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The illustrious career of Anderson Silva will come to a close on October 31 following his main event match with Uriah Hall. Dana White has brought the UFC back stateside to the UFC APEX training facility for this UFC on ESPN+ 39 fight card.

There are 12 fights on the card and a lot of good fighters will be in action, but the big story is undoubtedly that this will be the swan song for Silva, who is a veteran of 44 professional MMA fights. He’s a big underdog as he’ll hop to go out on a high note.

We should have a lot of high notes on this card. We’ll take a look at the odds from <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betonline"><strong>BetOnline Sportsbook</strong></a> and dive into all of the matches on the card, with some more detailed breakdowns on the main card scraps.
<h4><strong><u>Kevin Natividad (+140) vs. Miles Johns (-160); Total: 2.5 (-210/170)</u></strong></h4>
Action begins in the bantamweight division as favorite Miles Johns looks to bounce back from his first career loss. Johns was defeated by Mario Bautista back at UFC 247 by knockout. He was 10-0 up to that point, with six decision wins. He’s not a big striker and it cost him in the loss to Bautista. The former LFA champ takes on a former LFA contender in Natividad, who is making his first UFC appearance. While we’ve seen Johns on the big stage, Natividad has six stoppage wins and his lone loss came in a nine-second stunner against Glen Baker more than three years ago. Natividad did once beat Irwin Rivera, who now has three UFC fights to his name after being a champ in Titan FC. <strong>I’ll look at the underdog here.</strong>
<h4><strong><u>Priscila Cachoeira (+205) vs. Cortney Casey (-240); Total: 2.5 (-260/200)</u></strong></h4>
Cortney Casey is 1-1 in 2020 with a submission win over Mara Romero Borella and a submission loss to Gillian Robertson with a quick turnaround of just 35 days. She draws Priscila Cachoeira here, who scored a very impressive, and surprising, knockout of Shana Dobson back in February. Cachoeira was on short notice in that fight and Dobson was -200. Cachoeira had lost three straight prior to that. Rather than lay a big number on this fight with Casey, who has lost three of her last five, the under 2.5 at +200 is a nice look. Casey’s last two fights have ended in finishes, although one was late in the third round, and two of Cachoeira’s four UFC fights were unders. <strong>Under 2.5</strong>
<h4><strong><u>Justin Ledet (+280) vs. Dustin Jacoby (-340); Total: 2.5 (-105/-125)</u></strong></h4>
Dustin Jacoby was impressive on August 4 against Ty Flores in his Dana White Contender Series debut, but impressive enough to be laying over $3 here? Jacoby is 12-5 in his career, including two Bellator losses. He was away from pro MMA from January 2015 to June 2019 before coming back to a win in SCL and then the DWTNCS win. Justin Ledet has dropped three straight in the UFC, but he’s fought decent competition. He was 9-0 before the loss to Aleksandar Rakic in July 2018. Jacoby is a great kickboxer and that skill set may be too much for Ledet, but this price is too much for me. <strong>Pass</strong>
<h4><strong><u>Cole Williams (+123) vs. Jason Witt (-143); Total: 2.5 (-200/160)</u></strong></h4>
August 3, 2019 was a big day for then 35-year-old Cole Williams. He got his first UFC opportunity against Claudio Silva. He lost by first-round submission. Now he gets another crack, this time against Jason Witt, who also had a disappointing UFC debut. Witt lost to Takashi Sato in just 48 seconds. It wasn’t really Witt’s fault, as he was a late replacement for Ramiz Brahimaj, who had to withdraw because one of his cornermen tested positive for COVID. It was a huge step up for Witt against an excellent fighter in Sato. This spot should go better for Witt and the -143 price may be cheap for a slightly younger fighter with a good ground game. The ground game is what tripped Williams up against Silva. <strong>Jason Witt</strong>
<h4><strong><u>Jack Marshman (+270) vs. Sean Strickland (-330); Total: 2.5 (-140/110)</u></strong></h4>
Jack Marshman’s stock has fallen quickly. He’s lost three of his last four fights and he’ll be shaking off nearly 17 months of cage rust when he takes on Sean Strickland. The 17 months pales in comparison to the fact that this will be Strickland’s first fight in more than two years. He, too, struggled before the layoff, as he was just 2-2 in his four fights before being sidelined from a bad motorcycle accident. There is no way I could lay -330 on a guy coming back from having multiple body parts repaired. <strong>Marshman isn’t a great bet, but at +270, he’s certainly worth more of a gamble than his opponent. </strong>
<h4><strong><u>Victor Rodriguez (+295) vs. Adrian Yanez (-360); Total: 1.5 (-120/-110)</u></strong></h4>
The UFC debut for Victor Rodriguez comes in a big underdog role against Adrian Yanez. Rodriguez is replacing Aaron Phillips, who withdrew from the card on October 20. Yanez, who went 25 minutes with Miles Johns in an LFA title fight two years ago, shined on the Dana White Contender Series in August with a KO win over Brady Huang. He was a main event fighter in LFA before taking his UFC shot at the age of 26. Rodriguez has been fighting in much smaller promotions and it’s pretty easy to see why Yanez is a huge favorite here. <strong>It’s Yanez or nothing in this fight.</strong>
<h4><strong><u>Chris Gruetzemacher (+325) vs. Alexander Hernandez (-390); Total: 2.5 (-155/125)</u></strong></h4>
Based on the line, the only thing Chris Gruetzemacher will win is longest last name on this UFC card. Alexander Hernandez is just shy of a $4 favorite as he looks to bounce back from a loss to Drew Dober back in May. Hernandez has actually lost three of his last four after starting 10-1 as a pretty good prospect in the lightweight division. The 28-year-old is taking on a fighter who hasn’t fought since April 7, 2018, so maybe that will help him out here. I just don’t see any reason to get involved in a fight like this.<strong> Pass</strong>
<h4><strong><u>Thiago Moises (+255) vs. Bobby Green (-305); Total: 2.5 (-240/190)</u></strong></h4>
The theme of big favorites continues into the main card with Thiago Moises vs. Bobby Green. All action is on ESPN+, so you won’t even have to change the channel. Green just won his third straight fight of 2020 with a win over Alan Patrick on September 12. He’s gone 15 minutes in each of his last eight fights, so the -240 on the total isn’t really high enough here. Green is actually just 4-5-1 in his last 10 UFC fights, but he has ripped off three straight this year to get his career back on track.

