw line 20 times, where they converted 12 shots for 60%.</p><h3>Are Marist Ready for a Home Win?</h3><h3>Marist Red Foxes Recent Game/Games</h3>

<p>Marist picked up a 91-88 win over Army on Friday, November 15th. Despite being -7.5 favorites, the Red Foxes didn’t cover the spread. The combined score of 179 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 131.5.</p>

<p>Marist led 34-33 at halftime and scored 42 points in the 2nd half while allowing 43.</p><p>Marist put up 91 points in their last game, shooting 53.8% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 61.5%. They were particularly strong inside, hitting 65% of their two-point attempts, while connecting on 36% from beyond the arc.</p> <p>Ryan Curry led the way with 28 points, knocking down 6 of 11 threes, while Josh Pascarelli added 25 points, shooting 62.5% overall and from deep. The Red Foxes had 19 assists and grabbed 15 offensive rebounds, with Jason Schofield and Jaden Daughtry both going perfect from the field.</p><p>Marist's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 88 points on 53% shooting from the field. The Red Foxes allowed 35 made field goals on 65 attempts.</p> <p>Inside the arc, Marist's defense gave up 26 two-pointers on 40 attempts, a 65% shooting percentage. From three-point range, they allowed 9 threes on 25 attempts, a 36% success rate. The opposing team also went 12/18 from the free-throw line.</p>

Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/19/24

<p>Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Golden Eagles and Wildcats. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on None, and it's hosted by the Wildcats at Brick Breeden Fieldhouse  in Bozeman, MT. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 146.5 points, with Abilene Christian being favored by -2.5 over Southern Miss.</p><h3>SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Abilene Christian Wildcats -2.5</p><p>This game will be played at Brick Breeden Fieldhouse  at 9:00 ET on Monday, November 25th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-72 in favor of the Wildcats.</li><li>Not only will Abilene Christian pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.</li></ul><h3>Can Southern Miss Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?</h3><h3>Southern Miss Golden Eagles Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Southern Miss fell to Montana State 79-59 on Sunday, November 24th, in an away game. The Golden Eagles entered as +7.5 underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 138 fell short of the 151.5 O/U line.</p> 

<p>Southern Miss trailed 41-26 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the 2nd half, scoring 33 points while allowing 38.</p><p>Southern Miss struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 59 points with a field goal percentage of 35.7%. Their effective field goal percentage was 39.3%, and they hit only 3 of 20 from beyond the arc, shooting 15% from three-point range.</p> <p>Brandon Walker and Christian Watson each scored 19 points, with Walker hitting 7 of 8 shots, including 2 for 2 from three. Watson shot 7 for 18 overall and 1 for 6 from deep. The Golden Eagles had 8 assists and 10 offensive rebounds, while shooting 72.7% from the free-throw line.</p><p>Southern Miss struggled defensively, giving up 79 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 50% from the field. The Golden Eagles had particular trouble inside, where they allowed 66% shooting on two-point attempts.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, Southern Miss gave up 10 threes on 29 attempts, a 34% shooting clip. They also sent their opponent to the line 17 times, where they converted 13 free throws at a 76% rate. The Golden Eagles did limit second chances, allowing just 5 offensive rebounds.</p><h3>Will the Wildcats Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?</h3><p>Abilene Christian’s season continued with an 84-78 road loss to Kennesaw State on Wednesday. The Wildcats were +4.5 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread.</p> <p>Abilene Christian led 42-40 at halftime but were outscored 44-36 in the second half. The total points for the game reached 162, surpassing the pre-game O/U line of 157.5.</p><p>Abilene Christian put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 45.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50.8%. They connected on 5 of 15 threes, shooting 33.3% from deep, and hit 19 of 30 free throws, good for 63.3%.</p> <p>Simeon Cottle led the way with 22 points and 4 assists, while Quion Williams added 19 points and 6 rebounds. Leonardo Bettiol was efficient, shooting 7 of 10 for 18 points, and Jamil Miller contributed 17 points, hitting 5 of 6 shots.</p><p>Abilene Christian's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 84 points on 53% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 60% of their two-point attempts, going 15/25.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, Abilene Christian's opponent shot 43%, making 7 of 16 threes. They also sent them to the free-throw line 41 times, where they converted 33 free throws at an 80% rate. Abilene Christian gave up 7 offensive rebounds.</p>

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Abilene Christian Wildcats NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/24

Major League Baseball (MLB) might not be the most popular sport in the world to wager on, but it still presents a really good betting option. MLB betting comes in many different forms, and this is a season that presents plenty of betting opportunities as well.

Major League Baseball was founded all the way back in 1876, but the league has obviously gone through some major changes since that time. Most of the major rules are still in place, but the way that the game is played is now much different.

There are currently 30 teams in MLB, and every team plays 162 games during the regular season. MLB games typically start at the end of March, or early April, and the World Series wraps up during the first week of November.

MLB teams are split up into leagues and divisions, but there is now more crossover games than ever before. The American League and National League now operate under the same basic rules, and that keeps things similar regardless of what league you are looking at.

