Ball State Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24
Ohio is the favorite in this week 14 matchup against Ball State, with a -14.5 point spread at home. The game is set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Peden Stadium in Athens and will be broadcast on CBSS. The over/under line is currently at 53.5 points. The money line odds have Ohio at -718 and Ball State at +491. Ohio comes in with an 8-3 record, while Ball State is 3-8 for the season.
BALL STATE CARDINALS VS OHIO BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ohio Bobcats -14.5
This game will be played at Peden Stadium at 12:00 ET on Friday, November 29th.
WHY BET THE OHIO BOBCATS:
- We have the Ohio Bobcats winning this one by a score of 36 to 18
- Not only do we have the Ohio Bobcats winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -14.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 53.5 points
Will The Ball State Cardinals Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Ball State enters Week 14 with a 3-8 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 125th in our power rankings. The Cardinals are 1-4 on the road and 1-3 at home this season.
Ball State has been favored in just one game this year. Their average scoring margin is -14.2 points per game, but they have a 5-4 record against the spread. At home, they are 3-1 ATS, and as underdogs, they are 5-3 ATS.
The Cardinals’ over/under record stands at 6-2-1, with their games averaging 65.6 points. Their average over/under line is 54.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.
Ball State’s offense is averaging 25.7 points per game heading into week 14, placing them 68th in the nation. Our power rankings have them as the 94th best offense. They are 68th in third down conversions, converting 40% of their attempts, and their rushing game ranks 117th, averaging 109.2 yards per game.
Quarterback Kadin Semonza has thrown for 2,567 yards this season, with 22 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 92 and has completed 64.6% of his passes. Ball State is 25th in passing attempts per game and 23rd in completions, averaging 236.6 passing yards per game.
Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 39.9 points per game. In their recent 38-13 loss to Bowling Green, they gave up 38 points, including three passing touchdowns and 259 passing yards. Overall, the defense allowed 365 total yards, though they limited Bowling Green to 106 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 286.4 passing yards per game against Ball State, completing 62.8% of their passes. The Cardinals rank 116th in the nation against the run, allowing 169.5 rushing yards per game on 31.8 attempts, which is the 31st fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.
Are The Ohio Bobcats Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Ohio enters Week 14 with an 8-3 record, holding a 4-0 mark at home. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have a 38.6% chance of winning the Mid-American, according to our projections. The Bobcats are ranked 82nd in our power rankings heading into their matchup with Ball State.
Ohio is 5-0 as the favorite this season, with a +8.8 average scoring margin. Their ATS record stands at 7-3, including a perfect 4-0 at home. As the favorite, they are 4-1 against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is set at 53.5 points. Ohio’s games have averaged 45.7 points, with an average line of 47.8. Their over/under record is 5-5 for the season.
Ohio’s offense has leaned heavily on their rushing attack this season, ranking 19th nationally with 207.1 rushing yards per game. They are 26th in rushing attempts, averaging 38.9 per game. Anthony Tyus III leads the team with 851 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, Ohio is scoring 27.3 points per game, placing them 58th in the country, and they are 81st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.
Quarterback Parker Navarro has thrown for 1,765 yards, and Ohio ranks 111th in passing yards per game. Navarro has seven touchdowns and nine interceptions, with a passer rating of 82. Coleman Owen leads the receiving corps with 880 yards and five touchdowns on 57 catches.
Ohio’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 18.5 points per game. They’ve been particularly effective against the run, giving up only 104 rushing yards per game, which also ranks 15th in the country. Opponents have averaged 195.5 passing yards per game against Ohio, completing 60.7% of their passes.
In their recent game against Toledo, Ohio’s defense allowed just 7 points, giving up only 9 first downs. Toledo managed just 42 rushing yards on 24 attempts, while Ohio’s secondary allowed 173 passing yards on 14 completions.