Looking to win big? The Governors and Bears face off at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The Bears are hosting the game at Farris Center in Conway, AR. Austin Peay is favored by -2.5 in this Atlantic Sun conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 142.5 points.


The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +2.5

This game will be played at Farris Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Governors Lock in a Road Win?

After starting the season with a 3-12 record on the road, Austin Peay has won three straight games and will look to continue their success away from home. The Governors are 4-2 when favored this season and are favored by 2.5 points tonight.

Overall, Austin Peay has a record of 13-13, including a 6-5 mark in Atlantic Sun Conference play. They have gone 7-8 in non-conference action.

When looking at Austin Peay's ATS record this season, they are 13-9-1 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-7, while they are 5-2-1 at home. As the favorite, the Governors are 2-3-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last three road games, Austin Peay is 1-2 ATS and they are 1-1-1 ATS in their last three games as the favorite.

This season, the over/under record for Austin Peay games is 13-10 and today's line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and the over/under record in their games over their last 10 is 8-2.

Austin Peay's offense had a good outing, putting up 79 points against Queens (NC). They achieved a 55.8% field goal percentage and went 15/22 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Governors have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 267th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 134th in terms of percentage and 123rd in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Governors' defense is positioned 110th in the country, permitting 69.8 points per game. The Austin Peay defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed Queens (NC) to connect on 6 threes.

Can the Bears Hold Strong at Home?

Central Arkansas will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak at home when they take on Austin Peay. The Bears have gone 3-7 at home this season, and they are 7-17 as the underdog.

Central Arkansas comes into this game with a 9-18 record, including a 5-6 mark in Atlantic Sun play. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -6.7 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Central Arkansas has gone 13-10-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have an ATS record of 5-5. At home this year, the Bears are 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Central Arkansas games is 11-13-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 150 points. Today's over/under line is 142.5. So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 134 points.

Central Arkansas is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 79 points vs. North Florida. This figure is more than their season average of 72.2 points per game. The top scorer for the Bears was Elias Cato with 14 points, while Masai Olowokere also chipped in with 14 points.

So far, the Bears' defense is ranked 283rd in the country at 77.6 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Central Arkansas defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as North Florida knocked down 13 three-pointers on their way to 77 points.