Knowing the best MLB betting sites &amp; sportsbooks is also important if you plan to bet on MLB, and this article will explore that as well. By the time you are done reading this article, you should be ready to bet on baseball.
<h2 id="h-where-to-bet-on-major-league-baseball" class="wp-block-heading">WHERE TO BET ON MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL</h2>
Here is a look at some of the best MLB sportsbooks that are out there in the industry:

Best MLB Betting Sites & Sportsbooks

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 10/30/24

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New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/25/24

Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/20/24

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/18/24

<p>Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Explorers and Tritons. The game is starting at 1:00 ET on Ball, and it's hosted by the Tritons at Ocean Center in Daytona Beach, FL. Get ready to place your bets! La Salle is the -2 point favorites in this non-conference matchup against California-San Diego. The over/under for the game is set at 143.5 points.</p><h3>LA SALLE EXPLORERS VS CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: La Salle Explorers -2</p><p>This game will be played at Ocean Center at 1:00 ET on Thursday, November 21st.</p><h3>WHY BET THE LA SALLE EXPLORERS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 84-65 in favor of the Explorers.</li><li>Not only will La Salle pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 149 points.</li></ul><h3>Will La Salle Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?</h3><h3>La Salle Explorers Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>La Salle picked up a 71-68 win over Drexel on Saturday, November 16th. The Explorers, who were -4 favorites, didn’t cover the spread, but they did manage to get the win on the road.</p> 

<p>La Salle led 43-31 at halftime but allowed Drexel to score 37 points in the 2nd half while only putting up 28 points themselves. The total points for the game ended at 139, just over the O/U line of 138.5.</p><p>La Salle's offense put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 41.9% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 48.4%, and they connected on 91.7% of their free throws, going 11-for-12 from the line.</p> <p>Jahlil White led the way, hitting 7 of 9 shots for 19 points, while Jason Drake and Demetrius Lilley each added 18 points. Corey McKeithan contributed 17 points and 6 assists, despite shooting 38.9% from the field.</p><p>La Salle's defense gave up 68 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 45% from the field, hitting 29 of 64 attempts. Inside the arc, the Explorers allowed 23 two-pointers on 45 attempts, a 51% shooting rate.</p> <p>From three-point range, La Salle's defense held their opponents to 6 made threes on 19 attempts, a 31% success rate. They also limited free-throw damage, with opponents shooting just 4/11 (36%). The Explorers gave up 9 offensive rebounds.</p><h3>Will the Tritons Exceed Expectations at Home?</h3><p>California-San Diego dropped their recent game to Seattle, losing 84-71 at home. The Tritons were -7 favorites but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 155 exceeded the O/U line of 140.5.</p> <p>After trailing 49-28 at halftime, the Tritons showed some fight in the 2nd half, outscoring Seattle 43-35, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the early deficit.</p><p>California-San Diego's offense put up 71 points, shooting 50% from the field in their last game. Their two-point shooting was a strong 58.3%, while they hit just 31.2% from beyond the arc, making 5 of 16 attempts. At the free-throw line, they connected on 73.7% of their shots, going 14 for 19.</p> <p>Maleek Arington led the way with 21 points and 6 assists, shooting 58.3% from the field. Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones added 20 points, and Nordin Kapic contributed 19, hitting 3 of 5 from three-point range. Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe grabbed 13 rebounds, and DaSean Stevens was perfect from the field, making all 5 of his shots, including 3 for 3 from deep.</p><p>California-San Diego gave up 84 points in their last game, with their opponent shooting 50% from the field. The Tritons allowed 21 two-point field goals on 36 attempts, a 58% shooting rate.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, California-San Diego's defense held their opponent to 5 made threes on 16 attempts, a 31% shooting percentage. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 19 times, where they made 14 free throws, shooting 73%. The Tritons limited offensive rebounds, giving up just 4.</p>

La Salle Explorers vs California-San Diego Tritons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/21/24

