Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/21/24

The Twins and Padres will face off in an interleague matchup at 6:40 PM ET at PETCO Park in San Diego. The Twins are currently on a three-game losing streak and their record of 70-56 has them 3rd in the AL Central. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West with an overall record of 72-55.

San Diego is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -123 compared to the Twins at +105. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and BSN will be televising this one.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -123

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 21st.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego rallied for four runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this series. The Padres scored two runs in the 2nd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the 8th, picking up a 7-5 win over the Twins. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +102 on the money line.

Minnesota wasted a good outing from Bailey Ober, as he gave up just three runs in six innings of work for the Twins. Steven Okert took the loss. Tanner Scott got the win out of the bullpen for the Padres as Martin Perez went just 4 2/3 innings.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado each homered for the Padres, while Xander Bogaerts scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Jake Cronenworth also had a two-hit game and scored twice.

Twins Records & Stats

With an overall record of 70-56, the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 3.5 games. The Twins will be looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped three straight games, losing the first two games of this series vs. the Padres. So far, they have gone 28-17 in divisional games.

At home, the Twins have gone 36-24 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-32 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are 8-19 this season and 55-32 when favored. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-13-3, and they have won two straight series.

Minnesota has been a strong bet against the run line on the road this season, going 35-31. They have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game on the road, and their run line record is 27-33 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games on the road, and their overall run line record is 62-64.

Minnesota has been a solid over team this season with a 65-57 O/U record, and the Twins have gone over the total in three straight games. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the over/under line for Minnesota’s games has averaged 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have a 19-19 O/U record in those games. Only 9.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on one homer. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings. Woods Richardson has a total of 12 homers this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.77 walks compared to 7.71 strikeouts.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Jeffers leads the team with 20 homers, and Santana is right behind him with 18. However, Santana has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .200 over his last nine games. Jeffers has been better of late, hitting .316 with three homers in his last six games. Willi Castro is also a player to watch, as he has gone deep 10 times this season and is batting .253.

As a team, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 7th best batting average.

Padres Records & Stats

With an overall record of 72-55, the Padres are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres have gone just 20-20 in divisional games this year. San Diego will be at home today, where they are 35-29 this year. They have been really good on the road, putting together a mark of 37-26.

San Diego has won two straight games, and they have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. The Padres have an overall series record of 25-14-3 this year. At home, they have been the favorite 49 times, going 28-21 in those games. As the underdog, the Padres are 27-22 this year. Currently, the Padres have a seven-game winning streak at home.

The Padres have been a good bet on the run line this season, as they are 67-60 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 41-22. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have a run line record of 34-15 as the underdog.

San Diego’s over/under record is 68-58, and the over has hit in two straight games. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Twins is 8.5 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over is 17-14 in San Diego’s games this season. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 24 of the Padres’ games this year, accounting for 18.9% of their contests.

Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies. In that start, he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Waldron has allowed at least five earned runs in each. Before this rough stretch, he had a quality start vs. the Rockies, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. For the season, he has a record of 7-10 and an ERA of 4.29. Opposing batters are hitting .229 off Waldron this year.

San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with each having 20 homers. Profar’s 76 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. Machado has just a .250 average over his last six games, but he does have two homers during that stretch. Jackson Merrill is also on a five-game hitting streak.