Baylor Bears vs Duke Blue Devils Betting Pick & Prediction 12/20/23
The Bears and Blue Devils are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN. The Blue Devils will host the game at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 154 points, with the Blue Devils being the favored team playing at home against the Bears.
BAYLOR BEARS VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Duke Blue Devils -1.5
This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, December 20th.
WHY BET THE DUKE BLUE DEVILS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-67 in favor of the Blue Devils.
- Not only will Duke pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
No Pressure for Baylor as Away Dogs
The Bears have a record of 9-1 heading into today’s game after suffering a loss to Michigan State (88-64). In their past three road games, including those from last year, Baylor has a record of 2-1. Baylor’s against-the-spread (ATS) record is currently sitting above .500, standing at 5-3. Within their ATS record, the team has gone 0-2 vs. the spread when playing away and 5-1 when playing at home.
Up to this point, games involving Baylor have had an average of 159.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 149.2 points. Their over/under record is 6-2-0. When looking at the Bears’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 139 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Baylor offense concluded with only 64 points against Michigan State. Throughout the game, they made 6/19 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 47.9%. The top scorer for the Bears was RayJ Dennis with 11 points, while Yves Missi also chipped in with 11 points.
At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 96th in the country, permitting 67.6 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.9 threes per game vs. Duke. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 24.2%.
Will the Duke Defense Show Up at Home?
Duke, who has a 7-3 record this season, will be playing their 11th game. In their previous ten home games, Duke has a 9-1 record, which includes last year. Heading into today’s game, Duke’s against-the-spread (ATS) record is 3-5. In ATS games, they are 1-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.
Through 10 games, Duke has an over/under record of 4-4-0 with their games averaging a combined 148 points per game so far. When assessing the Blue Devils’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-1-1, with their games averaging 144 points per game.
Compared to their season average of 81.6 points per game, Duke struggled in their previous game. Against Georgia Tech, the Blue Devils scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.9%. Leading Duke in scoring vs. Georgia Tech was Jeremy Roach with his 20 points. Kyle Filipowski also added 12 points for the Blue Devils.
Currently, the Blue Devils’ defense holds the 71st rank in the nation, allowing 66.1 points per game. Against Georgia Tech in their most recent game, the Duke defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Georgia Tech to hit 50% of their shots.