<p>ESPN2 will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Kansas Jayhawks and Baylor Bears as they take the field at McLane Stadium in Waco. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET, and the over/under line is currently at 61.5 points. The Jayhawks are coming in with a 5-6 record this season, while the Bears are 7-4. The Jayhawks are the slight -1 point spread favorite on the road.</p><h3>KANSAS JAYHAWKS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Kansas Jayhawks +1</p><p>This game will be played at McLane Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE KANSAS JAYHAWKS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Kansas Jayhawks winning this one by a score of 29 to 28</li><li>Not only do we have the Kansas Jayhawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 61.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Kansas Jayhawks Pick Up A Win On The Road?</h3><p>Kansas enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, facing Baylor on the road. They are ranked 28th in our power rankings and have a 51.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Jayhawks are 3-2 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.</p> <p></p><p>Their ATS record stands at 5-5, with a +6.5 average scoring margin. Kansas is 1-3 against the spread as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog.</p> <p></p><p>This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than any other game this season. Kansas’ over/under record is 5-5, with an average line of 55 points and an average game total of 55.1 points.</p><p>Kansas has leaned heavily on their rushing game this season, ranking 14th in the nation with 213.8 rushing yards per game. Devin Neal has been the focal point, amassing 1,133 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging 5 yards per carry. The Jayhawks are also third in the nation in third-down conversions, converting 51.1% of their attempts.</p> <p>They are averaging 30.8 points per game, ranking 41st nationally, and are 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Jalon Daniels has thrown for 2,174 yards with 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 84. Kansas ranks 90th in passing yards per game.</p><p>Heading into their matchup with Baylor, Kansas's defense ranks 49th nationally, allowing 24.3 points per game. They’ve given up 232.6 passing yards per game, ranking 111th, with a passer rating of 91.6 and a 61.3% completion rate. On the ground, they’ve allowed 143 rushing yards per game on 32.1 attempts, which is the 34th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.</p> <p></p><p>In their recent game against Colorado, Kansas’s defense allowed 21 points, giving up 266 passing yards and three touchdowns but limited Colorado to just 43 rushing yards on 12 attempts. Overall, they allowed 309 total yards and 15 first downs.</p><h3>Will The Baylor Bears Win At Home Over The Kansas Jayhawks?</h3><p>Baylor enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, ranked 37th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible but only a 0.8% chance of winning the Big 12. At home, the Bears are 3-1, while they’ve gone 3-2 on the road this season.</p> <p></p><p>Baylor has been favored in six of their 11 games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7.7 points, and they’ve covered the spread in seven of nine games, with a 4-1 ATS record on the road and 3-1 at home.</p> <p></p><p>The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 59.7 points, with an average over/under line of 53.5 points. Their over/under record is 6-3, with eight games having lower lines than this week’s total.</p><p>Heading into week 14, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.7 points per game, ranking 24th in the nation. They are 32nd in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson leads the passing attack with 2,316 yards and a passer rating of 102. He has thrown 22 touchdowns and 7 interceptions.</p> <p>Baylor is 48th in passing yards per game, averaging 240.2 yards, and they convert 40.5% of their third downs. Bryson Washington has rushed for 812 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 541 yards and 8 touchdowns.</p><p>Baylor's defense played a key role in their recent 20-10 win over Houston, allowing just 10 points and forcing three interceptions. They limited Houston to 239 total yards, including 92 rushing yards on 26 attempts and 147 passing yards.</p> <p></p><p>On average, Baylor's defense has given up 26 points per game this season. They’ve allowed 151.5 rushing yards per game and 222.6 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 56% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 77.5.</p>

Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24

<p>At 1:10 from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, we have an NL matchup between the Diamondbacks and Reds. The forecast calls for light rain in Cincinnati, with temperatures in the mid-60s. Arizona comes in with a record of 17-20, while the Reds are 16-20.</p>

<p>Thursday's starting pitching matchup features Slade Cecconi for the Diamondbacks and Hunter Greene for the Reds. Cincinnati is the favorite at -125, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.</p><h3>CINCINNATI REDS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -125</p><p>This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, May 9th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS REDS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Reds series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -107 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out seven times, but still picked up a win.</p>

<p>Cincinnati had a chance to win the game in the 9th inning, as they scored one run and had the tying run on first base, but Joe Mantiply closed things out for the Diamondbacks. Graham Ashcraft had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss.</p>

<p>Jordan Montgomery pitched well for the Diamondbacks in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He picked up a win in the game, moving to 3-2 on the season. Eugenio Suarez provided the big blow for Arizona's offense, as he homered and drove in three runs.</p><h3>Diamondbacks Records & Stats</h3><p>Arizona is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 17-20 overall this season. In the NL West, they are eight games behind the Dodgers and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 9-8 in divisional matchups.</p>

<p>As the road team today, the Diamondbacks are 8-10 compared to 9-10 at home. Arizona has dropped four straight series and are 3-7-1 overall in series this year. They are also 5-7 as the road underdog this year.</p><p>When betting the run line on the Diamondbacks, it's best to take them as the underdog, as they are 11-9 against the run line in those games. They are also 9-9 against the run line on the road this season, and their current run line win streak on the road is at three games.</p><p>Arizona's games have gone under in two straight, and the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 15-21 on the season. The combined run average in their games is 9.7, and the average over/under line for their games is 9.0. In games with an over/under line of 9, they are 3-5. Overall, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 29.7% of their games this season. Their games have gone under the over/under line of 9 runs in 48.6% of their games this season.</p><p>Slade Cecconi and the Diamondbacks are on the road to take on the Reds today. Cecconi has started three games so far this season, and he is coming off of a loss in his last outing, where he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 6 runs. His first start of the season was a win, and he struck out 8 in 6 innings vs. the Mariners.</p><p>Arizona's offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league's best teams at putting the ball in play, as they are 5th in the league in strikeouts and 7th in walks.</p>

