Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

Adam Oller is starting for the Marlins on Tuesday, and he is facing off against Carmen Mlodzinski for the Pirates. The game is set to get started at 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Pirates at -145 compared to the Marlins at +122. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

The forecast for Tuesday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. The Marlins are currently 5th in the NL East, while the Pirates are 5th in the NL Central. SN PT will be televising this game.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -145

This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Pittsburgh picked up a 3-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the Marlins could only muster one run as they fell short. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -273 on the money line.

Paul Skenes started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued six walks. Aroldis Chapman got the save. Valente Bellozo had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one run.

At the plate, the Pirates were led by Oneil Cruz, Andrew McCutchen, and Bryan Reynolds, as they were the only three Pirates hitters to have more than one hit. Cruz also hit the game’s only home run. For the Marlins, Jesus Sanchez went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 54-90, putting them 32 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, they are 16-29 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 26-43 this season.

So far, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14 this year. As the underdog, they are 50-76, which includes being 26-43 as the road underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are currently losing their series vs. the Pirates.

The Marlins are 36-33 against the run line on the road this season, including a current three-game run line win streak. Miami has been an underdog in 126 of their 128 games this season and is 66-60 against the run line in those games. The Marlins’ average run differential in their 68 wins is +2.8, while their average run differential in their 76 losses is -3.8.

The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Marlins games this season. Miami has played to the over in 78 of their 140 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Marlins have gone 4-12-1 to the over. This season, 81.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.

Adam Oller will be making his 4th start of the season for the Marlins, and it will be his 3rd road start. He has a record of 1-2, and his last time out, he took a loss to the Phillies, allowing 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings. Oller’s first start of the season was a no-decision against the Giants, where he struck out 8 in 6 innings.

For the Marlins to get their offense going, they will need a big game from Jake Burger, who leads the team with 60 RBIs and 25 homers. However, he is batting just .242 for the season. Jesús Sánchez is batting .251 and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers. Sánchez is also on a three-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in walks, on-base percentage, and OPS. Miami does have the 14th best batting average in the league, but that hasn’t translated into runs.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 68-76 overall and trail the Brewers by 14.5 games in the NL Central. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division, just a half-game behind the Reds for 4th place. The Pirates have gone 22-20 against other teams in the NL Central.

The Pirates have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. At home, they are 35-38 compared to 33-38 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 57 games, going 31-26 in those contests. As for their games as the underdog, the Pirates are 37-50 this year. Pittsburgh has an overall series record of 19-21-6 this year.

When betting the run line, the Pirates have been a better play on the road, going 43-28, compared to 36-37 at home. Their average run margin is -0.3, and they have a run line record of 79-65. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 57-30 against the run line.

When the Pittsburgh Pirates play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Pirates have played 142 games this season, and the combined run average in those games is 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 71-71, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-9-1. This season, only 4.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with just 7 games having lines higher than 9 runs.

Pittsburgh is starting right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski today vs. the Marlins. He has made 31 appearances this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.73 ERA. Mlodzinski’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24, and opponents are batting .235 off him this year. Mlodzinski most recently pitched on September 8th out of the bullpen, where he went one inning and gave up one earned run on two hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Mlodzinski has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Over his last four games, Andrew McCutchen has gone 4/15 with a home run and two RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .240, but his 19 homers are 2nd on the team. Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .275 and leads the team with 82 RBIs. His 22 homers are also the best mark on the team.

As a team, the Pirates are 17th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .235 and are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.