Week 10 of the NFL is starting with this divisional rivalry game in Charlotte on Thursday, November 10, and here you can check out the best Falcons vs. Panthers betting pick and odds.

Carolina is hoping to avoid the third straight defeat when they welcome Atlanta at Bank of America Stadium. The Falcons are 3-point favorites on BetOnline Sportsbook, while the total is set at 43.5 points. These NFC South foes have met once this season, and the Falcons won 37-34 in overtime in Atlanta.

Falcons fell short to the Chargers despite a bright start

The Atlanta Falcons (4-5-0, 6-3-0 ATS) are in a hot and cold form lately, and they dropped to below .500 after losing to the Los Angeles Chargers at home. Atlanta opened the game with a 10-0 lead but scored just one touchdown in the remaining three quarters. The Chargers scored a game-winning field goal as time expired to snatch a 20-17 victory.

Marcus Mariota completed 12 of 23 passes for 129 yards. The pass offense didn’t work for the Falcons in this one, but their run offense was exceptional. Atlanta collected 201 yards and recorded two touchdowns on 35 rush attempts. Tyler Allgeier did have a career-high 99 yards on ten carries, but Cordarrelle Patterson scored both rushing touchdowns. Defensively, Rashaan Evans and Richie Grant combined for 23 tackles.

C Matt Hennessy (knee) and CB A.J. Terrell (hamstring) are questionable to play on Thursday against Carolina.

Panthers were destroyed by the Bengals

The Carolina Panthers (2-7-0, 3-6-0 ATS) failed to bounce back from a tight overtime loss to the Atlanta Falcons and suffered a heavy 42-21 road defeat to the Cincinnati Bengals. The 42 points allowed is a season-high for the Panthers, and the result actually wasn’t bad considering Cincy had a 35-0 lead at halftime. The Bengals dominated in every segment, including total yards (464-228), first downs (30-13), and possession (39:21-20:39), while Carolina committed three turnovers and forced none on the other end.

Baker Mayfield completed 14 of 20 passes for 155 yards and two touchdowns. Terrace Marshall Jr, who led the Panthers in receiving yards with 53 on three catches, got one of those two TD passes from Mayfield, while Tommy Tremble received the other one. Raheem Blackshear found the end zone on the ground, but Carolina’s run offense was a non-factor because they trailed early on and the visitors abandoned running. On defense, Shaq Thompson was solid with a game-high ten tackles.

WR Andre Roberts (knee) and QB Sam Darnold (ankle) are out indefinitely. S Juston Burris (concussion), WR Rashard Higgins (illness), and RB Chuba Hubbard (ankle) are questionable to take on Atlanta on Thursday.

Trends:

Atlanta:

  • 5-1 ATS in the last six vs. NFC rivals
  • 6-2 ATS in the last eight games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
  • 13-6 in the last 19 ATS vs. a team with a losing record

Carolina:

  • 2-9 ATS in the last 11 games following an ATS loss
  • 5-18 ATS in the last 23 games overall
  • 3-9 ATS in the last 12 vs. NFC opponents

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Pick  

Both defenses belong to the worst seven in the NFL, but Atlanta’s offense is way better, which is why I am backing the Falcons to get a win here. With Cordarrelle Patterson now back from an injury, the Falcons are more dangerous on the ground. The Falcons have the 4th best run offense that averages 162.9 yards per game, while Carolina’s run defense is the 5th worst in the league and it is allowing 139.3 yards per contest. I am backing Patterson, Allgeier, and Mariota to have a strong outing against this Carolina D.

Pick: Take the Falcons at +2.5 (-133)

The Total

The Panthers are scoring below 20.0 points per game, but the Falcons are allowing 25.0 ppg, so the hosts will definitely have a chance to score 20+ points here. The problem is, the Panthers are among the worst teams when it comes to pass offense, and the Falcons have the weakest pass defense, which means Carolina doesn’t have an advantage. Still, given these rivals combined for 71 points a couple of weeks ago, I expect to see at least 43 points. Over is 4-1 in the Falcons’ last five vs. NFC South rivals, while Over is 4-0 in the Panthers' previous four home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Pick: Go Over 42.5 points (-133)