<p>Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks' top power threats this season, with each having gone deep 7 times. Walker is also 10th in the league with 25 RBIs and is batting .273 for the season. Marte comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak and is batting .301 for the season. Over his last eight games, Marte is 9/32 with two homers.</p><h3>Reds Records & Stats</h3><p>The Reds are looking to snap a seven-game losing streak today, and they are 16-20 overall, which puts them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games. Cincinnati has dropped three straight games at home, and they are 7-8 as the home favorite this year.</p>

<p>As the underdog, the Reds are just 6-12 this year, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. This season, the Reds have really struggled in close games, as they are just 4-6 in one-run games. So far, they have been a bit better on the road, going 7-8 compared to 9-12 at home.</p><p>The Reds have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 17-19 against the run line. They are 8-13 at home and have failed to cover the run line in their last six games at Great American Ball Park. However, they have been much better on the road, going 9-6 against the run line. They have been a .500 team against the run line as the favorite, going 9-9, and are 8-10 as the underdog.</p><p>With a combined run average of 8.8, the Cincinnati Reds have seen their games go over the 9-run line in just 27.8% of their contests this season. In their last 10 games, the O/U line has been set at 9 runs or higher in 7 of them, but the under has cashed in 6 of those games. The Reds' O/U record for the season is 18-17, and the under has hit in their last two games.</p><p>Hunter Greene has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.12. In his 40 1/3 innings of work, Greene has a WHIP of 1.17 and batting average allowed of .211. Looking at his overall numbers, Greene has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn't allow a run. Against the Orioles on May 3rd, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up five hits and four walks. One of his home runs this year came in that outing. Greene's lone complete game came on April 22nd.</p>
<p>Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds' top power threats this season, as his eight home runs are the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .167 over his last eight games. Overall, he is batting .254 for the season. Spencer Steer and Will Benson are tied for 2nd on the Reds with four homers apiece, but Steer is batting just .234, and Benson is at just .190.</p>

<p>As a team, the Reds are batting just .209, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Cincinnati's offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 17th in the league.</p>

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 5/9/24

<p>Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Eagles. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on FloC, and it's hosted by the Eagles at John Gray Gymnasium in George Town, Cayman Islands. Get ready to place your bets! This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 136 points, and Boston College is favored by -2.5 vs. Missouri State.</p><h3>MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Boston College Eagles -2.5</p><p>This game will be played at John Gray Gymnasium at 7:30 ET on Monday, November 25th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-67 in favor of the Eagles.</li><li>Not only will Boston College pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.</li></ul><h3>Do the Bears Stand a Chance in George Town?</h3><p>Missouri State picked up a 71-61 win over High Point on Sunday, November 24th. The Bears were +7.5 point underdogs heading into the game, but not only did they pull off the upset, they also covered the spread.</p> <p>Missouri State led 35-30 at halftime and continued to control the game in the 2nd half, outscoring High Point 36-31. The total points for the game came to 132, which was under the O/U line of 141.5.</p><p>Missouri State's offense put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 39% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 45.8%. They connected on 44.4% of their three-point attempts, hitting 8 of 18 from deep, while shooting 36.6% on two-point shots. At the free-throw line, they were 17 of 21, good for 81%.</p> <p>Vincent Brady II led the way with 27 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 40% overall and 2 of 5 from three-point range. Kezza Giffa and D'Maurian Williams each added 14 points, with Giffa also contributing 5 assists. Dez White chipped in 13 points, hitting 3 of 7 from beyond the arc.</p><p>Missouri State's defense held their opponent to 61 points, with a field goal percentage of 43% (20/46). They allowed 17/29 shooting from two-point range, which is 58%.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, Missouri State's defense limited their opponent to 3/17 shooting, just 17%. They also sent them to the line 24 times, where they hit 18 free throws (75%). Missouri State gave up only 4 offensive rebounds.</p><h3>Do the Eagles Have a Shot at a Home Win?</h3><h3>Boston College Eagles Recent Game/Games</h3> <p>Boston College cruised to an 82-52 victory over Old Dominion on Sunday, November 24th, at home. The Eagles, who were -12 point favorites, covered the spread comfortably.</p> <p>Boston College led 43-24 at halftime and continued their strong play in the 2nd half, outscoring Old Dominion 39-28. The total points for the game were 134, falling under the 143.5 O/U line.</p><p>Boston College put up 82 points in their last game, shooting 43.3% from the field and hitting 38.5% from beyond the arc (10/26). Their effective field goal percentage was 50.7%, and they were strong at the free-throw line, connecting on 87.5% of their attempts (14/16).</p> <p>The Eagles grabbed 16 offensive rebounds and dished out 18 assists. Robert Davis Jr. led the team with 19 points, despite shooting just 30.0% from three (3/10). Donald Hand Jr. contributed 12 points and 10 rebounds, hitting 40.0% from deep (2/5).</p><p>Boston College's defense held their opponent to 52 points, despite allowing them to shoot 43% from the field on 29 of 67 attempts. Inside the arc, the Eagles gave up 19 two-point baskets on 41 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.</p> <p>From three-point range, the opponent hit 10 of 26 shots, shooting 38%. Boston College also sent them to the free-throw line 16 times, where they converted 14 free throws, an 87% success rate. The Eagles allowed 16 offensive rebounds in the game.</p>

