Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Belmont Bruins Betting Pick & Prediction 12/20/23

Betting on today’s Red Wolves and Bruins game? Catch the action at Curb Event Center in Nashville, TN, as the Bruins hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 158.5 points, and the Bruins are the home favorites against the Red Wolves in a non-conference matchup.

ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS BELMONT BRUINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Belmont Bruins -4.5

This game will be played at Curb Event Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, December 20th.

WHY BET THE BELMONT BRUINS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Bruins.
• Not only will Belmont pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Arkansas State has played 11 games and currently has a 4-7 overall record. In away games, the Red Wolves have gone 2-6, while at home they are 1-1. As of today’s game, Arkansas State has a 5-5 record against the spread. In their previous five games, they are 3-2 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 11 games, Arkansas State has an over/under record of 2-8-0, with their games averaging 152.7 points per game on average. The Red Wolves’ last five games have finished with a combined 146 points per game and an over/under record of 1-4.

The Red Wolves’ offense wrapped up their last game with 75 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 74.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Red Wolves have a season long field goal percentage of 41%, which is 360th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 315th in percentage and 76th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Red Wolves’ defense is positioned 257th in the country, permitting 78.8 points per game. So far, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 8.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.2 times per game (627th).

Will Belmont Come Through as Home Favorites?

The Bruins come into today’s game with an 8-4 record, having just lost to Samford (99-93). In their previous five home games, which includes last season, Belmont has a 4-1 record at home. As Belmont gets ready to face Arkansas State, their against-the-spread (ATS) record stands at 4-6. So far this season, when playing at home, Belmont has not covered the spread, going 0-2. Looking back at their last ten home games, Belmont has a 3-6 ATS record.

Through 12 games, Belmont has an over/under record of 7-3-0 with their games averaging a combined 164.4 points per game so far. When assessing the Bruins’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-2, with their games averaging 158 points per game.

In their latest game, Belmont’s offense looked good, scoring 93 points against Samford. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 24/30 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ja’kobi Gillespie who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.8. Malik Dia also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.3.

At this time, the Bruins’ defense is positioned 263rd in the country, permitting 79.5 points per game. Belmont’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Samford offense to knock down 58% of their shots on their way to putting up 99 points.