Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24
ESNU will be covering the Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons matchup, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green. Both teams enter this game with a 7-4 record, and the Falcons are slight -2.5 point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently at 42.5 points, and the money line odds are +116 for Miami (OH) and -139 for Bowling Green.
MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks +2.5
This game will be played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium at 12:00 ET on Friday, November 29th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS:
- We have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning this one by a score of 20 to 19
- Not only do we have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points
Will The Miami (OH) RedHawks Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Miami (OH) enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, facing Bowling Green on the road. They are 4-1 at home and 2-3 on the road this season. The RedHawks are 6-0 as the favorite and have a +6.1 average scoring margin. They have a 23.2% chance of winning the Mid-American but are already bowl-eligible.
Against the spread, Miami (OH) is 5-5, going 4-2 as the favorite. At home, they are 3-2 ATS, with a 3-1 record as the favorite. On the road, they are 2-3 ATS, splitting 1-1 as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 42.5 points. Miami (OH) has a 4-5-1 over/under record, with an average line of 45.1 points and average total scoring at 41.7 points per game.
Heading into week 14, Miami (OH) ranks 77th in scoring, averaging 23.9 points per game, and they are 95th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for 2,355 yards with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 91.
The RedHawks are 66th in passing attempts, averaging 29.1 per game, and they are 68th in passing yards, with 225.3 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 32.3%, ranking 118th. Keyon Mozee leads the rushing attack with 937 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Reggie Virgil has 705 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns.
Miami (OH)’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 13th nationally by allowing just 17.8 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up only 9 points and 242 total yards, including 114 passing yards and 128 rushing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opponents are averaging 137.2 rushing yards per game on 35.2 attempts and 177.6 passing yards against Miami (OH), which ranks 23rd nationally. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of just 66.9 and a completion rate of 55.4% against the RedHawks’ defense.
Will The Bowling Green Falcons Win At Home Over The Miami (OH) RedHawks?
Bowling Green comes into Week 14 with a 7-4 record and a 2-2 mark at home. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have a 36.2% chance of winning the Mid-American title. The Falcons are ranked 74th in our power rankings.
They’ve been favored in seven games this season, going 5-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +8.5 points per game, and they are 5-5 against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 42.5 points. Bowling Green’s games have averaged 47.6 points, with an average over/under line of 51.1 points. Their over/under record is 3-7 this season.
Heading into week 14, Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 28.1 points per game, placing them 53rd in the nation. They are ranked 67th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 2,453 yards and has a passer rating of 101. He has completed 67.6% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Nationally, Bowling Green ranks 18th in completion percentage and 34th in passer rating.
On average, the Falcons attempt 29.6 passes per game, ranking 60th, and they are 66th in passing yards, averaging 225.9 yards per game. On the ground, they average 155 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 861 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. Bowling Green has converted 39% of their third-down attempts this season.
Bowling Green’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 19th nationally by allowing just 19.5 points per game. They also rank 19th in passing yards allowed, giving up only 174.6 yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 56.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 77.9.
In their recent game against Ball State, the defense allowed just 13 points and 254 total yards. They were particularly effective against the run, giving up only 43 rushing yards on 24 attempts, while forcing Ball State to throw the ball 38 times, resulting in 211 passing yards and one interception.