Missouri State Bears vs Boston College Eagles NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/24

<p>Planning on watching today's Paladins and Bears game? Catch the action at Hawkins Arena in Macon, GA, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. Furman is favored by -3.5 in this Southern conference matchup the against Mercer. The over/under for the game is set at 144.5 points.</p><h3>FURMAN PALADINS VS MERCER BEARS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Mercer Bears +3.5</p><p>This game will be played at Hawkins Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE MERCER BEARS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.</li><li>Not only will Mercer pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.</li></ul><h3>Can the Paladins Grab a Win on the Road?</h3><p>Despite their 2-game losing streak, Furman has been favored in 12 of their 23 games this season. They are 9-3 as the favorite and 0-7 as the underdog. On the road, the Paladins are just 1-8 compared to their 8-2 record at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -4.2 compared to +8.2 at home.</p>

<p>In their last game, Furman fell to UNCG by a score of 89-87. Over their last 10 road games, the Paladins have gone just 2-8. So far this season, they are 5-4 in Southern Conference action and 7-7 in non-conference play.</p><p>When looking at Furman's ATS record this season, they are currently 8-11. On the road, their ATS record is 3-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Paladins have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Furman's games this year (156.6). So far, 18 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today's number. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.</p><p>The Furman offense is coming off a game in which they scored 87 points vs. UNCG. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.1% while connecting on 12 threes. Marcus Foster was the leading scorer for the Paladins, putting up 26 points. In addition, JP Pegues contributed 25 points.</p><p>Coming into the game, Furman will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 77.0 points per game (272nd). So far, the Furman defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.3 times per game (620th).</p><h3>Will the Bears Win at Home?</h3><p>At home this season, Mercer has gone 4-5, and their average scoring margin has been -0.4 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.</p>

<p>So far this season, Mercer has been the underdog in 12 of their 23 games, and their record in those games is 3-9. In their last game, they defeated VMI by a score of 90-69.</p><p>As the underdog this season, Mercer is 6-6 vs. the spread. However, their ATS record at home is just 5-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears are 6-4 vs. the spread.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Mercer's games this season (139.4). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points compared to their season average of 139.2 points per game.</p><p>Mercer is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 90 points vs. VMI. This figure is more than their season average of 69.8 points per game. The team's top scorer is Jalyn McCreary, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 14.8, while Jake Davis also maintains a PPG average of 9.6 leading up to the game.</p><p>Coming into today's game, the Mercer defense is giving up an average of 70.0 points per contest. In today's game vs. Furman, the Mercer defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Mercer made 15 free-throws vs. the Bears.</p>

Furman Paladins vs Mercer Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 2/7/24

<p>ESNU will be covering the Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons matchup, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green. Both teams enter this game with a 7-4 record, and the Falcons are slight -2.5 point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently at 42.5 points, and the money line odds are +116 for Miami (OH) and -139 for Bowling Green.</p><h3>MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks +2.5</p><p>This game will be played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium at 12:00 ET on Friday, November 29th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning this one by a score of 20 to 19</li><li>Not only do we have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Miami (OH) RedHawks Pick Up A Win On The Road?</h3><p>Miami (OH) enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, facing Bowling Green on the road. They are 4-1 at home and 2-3 on the road this season. The RedHawks are 6-0 as the favorite and have a +6.1 average scoring margin. They have a 23.2% chance of winning the Mid-American but are already bowl-eligible.</p> <p></p><p>Against the spread, Miami (OH) is 5-5, going 4-2 as the favorite. At home, they are 3-2 ATS, with a 3-1 record as the favorite. On the road, they are 2-3 ATS, splitting 1-1 as the favorite.</p> <p></p><p>The over/under line for this week is 42.5 points. Miami (OH) has a 4-5-1 over/under record, with an average line of 45.1 points and average total scoring at 41.7 points per game.</p><p>Heading into week 14, Miami (OH) ranks 77th in scoring, averaging 23.9 points per game, and they are 95th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for 2,355 yards with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 91.</p> <p>The RedHawks are 66th in passing attempts, averaging 29.1 per game, and they are 68th in passing yards, with 225.3 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 32.3%, ranking 118th. Keyon Mozee leads the rushing attack with 937 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Reggie Virgil has 705 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns.</p><p>Miami (OH)'s defense has been strong this season, ranking 13th nationally by allowing just 17.8 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up only 9 points and 242 total yards, including 114 passing yards and 128 rushing yards, while forcing one interception.</p> <p>Opponents are averaging 137.2 rushing yards per game on 35.2 attempts and 177.6 passing yards against Miami (OH), which ranks 23rd nationally. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of just 66.9 and a completion rate of 55.4% against the RedHawks’ defense.</p><h3>Will The Bowling Green Falcons Win At Home Over The Miami (OH) RedHawks?</h3><p>Bowling Green comes into Week 14 with a 7-4 record and a 2-2 mark at home. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have a 36.2% chance of winning the Mid-American title. The Falcons are ranked 74th in our power rankings.</p> <p>They’ve been favored in seven games this season, going 5-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +8.5 points per game, and they are 5-5 against the spread.</p> <p>The over/under line for this week is 42.5 points. Bowling Green’s games have averaged 47.6 points, with an average over/under line of 51.1 points. Their over/under record is 3-7 this season.</p><p>Heading into week 14, Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 28.1 points per game, placing them 53rd in the nation. They are ranked 67th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 2,453 yards and has a passer rating of 101. He has completed 67.6% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Nationally, Bowling Green ranks 18th in completion percentage and 34th in passer rating.</p> <p></p><p>On average, the Falcons attempt 29.6 passes per game, ranking 60th, and they are 66th in passing yards, averaging 225.9 yards per game. On the ground, they average 155 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 861 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. Bowling Green has converted 39% of their third-down attempts this season.</p><p>Bowling Green's defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 19th nationally by allowing just 19.5 points per game. They also rank 19th in passing yards allowed, giving up only 174.6 yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 56.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 77.9.</p> <p></p><p>In their recent game against Ball State, the defense allowed just 13 points and 254 total yards. They were particularly effective against the run, giving up only 43 rushing yards on 24 attempts, while forcing Ball State to throw the ball 38 times, resulting in 211 passing yards and one interception.</p>

