New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24
This article was published on Sep 10, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

At 7:07 PM ET, the Mets and Blue Jays square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Mets are the betting favorite on the money line (-135). The Blue Jays’ money line odds are sitting at +114, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
SNY will be televising this game, and David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets. The Blue Jays are starting Chris Bassitt, and they will look to end a two-game losing streak. The Mets are 79-65, while the Blue Jays are 68-77 and are 5th in the AL East. The Mets are 2nd in the NL East.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +114
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Toronto wasted a good outing from Ryan Burr, as he went just two innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run for the Blue Jays. Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in the win, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run.
Ernie Clement was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/2 with two singles. New York’s offense was led by a two-hit game from Jeff McNeil.
After scoring two runs in the 7th inning, the Blue Jays could only muster one more run in the 9th and fell short with a final score of 3-2. The Mets had a late rally of their own, scoring two runs in the 8th and picking up the win.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 79-65 overall, putting them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York has gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets have won five straight road games, and they are 39-31 on the road this season.
So far, the Mets have been good as the favorite, going 52-36 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 25-16-8.
When the Mets are on the road, their run line record is 39-31, with an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 56 games, going 33-23 on the run line in those contests.
The Mets are on the road against the Blue Jays today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 71-69. The average over/under line in their games is also 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-8. Overall, 54.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 3 games.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 9-1 with a 2.75 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Peterson this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.31. Peterson’s last outing came on September 3rd, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. He finished that outing with 11 strikeouts. Looking back, he has given up just one earned run in three straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the Mets are batting .247, which is 11th in the league, and have the 8th ranked on-base percentage in the league.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor is also 13th in the league with 84 RBIs. Lindor has gone 7/27 in his last seven games, with one home run.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 68-77 overall, and they are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 15.5 games. The Blue Jays have gone 20-26 against other teams in the AL East. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight games, and they are just 3-7 across their last ten games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-36 this season, and they are 34-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 27-49 this season, and they are 41-28 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 16-24-6, and they have lost three straight series.
The Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet this season, going 74-71 overall. They have been especially strong on the road, where they are 48-27 against the run line. At home, they are just 26-44 vs. the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 43-33 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while it is -3.6 in losses.
When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the Blue Jays have a 75-67 over/under record, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 23-14-1. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over has hit in 61.5% of their games this season. Currently, the under has hit in their last two games.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 9-13 and an ERA of 4.30. Looking back at his last outing, Bassitt finished with a no-decision against the Phillies, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He did give up two homers in that outing. Before that, he had given up two homers in three straight starts. Bassitt has made 28 starts this year and has a total of 11 quality starts. His ERA at home is 5.8 compared to 4.07 on the road.
Over his last six games, Spencer Horwitz has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 9/20 with three homers and five RBIs. This has helped him put together a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .322 with a team-high 94 RBIs. Toronto’s top power threat has been Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 13th in the league with 28 homers and is also batting .322.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the MLB. They are also just 18th in home runs. As a team, Toronto is batting .242, and their team OPS of .708 is 14th in the league. So far, they have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in this category.
