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<p>Looking to win big? The Wild and Coyotes face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Coyotes are hosting the game at Mullett Arena in Tempe, AZ. The Wild come into this Central division matchup as the -1.5 goal favorite to pick up the win. Currently, the over/under for the game is at 6 goals.</p><h3>MINNESOTA WILD VS ARIZONA COYOTES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Arizona Coyotes +1.5</p><p>This game will be played at Mullett Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE ARIZONA COYOTES:</h3><ul><li>With the Wild being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Wild.</li><li>Take the Wild on the moneyline</li><li>On the puck line, we like Coyotes (+1.5)</li></ul><h3>Will the Wild Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?</h3><p><p>On the season, the Wild have gone 29-27-6 and are currently in 12th place in the Western Conference. Against teams from the West, Minnesota has gone 15-16 this season, and in the Central Division, they have a record of 5-11.</p>

<p>Over their last ten games, the Wild have gone 5-5 and are 2-3 in their last five games. On the road, Minnesota has gone 14-15-2 this season and have lost two straight games away from home.</p></p><p>Minnesota enters this game with an overall puck line record of 32-30 and a road puck line mark of 17-14. Their average scoring margin for the season sits at -0.2 goals per game.</p>

<p>So far, the Wild have played 35 games as the underdog and have gone 22-13 against the puck line in those contests. In their last ten games, the team's puck line record is 5-5.</p> <p>This season, Minnesota's games are averaging 6.5 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.2. The Wild currently have an over/under record of 30-28-4.</p><p>In their last three games away from home, the Wild have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 2 goals per game in this stretch.</p><p>For their offensive performance, the Wild come in averaging 3.1 goals per game this season, which is 17th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 20th in the league. The Minnesota offense is ranked 9th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 30th in the NHL.</p><p>Minnesota's leading scorer is Kirill Kaprizov. So far, he has 29 goals which is 20th in the NHL. Kaprizov also comes into the game with 37 assists.</p><p>Defensively, the Coyotes come into the season ranked 10th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.6 shots per game against Arizona. For the season, they are ranked 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 6 shutouts.</p><p>Heading into this matchup vs. Arizona, goalie Filip Gustavsson has started 36 games in this season. His current record is 17-15, and his save percentage stands at 0.796%.</p><h3>Can the Coyotes Lock in a Home Win?</h3><p><p>At home this season, the Coyotes have gone 15-15-0, including a current six-game losing streak. In the Western Conference, Arizona is 13th and has a record of 14-21.</p>

<p>Overall, the Coyotes have gone 25-32-5 and are in 7th place in the Central Division. As the underdog, Arizona has a record of 15-29-4 and has won two straight games in that role.</p></p><p>Arizona comes into this game with a puck line record of 31-31 for the season and 24 losses by more than one goal. So far, they have gone 26-22 against the puck line as the underdog, and their average scoring margin as the underdog is -.9 goals per game.</p>

<p>So far, the Coyotes have dropped five straight games vs. the puck line at home, and their average scoring differential at home this year is -.3 goals per game. Overall, they have gone just 13-17 vs. the puck line at home, and they are 11-24 this year with more than one goal losses.</p> <p>The average goal total for Arizona's games is sitting at 6.3. The average over/under line for the season is 6.2. The Coyotes come in with an over/under record of 34-24-4.</p><p>In their last three games away from home, the Wild have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 2 goals per game in this stretch.</p><p>When looking at their offense, the Coyotes have an average of 2.9 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 24th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 28th in the league. Coming into the game, the Coyotes have a 11-7 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 14-22.</p><p>Arizona's leading scorer is Clayton Keller. So far, he has 22 goals which is 55th in the NHL. Keller also comes into the game with 30 assists.</p><p>The Coyotes defense is currently 10th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.6 shots per game against Arizona. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 3rd with 6 shutouts.</p><p>Goalie Connor Ingram comes into the game having made 37 starts this season. So far, his record is 17-16 and he has a save percentage of 0.88%.</p>

Minnesota Wild vs Arizona Coyotes Betting Pick & Prediction 3/7/24

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A lot of brackets have probably been in shambles since the first day of the NCAA Tournament, but a lot of amateur bracketologists probably wound up with this Arkansas vs. Baylor game as the Elite Eight matchup in the South Region. Ohio State seemed like an underwhelming #2 seed and there weren’t a lot of challengers in the upper half of the bracket for Baylor.