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24

<p>Looking to win big? The Big Red and Gaels face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Gaels are hosting the game at Hynes Athletics Center in New Rochelle, NY. Cornell comes into this non-conference matchup as the -1.5 point favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 156.5 points.</p><h3>CORNELL BIG RED VS IONA GAELS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Iona Gaels +1.5</p><p>This game will be played at Hynes Athletics Center at 7:00 ET on Monday, November 25th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE IONA GAELS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Gaels.</li><li>Not only will Iona pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.</li></ul><h3>Can Cornell Secure a Road Victory?</h3><h3>Cornell Big Red Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Cornell dropped to 2-2 on the season after an 86-76 loss to Robert Morris on Thursday. The Big Red were -9.5 point favorites at home but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 162 exceeded the over/under line of 151.5.</p> 

<p>Cornell trailed 44-33 at halftime and couldn’t make up enough ground in the second half, despite scoring 43 points and allowing 42.</p><p>Cornell's offense put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 45.8% from the field and 32.1% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 54.2%, and they hit 86.7% of their free throws, going 13-for-15 from the line.</p> <p>Jake Fiegen led the way with 22 points, shooting 70% overall and 57.1% from three. Alvaro Folgueiras added 19 points and 12 rebounds, while Josh Omojafo contributed 8 assists despite shooting just 25% from the field.</p><p>Cornell's defense gave up 86 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 45% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 58% shooting, with the other team hitting 18 of 31 two-point attempts.</p> <p>From three-point range, Cornell's opponents shot 32%, making 9 of 28 attempts. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 15 times, where they converted 13 free throws for 86%. Cornell allowed 6 offensive rebounds.</p><h3>No Pressure for Iona as Home Dogs</h3><h3>Iona Gaels Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Iona faced a tough challenge on Wednesday, November 20th, as they went on the road to take on West Virginia. The Gaels entered the game as +13 point underdogs but ended up losing 86-43, failing to cover the spread.</p> 

<p>After trailing 45-22 at halftime, Iona struggled to get back into the game, scoring just 21 points in the 2nd half while allowing 41. The total points for the game were 129, which was under the O/U line of 147.5.</p><p>Iona's offense struggled mightily in their last game, managing just 43 points on 23.7% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was a mere 27.1%, and they connected on only 22.5% of their two-point attempts, going 9-for-40 inside the arc.</p> <p>From three-point range, the Gaels hit 5-of-19 shots, shooting 26.3%. Javon Small was a bright spot, hitting 5-of-9 threes and finishing with 23 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists. Iona also grabbed 18 offensive rebounds and dished out just 6 assists as a team.</p><p>Despite Iona's defensive struggles, they gave up 86 points on 51% shooting. The Gaels allowed 29 field goals, including 15 threes on 31 attempts (48%).</p> <p>Iona also sent the opposing team to the line 19 times, where they hit 13 free throws (68%). The Gaels gave up 12 offensive rebounds in the game.</p>

Cornell Big Red vs Iona Gaels NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/24