Thiago Moises had gone to decision three straight times before a submission win over Michael Johnson. Moises is 13-4 and has never lost via stoppage. He’s got nine stoppage wins, but is only 4-4 in decisions, which is likely a major reason why Green is such a big favorite here. There’s no way I’d lay the -305, but I’d be shocked if this didn’t go to the cards.
<h4><strong>Pick: Over 2.5</strong></h4>
<h4><strong><u>Maurice Greene (+270) vs. Greg Hardy (-320); Total: 1.5 (-125/-105)</u></strong></h4>
A couple of real big, real scary dudes square off here in the heavyweight division. Maurice Greene stands 6-foot-7 and 255 pounds and Greg Hardy is 6-foot-5 and 265 pounds. This will be a violent fight to say the least. We’ll see how Hardy does here after going 15 minutes in each of his last two fights. Each of the last four fights for Greene has ended in a stoppage, with two wins and two losses.

Hardy is a massive favorite here and there is a perception that follows him around because of how he started his career. As he has moved up the ranks, though, he has had more and more difficulty. I’m not sure he’s worthy of this big price against a guy in Greene that is surprisingly adept in the clench and on the ground. He’s got five wins via submission. Hardy will have to keep this fight upright and the more classically-trained Greene may be good enough to get it to the ground.

I don’t have a strong play here at all, but the underdog at +270 would be the lean.
<h4><strong>Pick: Maurice Greene</strong></h4>
<h4><strong><u>Makhmud Muradov (+120) vs. Kevin Holland (-140); Total: 2.5 (-215/175)</u></strong></h4>
This was originally supposed to be Makhmud Muradov vs. Krystzof Jotko, but Jotko broke a toe and now Kevin Holland will take his place. This will be Holland’s fourth fight in about 5.5 months. This will be Muradov’s first since December. He is 2-0 in UFC and the 30-year-old beat Alessio Di Chirico by decision and Trevor Smith by KO to round out 2019.

He’s 24-6 with 16 career knockouts and will provide a good test for Holland. Holland, though, beat Joaquin Buckley, who has the highlight of 2020, Alexander Hernandez, and Darren Stewart. Maybe Muradov is worthy of this much respect, but Holland has had a huge 2020. The turnaround is fairly quick, but he did the same thing for the Stewart fight and outlasted him over 15 minutes. I think it’s being priced too much into the line.
<h4><strong>Pick: Kevin Holland</strong></h4>
<h4><strong><u>Andre Fili (+122) vs. Bryce Mitchell (-142); Total: 2.5 (-155/125)</u></strong></h4>
It is a breath of fresh air to see some competitive lines on this card. Bryce Mitchell, the TUF 27 winner, won both fights in 2019 and then stopped Charles Rosa back on May 9 with a unanimous decision win. The 26-year-old is up to 13-1 with nine submission wins. His opponent, 30-year-old Andre Fili, has nine knockouts to his name. We’ll find out a lot about Mitchell here, as he takes on an experienced fighter with a lot of experience in the cage. Fili has 28 pro fights to his name and his seven-year anniversary in the UFC was this week.

He’s fought a lot of top guys along the way, something we cannot really say about Mitchell. In fact, in some respects, this will be pretty clearly the hardest fight for Mitchell to date. We’ll see how he does stepping up in class. I like to err on the side of caution with fighters that haven’t been in this type of spotlight. He’s in the lead-up to the main event with an icon fighting for the last time in Anderson Silva. This is a much brighter light than what Mitchell has seen. I’ll pay to see if he can prove me wrong.
<h4><strong>Pick: Andre Fili</strong></h4>
<h4><strong><u>Anderson</u></strong><strong><u> Silva (+190) vs. Uriah Hall (-225); Total: 4.5 (-114/-116)</u></strong></h4>
It all started on June 25, 1997. Anderson Silva beat Raimundo Pinheiro in Campo Grande, Brazil. He worked up the ranks around the world, including Pride and Shooto, and made his UFC debut on June 28, 2006 against Chris Leben. It took less than a minute for a star to be born.

Silva’s star no longer shines as bright in the cage, but what he has done for the UFC and MMA in general has been nothing short of amazing. The fact is that Silva has lost six of his last eight fights and had one win overturned for a positive drug test. It is past time for the 45-year-old to call it quits, but he’ll get one last matchup here against Uriah Hall. Silva, who did manage to go 15 minutes with Israel Adesanya last year, hasn’t fought since May 11, 2019.

Hall also hasn’t fought in 2020 yet, but the 36-year-old would seem to probably have a little more tread on the tires than Silva. Granted, aside from his UFC 226 loss to Paulo Costa, Hall’s last two fights have been Bevon Lewis and Antonio Carlos Junior. At least Silva has still been fighting world-class guys. It’s not like Silva’s losses have been to stiffs.

Ultimately, I don’t know what happens here and don’t really believe either side is worth betting. I’ll just root for Silva to end on a win.
<h4><strong>Pick: Anderson Silva</strong></h4>

UFC on ESPN+ 39: Hall vs. Silva Betting Odds, Picks, & Predictions

<p>Looking to win big? The Cowboys and Spartans face off at 10:00 ET on NBCS. The Spartans are hosting the game at Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose, CA. The over/under for this game is set at 140.5 points, and San Jose State is favored by -1.5 vs. Wyoming in a Mountain West conference matchup.</p><h3>WYOMING COWBOYS VS SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: San Jose State Spartans -1.5</p><p>This game will be played at Provident Credit Union Event Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Spartans.</li><li>Not only will San Jose State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.</li></ul><h3>Can the Cowboys Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?</h3><p>Wyoming comes into this game on a three-game losing streak, and they are just 2-8 on the road this season. They are also 7-11 as the underdog, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five games away from home.</p>

<p>Overall, the Cowboys are 12-12 this season, and they have gone 5-6 in Mountain West Conference play. They are coming off an 84-76 loss to Utah State.</p><p>As the underdog this season, Wyoming has an ATS record of 8-9-1, and their overall ATS record is 8-13-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-7, and their ATS record in their last 10 road games is 3-7. In their last three road games, the Cowboys have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.</p><p>So far this season, the over/under record in Wyoming games is 13-9 and today's line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (146.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 144 points.</p><p>In their recent matchup, the Wyoming offense ended with 76 points against Utah State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.8% and made 9 threes. Sam Griffin is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today's matchup with an average of 17.8. Meanwhile, Akuel Kot also brings a PPG average of 14.4 into the game.</p><p>So far, the Cowboys' defense is ranked 251st in the country at 75.3 points per contest. Against Utah State in their most recent game, the Wyoming defense gave up a total of 84 points while allowing Utah State to hit 41% of their shots.</p><h3>Will the Spartans Win at Home?</h3><p>San Jose State comes into this game with a 9-16 record, including a 2-10 mark in Mountain West play. At home, the Spartans are 5-7 this season, and they are 4-4 when favored.</p>

<p>In their last game, San Jose State defeated Air Force by a score of 73-66. Over their last ten games at home, the Spartans have gone 4-6, and they are 1-4 in their previous five.</p><p>San Jose State has an ATS record of 9-14 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 5-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.</p><p>San Jose State's over/under record this season is 16-7 and today's over/under line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 126 points.</p><p>In their previous game, the Spartans' offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 71.8 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Myron Amey Jr., who comes into today's matchup with an average of 15.4, while Alvaro Cardenas Torre also maintains a PPG average of 13.4 leading up to the game.</p><p>Currently, the Spartans' defense holds the 224th rank in the nation, allowing 74.2 points per game. San Jose State's three-point defense is currently 127th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.3% of their shots vs. San Jose State.</p>

Wyoming Cowboys vs San Jose State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 2/17/24

<p>There is a chance for light rain in Pittsburgh on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 82 degrees. The Pirates and Diamondbacks are set to square off at 6:40 PM ET at PNC Park. Pittsburgh is 55-54, while the Diamondbacks are 59-51 and they have won four straight. Arizona is second in the NL West, and the Pirates are third in the NL Central.</p>

<p>Arizona is the money line favorite for Saturday's matchup, with their odds sitting at +100 compared to the Pirates at -118. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this NL matchup can be seen on MLB Network.</p><h3>ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +100</p><p>This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PIRATES:</h3><ul><li>We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Pirates series. Arizona went into the matchup as -132 favorites and squeaked out a 9-8 win. The Diamondbacks had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Pirates, they scored eight of their ten runs in the 6th and 7th innings.</p>

<p>Pittsburgh actually outhit the Diamondbacks in the game 13 to 11. Both teams finished with three home runs. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks had the better offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game compared to the Pirates' 4.1 runs per game.</p>

<p>Brandon Pfaadt got the start for Arizona, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out three. He did not factor into the decision, as Dylan Floro got the win out of the bullpen. Ryan Thompson got the save. Colin Holderman took the loss for Pittsburgh out of the bullpen. </p>
<h3>Diamondbacks Records & Stats</h3><p>Arizona is on a four-game winning streak, and these wins have them at 59-51 overall, which is good for 2nd place in the NL West. Currently, they are four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks are 19-14 in division play this year.</p>

<p>So far, the Diamondbacks have been good at home, going 31-25, and they are just above .500 at 28-26 on the road. Arizona has won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 32-20 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 27-31.</p><p>When betting the run line in Arizona Diamondbacks games, it's been a profitable strategy overall with a 56-54 record. The D-backs have been especially profitable on the road, going 31-23 against the run line. They've been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-23 against the run line compared to 21-31 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while it's -4.0 in losses.</p><p>The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road facing the Pittsburgh Pirates today, with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Diamondbacks games this season is 9.9 runs, and their over/under record is 60-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-14. Overall, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.1% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at 6 games.</p><p>Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Pirates on the road. So far this season, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 6.51. Looking at his numbers, Montgomery has a WHIP of 1.69 and opponents are batting .309 this season. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Montgomery's last outing came on July 29th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.</p><p>Arizona comes into today's game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, where they are also averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league.</p>

<p>Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been the team's top power hitters this season, with Marte leading the team with 26 homers and Walker right behind him with 23. Marte is also hitting .303 for the season, and Walker comes in with a batting average of .254. Over his last seven games, Marte has gone 10/24 (.417) with four homers and 10 RBIs.</p><h3>Pirates Records & Stats</h3><p>Pittsburgh is 55-54 overall this season, and they are seven games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates lost the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are coming off a loss in their final game before the All-Star break. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional games.</p>

<p>At home, the Pirates are 26-27 this season compared to a 29-27 mark on the road. As the home underdog, the Pirates have gone 13-13 this season, and they are 32-34 as the underdog overall. Pittsburgh's losing streak is currently at two games, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.</p><p>The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 62-47 overall. They are 27-26 at home and 35-21 on the road. They are 46-20 as underdogs on the run line and have covered in four straight games as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while it's -3.4 in losses.</p>The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-57 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-15, and 17.4% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The over has hit in their last two games.<p>Mitch Keller is coming off a start in which he went seven innings and finished with a no-decision. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he gave up two earned runs, six hits, and two walks. Looking back over his last three starts, Keller has finished with a no-decision in each outing. He has made 12 quality starts this year and has a record of 10-5 with a 3.30 ERA. Keller's WHIP for the season is 1.21, and opponents are batting .242 off the right-hander this year. So far, he has allowed 13 homers and is averaging 7.99 strikeouts per nine innings.</p><p>Currently, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. At home, they are scoring just 4.0 runs per contest, which is 27th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .233, and their team on-base percentage is just .301. However, they do have two hitters with 18 homers apiece in Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz.</p>

<p>Oneil Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 9/25 in his last six games with two homers. Over this stretch, he has driven in five runs. Michael A. Taylor has also gone deep twice in his last six games, but he is just 4/19 over this stretch.</p>

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24

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