Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24
The Orioles and Red Sox will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston. Baltimore is currently on a three-game losing streak and their overall record of 82-63 has them 2nd in the AL East. Boston is 3rd in the division at 73-71.
The money line odds have the Orioles at -105 compared to the Red Sox at -113, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. Kutter Crawford is slated to start for the Red Sox, while the Orioles are starting Albert Suarez.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -105
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RED SOX:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Boston cruised to a 12-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -123 on the money line.
Rob Refsnyder and Tyler O’Neill each homered twice for the Red Sox. Refsnyder, Rafael Devers, and Ceddanne Rafaela each had three hits and four RBIs. Devers, Xander Bogaerts, and Christian Vazquez also scored two runs apiece for Boston’s offense.
Brayan Bello pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going 5 1/3 innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Josh Winckowski got the save. Cade Povich had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss.
Orioles Records & Stats
With an overall record of 82-63, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore will be on the road today, looking to pick up a win and snap their three-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. So far, they have gone 29-18 against other teams in the AL East.
At home, the Orioles have gone 42-33 this season and are above .500 at 40-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 67-47 this season and 15-16 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 24-14-7 this season.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 42-28. They have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game in those contests. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 21-10 vs. the run line, while they are 57-57 as the favorite.
The Orioles are on the road against the Red Sox tonight, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-56. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 7 out of 9 games.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. This year, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came against the Red Sox, where he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. Suárez’s ERA on the road is 4.88, compared to 3.03 at home.
As a team, the Orioles are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd best home run hitting team and are also the top team in terms of isolated power. Baltimore’s team batting average is .250, and they are the top slugging team in the league.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Santander’s 40 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 36 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Henderson has been hot of late, hitting .341 over his last 10 games with three homers. Santander also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Red Sox Records & Stats
With a record of 73-71, the Red Sox are 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and trail the Orioles by 1.5 games for the second spot in the division. Boston has gone 19-18 against other teams in the AL East. The Red Sox have lost five straight games as the underdog, and they are 33-39 as the underdog overall. At home, the Red Sox are 34-39 compared to 39-32 on the road.
So far, the Red Sox have been good as the favorite, going 40-32 this year. They are 22-17-6 in series this year, and they are currently winning their series vs. the Orioles. Boston took the first game of the series.
The Red Sox have a run line record of 67-77 this season, with a run line record of 27-46 at home and 40-31 on the road. Their average run differential is 0.0 runs per game, and they have an average run differential of -0.5 runs per game in home games and +0.6 runs per game on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in four straight games as the favorite and are 27-45 against the run line in those games. They are 40-32 against the run line as the underdog.
The Boston Red Sox have an over/under record of 74-63 this season, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 13-14. Overall, 70.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs, with just 11.1% of their games having higher lines.
Kutter Crawford will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, as he gets the start for the Red Sox today. In that September 3rd start, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Crawford has finished with a record of 0-2 and has allowed two earned runs in each outing. So far this season, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .212 off the right-hander. Crawford’s overall record this year is 8-13, and his ERA is 4.08.
As a team, the Red Sox are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP. Boston’s offense is also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, as Devers is 2nd on the team with 28 homers, and O’Neill is right behind him with 29. Devers is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 81. O’Neill has been hot of late, going 10/31 with five homers over his last nine games.