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College Basketball Betting -- Wisconsin Needs to Shoot Straighter vs. Maryland

When the Wisconsin Badgers hit the floor tonight against the Maryland Terrapins, it will be with a bitter memory, not just of their last game, which was a disappointing loss to Ohio State, but their previous meeting with the Terps, who almost ran them off the floor in the second half back in Madison.

Now they will meet again in Big Ten action, this time at College Park.

WISCONSIN BADGERS at MARYLAND TERRAPINS, 9 p.m. Eastern (Big Ten Network)

College Basketball Betting Odds: Wisconsin - 3, Total 129.5

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Wisconsin had an awful experience against Ohio State, making just seven out of 28 attempts from beyond the three-point line. It seems as if, judging from his postgame comments, coach Greg Gard tried to write this off, professing that his team just missed a lot of open shots.

That's not really a good thing, and whereas the Badgers seemed to be very accurate during their non-conference schedule, they have turned into something very ordinary from long range since Big Ten play began. When you are shooting just 33.7% from downtown, you are actually below the national average. When you add to that the fact that Wisconsin, as a team, is just 48% from inside the arc, and does not make a habit of going to the free throw line, then you really have some problems to deal with.

It's not so much that we like Maryland as a team; frankly, they haven't done anything truly extraordinary this season. And their last victory, coming by way of a 63 - 49 score over Minnesota, was against a foe we have our doubts about.

But there was definitely something that coach Mark Turgeon did in the second half of their December 28th game that made a huge difference - enough that it ended a 15-game home winning streak for the Badgers. As it is, Maryland likes to put out a relatively position -less team, where all the starters are between 6 - 5 and 6 - 7. So everybody is a ball handler. That's tough enough to sit back and play defense against, but Maryland went a little smaller, and beat Wisconsin's bigger lineup in the area of quickness.

The result was that the Terrapins were out hustling Wisconsin on the boards and shot 64% in the second half of play, with the result a 70 - 64 victory.

Now we are looking at this in a little bit of a different perspective. Where we were seeing Wisconsin's shooting results and saying “oh they must have gotten cold in this game,” now we're thinking that they have to actually get hotter than usual in order to light up the scoreboard enough.

No one is going to dispute Wisconsin's ability to defend; they are indeed the seventh-ranked team in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, at least according to the metrics that we find at the reliable KenPom site. But matchups can be everything in basketball, and when your six-foot guard (in this case D'mitrik Trice) is your best shooter from two-point range, at least in that previous meeting, you are looking at a team that may have matchup difficulty that is too difficult to solve. That's why we are taking the points with Maryland, an admittedly flawed team, but one that can certainly go toe-to-toe with Wisconsin at this stage.

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Wisconsin vs. Maryland College Basketball Free Pick & Prediction 1/27/21

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Diamondbacks and Guardians facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Monday's matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET. There does appear to be a chance of rain in Cleveland on Monday.

Arizona is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -123 compared to the Guardians at +105. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and Logan Allen will start for the Guardians, while the Diamondbacks are starting Zac Gallen. Cleveland comes in with a record of 67-44, while the Diamondbacks are 60-52. The Guardians are on a two-game losing streak, while the Diamondbacks have won three in a row. Cleveland is +105 to win the AL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West. BSGL will be televising Monday's Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup.<h3>CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +105This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Monday, August 5th.<h3>HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS GUARDIANS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Guardians winning by a score of 7 to 6</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over</li></ul><h3>Diamondbacks Records & Stats</h3>Joc Pederson and the Diamondbacks are coming off a big 6-5 win over the Pirates to close out their series. Pederson went 2/5 with three RBIs and a homer. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning but had to hold on, as the Pirates scored a run in the 9th to pull to within one. Arizona was the +139 underdog going into this road game.

Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going five innings and giving up four runs on six hits. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. Paul Sewald picked up the win out of the bullpen, and A.J. Puk got the save.Arizona is 60-52 overall this season, and they are five games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks will be on the road today to take on the Guardians, and they lead the Pirates by a half-game for the second wild card spot. Arizona won their last two games vs. the Pirates and have gone 8-2 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 31-25 this season, and they are just above .500 at 29-27 on the road. Arizona has won four straight games as the favorite, and they are 32-20 when favored this season. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 28-32 this season, and they have won six straight series overall.Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 57-55 overall. The Diamondbacks have been particularly good on the run line on the road, where they are 32-24. They have an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.2 runs per game.The Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Guardians, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Arizona has a combined run average of 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-48. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-15. Overall, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8.5 runs, accounting for 38.4% of their games this season.Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.56 ERA. Gallen's WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. Looking back at his last outing, Gallen picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he gave up six hits, issued one walk, and didn't allow a homer. Gallen has won each of his last three starts. So far, he has made nine quality starts and is averaging 8.84 strikeouts per nine innings.Arizona comes into the game as one of the league's top offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league's top home run hitting teams, and they have the 4th best team batting average in the league. Over their last 10 games, Ketel Marte has been on fire, going 14/38 with six homers and 16 RBIs.

For the season, Marte is batting .300 with 27 homers and 77 RBIs, while Christian Walker is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and 71 RBIs. Marte's 6-game hitting streak is tied for the team's longest streak of the season.<h3>Guardians Records & Stats</h3>The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 9-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 3rd inning before the Orioles scored six runs in the 4th. Cleveland was the +111 underdog at home going into the game.

Gavin Williams had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. The Guardians also wasted a big game from Josh Naylor, who homered in the 1st inning, going 3/4.Cleveland is currently 67-44 overall, good for a 4.5-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians will host the Diamondbacks today, having dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Orioles. So far, they are 19-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Guardians are 35-17 this season, and they have gone 32-27 on the road. As the underdog, Cleveland is 19-21 this year, and they are 48-23 when favored. Cleveland's overall series record is 22-10-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 55-56 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 31-28. They have been a good bet on the run line as the underdog, going 23-17. They have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game this season.The Cleveland Guardians are at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their combined average of 8.6 runs per game. The Guardians have gone over the line in 15 of their 28 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs this season, including their last four games.Logan Allen gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with an ERA of 5.67. Allen's WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. Looking at his overall numbers, Allen has issued 3.61 walks per nine innings compared to 7.83 strikeouts. Allen has turned in five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he didn't give up a homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in four straight outings.Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians' top power threats this season, as Ramirez's 29 homers are 4th in the league, and Naylor's 24 homers are 8th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game with the 2nd most RBIs in the league (93), while Naylor is 5th in the league with 80 RBIs. Over the team's last five games, Naylor has gone 8/19 with two homers and seven RBIs, and Ramirez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/19 with three homers and eight RBIs.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and come into the game with a team batting average of .242. They are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league. Cleveland's offense has been pretty consistent, as they are 7th in home runs and 12th in team slugging percentage.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/5/24