<p>Heading into this week 14 matchup between the Nebraska Cornhuskers and Iowa Hawkeyes, the over/under line is currently sitting at 39.5 points. The game is set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, with NBC handling the broadcast. Iowa is the -5.5 point favorite at home, and the money line odds are -211 for the Hawkeyes and +173 for the Cornhuskers. Iowa has a 7-4 record this season, while Nebraska is 6-5.</p><h3>NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS VS IOWA HAWKEYES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers +5.5</p><p>This game will be played at Kinnick Stadium at 7:30 ET on Friday, November 29th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Nebraska Cornhuskers winning this one by a score of 22 to 19</li><li>Not only do we have the Nebraska Cornhuskers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5.5</li><li>Look for this game to go over the line of 39.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Nebraska Cornhuskers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs</h3><p>Nebraska enters Week 14 against Iowa with a 6-5 record, ranked 44th in our power rankings. They’ve secured bowl eligibility and are 4-1 at home but just 1-3 on the road this season.</p> <p></p><p>The Cornhuskers have been favored in six games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4.6 points per game, and they are 5-3-1 against the spread.</p> <p></p><p>Nebraska’s over/under record is 3-6, with their games averaging 45.5 points. This week’s line is 39.5 points, compared to their average line of 45.8 points.</p><p>Nebraska’s offense is averaging 25.1 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 71st in the nation. However, they are ranked 52nd in our offensive power rankings. The Cornhuskers have focused on their passing game, ranking 34th in passing attempts per game, with 33.5, and 28th in completions, averaging 22 per game. They are 59th in passing yards, with 230.4 yards per game, and 45th in third-down conversion rate, converting 43% of their attempts. Their rushing attack is 98th in the country, with 130.7 yards per game.</p> <p>Quarterback Dylan Raiola has thrown for 2,392 yards this season, completing 66.3% of his passes. He has 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, with a passer rating of 85. Leading the rushing attack is Dante Dowdell, who has 564 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Jahmal Banks is the top receiver, with 467 yards and three touchdowns on 36 receptions.</p><p>Nebraska's defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 24th nationally by allowing just 20.5 points per game. Against Wisconsin, they gave up 25 points but held the Badgers to 15 first downs and 117 rushing yards on 24 attempts. Wisconsin's quarterback threw for 292 yards and three touchdowns, but Nebraska's defense also came away with an interception.</p> <p></p><p>Opponents have averaged 218.3 passing yards per game against Nebraska, completing 66.1% of their throws. Nebraska’s defense ranks 26th in the nation against the run, allowing just 113.6 rushing yards per game on 29.5 attempts, which is the 16th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.</p><h3>Are The Iowa Hawkeyes Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?</h3><p>Iowa enters Week 14 against Nebraska with a 7-4 record, ranked 20th in our power rankings. They are 4-1 at home this season and have been favored in nine of their 11 games. The Hawkeyes are 6-3 as the favorite and have a +11.6 average scoring margin.</p> <p></p><p>With a 5-5 record against the spread, Iowa is 3-2 at home and 5-4 as the favorite. Their over/under record stands at 8-2, with their games averaging 47.1 points. The average over/under line has been 40 points, and this week’s line is set at 39.5.</p> <p></p><p>Iowa is already bowl-eligible, but they have a 0% chance of winning the Big Ten. However, they rank 18th in the nation in terms of odds to win the national championship.</p><p>Heading into week 14, Iowa’s offense is averaging 29.4 points per game, ranking 45th nationally. They are 65th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the strength of the offense, averaging 214.4 yards per game on 39.5 attempts, placing them 13th in the country.</p> <p>Kaleb Johnson leads the ground game with 1,492 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Cade McNamara has thrown for 1,017 yards, with six touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 76.</p><p>Heading into their matchup against Nebraska, Iowa’s defense ranks 12th nationally, allowing just 17.7 points per game. They’ve given up 115.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 29th, and 196.7 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 76.1 passer rating and completing 62.2% of their throws.</p> <p></p><p>In their recent game against Maryland, Iowa’s defense allowed just 13 points and 227 total yards. They held Maryland to 98 rushing yards on 26 carries and 129 passing yards, while also forcing two interceptions.</p>

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24

Given the context and the stakes, UCLA over Gonzaga would have been the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history. Thanks to Jalen Suggs and a 45-foot heave, it didn’t happen. We now get the National Championship that we were hoping for with the game between Baylor and Gonzaga. UCLA fans were certainly hoping for a different outcome, but this is about the best we could have asked for, as the consensus #1 and #2 teams throughout most of the season meet for a title in Indianapolis.

Baylor’s systematic takedown of Houston was one of the most impressive performances of the tournament. It didn’t leave a lot of drama, but it was a sign of what Baylor remains capable of doing, even to teams considered “on their level” by the metrics sites that are out there.

Based on what happened in the two games, we saw a huge adjustment to the betting odds for the National Championship. Gonzaga was expected to be -6 or -6.5 in look-ahead lines. After the games, we now find Gonzaga -4.5 for the title against Baylor at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bookmaker"><strong>Bookmaker Sportsbook</strong></a>. The total is a robust 159.5 with everything on the line.
<h3><strong><u>Baylor Bears</u></strong></h3>
Baylor has not been an underdog this season until now. The smallest line for the Bears was a -4 number on the road at Texas Tech on January 16. That even includes the postseason. You have to give a lot of credit to Scott Drew. The timing of the February COVID pause was not ideal, though no COVID pause was ideal at any point of the season for any team.

It was especially tricky for Baylor, as they came back after three weeks off and looked bad against Iowa State and then lost to Kansas to fall to 18-1. The following game was a war against West Virginia that went Baylor’s way in overtime. Since then, Baylor has looked the part more often than not, including four double-digit wins in five games in the NCAA Tournament. The Bears beat Arkansas by nine in a game that maybe didn’t deserve to be that close.

The amazing thing about the Baylor/Houston game is that Baylor actually lost the rebounding battle on the offensive glass 14-13, but it was the offensive rebound in the first half that allowed the Bears to build up a big lead that they never relinquished. Baylor also shot the lights out early in the game and finished 11-of-24 from three.

That will be a huge key to the National Championship Game. Baylor comes in as the top three-point shooting team in the country. Gonzaga comes in 43rd in that department, but first in two-point shooting. If Baylor can score by threes while Gonzaga scores by twos, it could make the upset a distinct possibility. Baylor ranks fourth in eFG% offense. Gonzaga ranks second. That is how you end up with a total knocking on the door of 160 points.

The Bears have had a much, much harder road to get to this point. Their tournament strength of schedule was a talking point prior to the Houston game. Baylor has played four straight top-20 teams. They’ve conquered them all. They’ve been remarkably efficient on offense in those games. The defense has been good enough. The Houston game really wasn’t even as close as the final score would suggest and Baylor slacked off a bit defensively in the second half.

Something that will be really interesting to watch is the pace at which this game is played. Baylor rocked Houston in transition early in the Final Four matchup, but the game was only played to 58 possessions. It was Baylor’s second game in the last three to go under 60 possessions. The Bears even slowed Arkansas down to 69 possessions and also played Wisconsin to just 64. Gonzaga will want to run and push the game in transition. That’s how they create so many open looks.

Can the Bears slow down the tempo of the game to something that they are more comfortable with or will Gonzaga dictate the pace?
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<h3><strong><u>Gonzaga Bulldogs</u></strong></h3>
Questions about Gonzaga have to be the big story coming into the game against Baylor, right? Memorable moments are what they are, but what people will remember with UCLA gone and Gonzaga moving on is that the Bulldogs gave up 90 points to UCLA. That the Bruins, a #11 seed playing a sixth high-octane, high-pressure game in 16 days, took the undefeated best team in the country to overtime.

It was far and away Gonzaga’s worst defensive performance of the season. UCLA had a 64.4% eFG% and 1.212 points per possession. Prior to that game, the previous worsts for Gonzaga on the defensive side were 1.098 PPP and 59.7 in eFG%. Those were both by Kansas in the opening game of the season. Gonzaga won that game by 12 points anyway.

One thing that really stands out for Gonzaga here in the NCAA Tournament has been a lack of takeaways. It could be what really keeps this game close or maybe even puts Baylor on the precipice of an upset. Gonzaga’s TO% by game are 15, 18.8, 15.1, 13.9, and 13.5. By contrast, Baylor’s are 31.2, 21.8, 27.8, 21.9, and 18.8.

Baylor comes into this game as the #3 defense in TO%. Gonzaga is respectable at 126th, but Baylor has gotten extra possessions via the offensive glass and the turnover. Those are two areas where the Bears have some pretty significant advantages. Gonzaga is a decent offensive rebounding team, but the bulk of those numbers come from West Coast Conference play, a league that ranked 27th in ORB%. It was first in DRB%, but that’s because most of those teams lack height. The Big 12 is a different animal.

That being said, rebounding won’t be quite as big of a factor if Gonzaga keeps shooting the way it has all season long. The Bulldogs get tons of clean looks on offense, which is why they’ve shot 64% on twos. They spread and share the ball so well and have so many scoring options.

The Bulldogs also have an advantage at the free throw line in this one. The officials have mostly let the teams play in the NCAA Tournament. Of course, there was a huge block/charge call on the final possession of regulation that went Gonzaga’s way, but we haven’t seen a lot of foul fests or free throw shooting competitions in these games to this point.
<h3><strong><u>Pick &amp; Analysis</u></strong></h3>
Man, what a great matchup this is. These are the two best teams and it is nice to see this penultimate game despite all of the upsets that we saw early in the tournament and with what the Pac-12 did in the Elite Eight.

This line was 6 or 6.5 before the Final Four. Has it been overadjusted down to 4.5 based on just two small data points? That is really the question that we have to ask ourselves here. I said before the Final Four games that I liked Gonzaga over Baylor up to -7. Now we have a choice because of how the two teams looked in their respective games. Did what happened on Saturday impact my thought process enough to shift gears?

The answer for me is no. Gonzaga -4.5 is the play. There are some concerns, certainly, but UCLA had a massive outlier offensive performance and Gonzaga did play like a team scared to lose instead of eager to win at times.

Baylor is a great team. No doubt about it. I also think their win over Houston has been a bit overblown. Houston came from a horrific AAC conference, at least from an offensive standpoint. Their defensive metrics were overblown. Credit to Baylor for the path they’ve taken to get here, but Gonzaga’s offense is on another level and the Bulldogs should speed the Bears up.
<h4><strong>Pick: Gonzaga -4.5</strong></h4>
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Baylor vs. Gonzaga National Championship Game College Basketball Pick and Preview 4/5/21

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