Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 5/7/24

At 6:40 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Reds will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and features a Diamondbacks club that is 15-20 compared to the Reds at 16-18. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Diamondbacks are the favorite on the money line at -130.

Starting for the Reds is Frankie Montas, and he is up against Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Looking at the Reds, they are 5-5 at home this season. As for the Diamondbacks, they are 6-13 on the road.

CINCINNATI REDS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +108

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, May 7th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Padres, closing out their series with an 11-4 win. After allowing one run to the Padres in the top of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with four runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.

Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Joc Pederson had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Diamondbacks also had three other players with two hits.

Arizona is 15-20 overall this season, and they are eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks lost the series to the Padres, dropping two of three games. So far, they are 9-8 in divisional matchups.

As for their overall record, the Diamondbacks are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. This year, they are 9-10 at home compared to 6-10 on the road. Arizona has dropped four straight games as the favorite, and they are 8-8 overall as the favorite this year. As for playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 7-12.

Arizona has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they have gone 16-19 overall. They have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 7-9, compared to 9-10 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 10-9 against the run line, compared to 6-10 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +5.4, while it is -3.7 in losses.

The Diamondbacks’ over/under record is 15-19 on the season, and their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game. They have gone over the total in two straight games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone over the total in three of seven games. Overall, 31.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 48.6% have had lines set below 9 runs.

Right-hander Zac Gallen is on the mound for the Diamondbacks today as he gets set to face the Reds on the road. Gallen has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.22 and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. Gallen has turned in two quality starts this year and is averaging 9.84 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league so far, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts and are 6th in the league in walks. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat for the Diamondbacks of late, going 6/17 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. He is currently 8th in the league with 24 RBIs and is tied for the team lead with seven homers. Ketel Marte is also swinging a good bat, hitting .307 for the season, and is on a seven-game hitting streak.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a tough 11-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. Things really got away from the Reds in the 1st inning, as the Orioles scored three runs in the inning. Cincinnati’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.

Nick Lodolo got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs. Offensively, the Reds had only three fewer hits than the Orioles but scored just one run. Kyle Farmer had a good day at the plate, going 3 for 4 with a run scored.

Cincinnati is hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 16-18, and they have dropped five straight games. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, four games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

The Reds have really struggled at home, losing four straight, and they are just 2-3 as the home underdog this year. Cincinnati is 10-7 as the favorite and 6-11 as the underdog overall. The team’s series record is 4-6-1, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Orioles.

The Reds are 17-17 against the run line this season, and they are 8-11 against the run line at home. Cincinnati has a run line record of 9-6 on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game. The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games, and they are 2-2 against the run line in their last four games overall. Cincinnati is 9-8 against the run line as the favorite and 8-9 against the run line as the underdog this season.

When the Reds play at home, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 29.4% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this year, and their over/under record is 18-15 overall. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 1-5-1.

Frankie Montas and the Reds will be playing host to the Diamondbacks today. Montas has a win and a no-decision in his two starts this season. He went 5 2/3 innings in his first start, picking up the win vs. the Phillies, and then went just two-thirds of an inning in his last start vs. the Angels.

Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ top hitter, with a batting average of .271 to go along with a team-leading eight home runs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 6/31 in his last eight games. De La Cruz is also 2nd on the team with 19 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Will Benson are tied for 2nd on the team with four homers apiece, but Steer is batting just .246, and Benson is hitting only .195.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road (4.6 RPG). Overall, they are 11th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best isolated power figure. However, they are near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS.