Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/21/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Marlins has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Diamondbacks are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -170 compared to the Marlins at +143. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Arizona comes in with a record of 71-56 and they will be looking to extend their two-game win streak. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 46-80 and they have lost two straight. Jordan Montgomery will start for the Diamondbacks, while Roddery Munoz goes for the Marlins. Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East. BSFL will be televising this NL matchup.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -170
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 21st.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS MARLINS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Arizona picked up a 3-1 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 1st inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -127 on the money line.
Eduardo Rodriguez got the win for the Diamondbacks, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a season-high six walks. Justin Martinez got the save. Edward Cabrera had a solid outing for the Marlins in the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
Corbin Carroll and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. each had two hits and an RBI for the Diamondbacks’ offense. Connor Norby had a two-hit game for the Marlins.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 71-56 overall and trails the Padres by one game for 2nd place in the NL West. Currently, they are four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks have taken two straight games and are winning the series vs. the Marlins 2-0.
As the road team today, the Diamondbacks are 34-30 this season compared to 37-26 at home. Arizona has been the favorite in 64 of their games, going 40-24 in those games. As for playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 31-32 this season. Their overall series record is 22-14-4 this season.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 36-28 overall and 2-0 in their last two games. They have a run line record of 65-62 overall, and their average run margin in games they win is +4.1 runs per game.
The Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 69-51. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 27-17. Overall, 36.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and 29.1% have had lower lines.
Jordan Montgomery will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rockies. In that start, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs on five hits. Looking back further, Montgomery has made 18 starts and has a record of 8-6. His ERA for the season is 6.25, along with a WHIP of 1.66. Opposing batters are hitting .297 off Montgomery this season. The left-hander has a BB/9 figure of 3.53 compared to 6.35 strikeouts per nine innings. This year, he has turned in six quality starts.
As a team, the Diamondbacks are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do they have the best team batting average in the league, but they are also 6th in home runs and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.
Arizona’s top power hitter this season has been Ketel Marte, who has 30 home runs, which is 7th in the league. He is also 11th in the league with 81 RBIs. Marte is batting .298 this season. Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and has a batting average of .254. Both players have been swinging the bat well of late, with Corbin Carroll and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. both having gone 3/19 in their last five games.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 46-80 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 27.5 games in the division. So far, they have gone just 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins lost the final game of their series vs. the Reds and have dropped the first two games of this series.
At home, the Marlins are 24-41 this season compared to a 22-39 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 42-67 this year, and they are just 4-13 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 10-24-6, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
When betting the run line on the Marlins, it is best to take them as the underdog, as they are 56-53 against the run line in those games. They are just 2-15 against the run line as the favorite, and their average run margin in those games is -1.4 runs per game. They are 28-37 against the run line at home and have failed to cover in their last two games at home. They are 30-31 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is -1.1 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are playing at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 69-54. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-20. So far this season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 15.9% of their games.
Rodder Muñoz is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Marlins today. Against the Mets on August 16th, he gave up four earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Muñoz ended up taking the loss in that outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Muñoz has made 15 starts and two of them have been quality starts. His record for the season is 2-7, and he has an ERA of 5.88. Opposing batters are hitting .244 off Muñoz this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.73 strikeouts and 4.38 walks.
Over his last nine games, Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/36 with four homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 55 RBIs and 24 homers, which is 13th in the league. Jesús Sánchez is also a power threat in the Marlins lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 15 homers.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just .238, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.