Villanova was likely the closest, but the absence of Collin Gillespie did wind up playing a role in the bad second half the Wildcats had against Baylor. The Razorbacks survived a Max Abmas three-point attempt at the buzzer to take the glass slipper off of Oral Roberts and leave it shattered in pieces on the court at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

That brings us to this Elite Eight tilt between Arkansas and Baylor, as the higher seed is -7.5 at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bookmaker"><strong>Bookmaker Sportsbook</strong></a> with a total of 149.
<h3><strong><u>Arkansas</u></strong><strong><u> Razorbacks</u></strong></h3>
Arkansas has gotten to this point, but it has not been pretty. At all. The Razorbacks struggled through the first 30 minutes against #14 Colgate before pulling away, leaving the upset bid in the dust. A two-point win over Texas Tech preceded a two-point win over Oral Roberts in games where the Razorbacks were 5-of-26 from three-point range. This is not a team that shoots a ton of threes, but it wasn’t even part of the game plan against ORU.

Arkansas was 1-of-9 from three, but also just 28-of-68 on two-point shots. The game was played to 73 possessions and both teams took pretty good care of the basketball, but the 72-70 final never even sniffed the total in the upper 150s. If the Abmas attempt was an inch to the right, we’d be talking about Oral Roberts in this game against Baylor.

It wasn’t, so we’re not, but Arkansas needs to play a hell of a lot better offensively to be a factor in this game. The Razorbacks had 1.091 PPP for the game when they overwhelmed Colgate in the second half, but only have 1.003 and .958 PPP in the two games since. Frankly, this illustrates what we saw from Arkansas most of the season. This is a team that plays fast and hides some shooting shortcomings with offensive rebounds and a low turnover rate.

The Razorbacks are outside the top 100 in 2P% offense and outside the top 180 from beyond the arc. As mentioned, they don’t really shoot a lot of threes, but that game plan might have to change against a Baylor team that is big, long, and protects the rim pretty well with the 83rd-ranked Block%.

Baylor’s defense did take a tumble late in the regular season, but has bounced back nicely here. Arkansas will have to crack the code and get some high-percentage looks in hope of keeping pace.
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<h3><strong><u>Baylor Bears</u></strong></h3>
Baylor is able to wear teams down with a lot of extra possessions. The Bears are a top-10 offensive rebounding team and a top-five squad in forcing turnovers. Their TO% is 24.8%, so nearly a quarter of opponents’ possessions have ended in a giveaway. Arkansas only turned it over on 17% of its possessions, but the SEC teams don’t really force turnovers to the same degree that Baylor does.

Everybody raves about the Arkansas offense because of the lofty point totals, but the reality is that Baylor is a far more efficient offensive unit. The Bears are second in the nation in 3P% and just outside the top 40 in 2P%. This is a team, much like Arkansas, with a lot of different scoring threats. If one player is off, somebody else can pick up the slack. There are a lot of teams that don’t have that luxury. Baylor does.

This may not matter because this is likely Scott Drew’s best team ever in Waco, but the Bears have not made the Final Four since 1950. This is the first trip past the Sweet 16 since 2012. Baylor lost 82-70 to #1 Kentucky that year. This year, they are the #1 seed. Making good NCAA Tournament runs has not been that hard, but getting over this hump has been. Drew is 0-2 in the Elite Eight and had been having issues in the Sweet 16 prior to this season as well.

However, twice Baylor faced #1 seeds in Duke in 2010 and Kentucky in 2012. Arkansas is not the #1 seed and is a team that does have some flaws. Flaws that have been exposed for wins that have been too close for comfort in March Madness.
<h3><strong><u>Pick &amp; Analysis</u></strong></h3>
Will Eric Musselman and the Razorbacks look to speed up this game? Baylor’s win over Villanova was just 57 possessions and the Wisconsin game was also slow. Do the Razorbacks prefer to get into a shootout with Baylor’s efficient offense? It could very well be their best shot. Will Baylor oblige and run with Arkansas?

I’m not sure how this game falls from a totals standpoint, but I do like Baylor minus the points. Unlike the other Elite Eight game on Monday with a line in this range, this game should be played to a higher number of possessions, which gives the better team more opportunities to produce margin.

The better team here is Baylor. We’ve seen that with the body of work for each team in this tournament and we can see that in all of the stats and metrics as well.
<h4><strong>Pick: Baylor -7.5</strong></h4>
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Arkansas vs. Baylor Elite Eight College Basketball Pick and Preview 3/29/21