Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24
The Braves and Nationals will face off in an NL East matchup at 6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The forecast for Tuesday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Reynaldo Lopez is slated to start for the Braves, and they are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 78-66. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a record of 64-79.
MacKenzie Gore will get the start for the Nationals, and they are the slight underdog on the money line (+135). The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSSO will be televising Tuesday’s Braves vs. Nationals matchup.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +135
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 1-0 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite at -157 at home but couldn’t get anything going offensively, as the Reds scored the game’s only run in the 2nd inning. The Braves also wasted a good start from Charlie Morton, who took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the loss.
Atlanta’s offense was carried by Matt Olson, going 2/3 with two singles. The rest of the Braves lineup only had two hits. Both of those hits were singles, and the Braves didn’t have a runner get past 2nd base.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Nationals, the Braves are 78-66 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by eight games in the division. Atlanta lost the final game of their series vs. the Reds, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Braves are 40-31 this season, and they are just above .500 at 38-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 66-50 this season, and they are 12-16 as the underdog. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, putting together a record of 27-21 this year. The Braves’ overall series record is 26-16-5.
When betting the run line in Braves games this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they’re 68-76 overall. They’ve been a better play on the road, going 39-34, compared to 29-42 at home. As the favorite, they’re just 51-65, but as the underdog, they’re 17-11. Their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +0.9 runs per game on the road and -0.1 runs per game at home. In their wins, they’re winning by an average of 3.5 runs per game, while in their losses, they’re losing by an average of 3.2 runs per game.
The Braves have played in 81 games this season with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and their record in those games is 8-15-1. The over/under line for today’s game against the Nationals is also set at 8 runs. The Braves have an overall over/under record of 52-87 this season, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 8-5 with a 2.04 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.15 and opponents are batting .219 off him this year. López has turned in 13 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs is good for 5th in the league and leads the team. He is also 5th in the league with 37 home runs. Ozuna comes into the game with a batting average of .304. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 79 RBIs but is batting just .233 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Currently, they are just 27th in the league in runs per game at home.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 7-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +132 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored four times in the bottom of the first.
Patrick Corbin had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on 10 hits and issuing three walks. The Nationals also wasted a big game from CJ Abrams, who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.
With an overall record of 64-79, the Nationals are 21.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 19-21 in divisional games. Washington will host the Braves today, and they trail the Braves by 8.0 games for the 3rd spot in the division.
At home, the Nationals are 32-37 this season compared to a road record of 32-42. As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 52-67 this season, and they are an even 12-12 when favored. Washington is currently on a three-game losing streak at home, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.
Washington has a run line record of 80-63 this season, including a 37-32 mark at home. The Nationals have an average run differential of -0.5 runs per game and have gone 43-31 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 69-50 against the run line, while they are just 11-13 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3 runs per game and -3.7 runs per game in losses.
Washington is playing at home, where the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Nationals are averaging 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 69-69. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 10-8-1. Overall, 68.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-11 with an ERA of 4.32. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.50, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. In his last outing, Gore finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on nine hits. He did pitch well in this outing, finishing with eight strikeouts. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Gore has made eight quality starts this year.
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 20th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as their 120 total is 23rd in the league. The team’s collective batting average is .245, which is 12th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in fewest strikeouts per game.
Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .285 and is 2nd on the team with 15 homers. CJ Abrams has gone deep 19 times this season but is hitting just .238. Over his last eight games, Andrés Chaparro has three homers and 10 RBIs, but is hitting just .242 during that stretch.