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<p>Betting on today's Eagles and Mocs game? Catch the action at McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN, as the Mocs hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Chattanooga as the -12 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 142.5 points.</p><h3>MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES VS CHATTANOOGA MOCS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Morehead State Eagles +12</p><p>This game will be played at McKenzie Arena at 8:00 ET on Thursday, November 14th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-71 in favor of the Mocs.</li><li>Even though we have Chattanooga winning straight-up, we like Morehead State at +12.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.</li></ul><h3>No Pressure for Morehead State as Away Dogs</h3><h3>Morehead State Eagles Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Morehead State dropped their season opener, losing 83-56 to Cincinnati on Friday. The Eagles were heavy underdogs at +28.5 but managed to cover the spread.</p> 

<p>After trailing 37-19 at halftime, Morehead State scored 37 points in the 2nd half but allowed 46. The game’s total points of 139 fell just under the O/U line of 142.5.</p><p>Morehead State managed just 56 points in their last game, shooting 35.7% from the field and 28.6% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 39.3%, and they hit 66.7% of their free throws, going 12-for-18 from the line.</p> <p>Dillon Mitchell, Simas Lukosius, and Jizzle James each scored 14 points, with Mitchell going 7-for-7 from the field. Lukosius hit 2-of-2 from three-point range and added 6 assists, while James connected on 2-of-3 from deep.</p><p>Morehead State's defense struggled, giving up 83 points on 60% shooting from the field. The Eagles allowed 33 field goals on 55 attempts.</p> <p>Inside the arc, Morehead State gave up 27 two-pointers on 39 attempts, a 69% shooting percentage. From three-point range, they allowed 6 threes on 16 attempts, a 37% success rate. The Eagles also sent the opposing team to the line 15 times, where they made 11 free throws, shooting 73%.</p><h3>Pressure Builds for Chattanooga as Home Favorites</h3><h3>Chattanooga Mocs Recent Game/Games</h3> 

<p>Chattanooga dropped to 0-1 on the season with a 67-61 loss to Austin Peay on Monday. The Mocs, who were -2.5 favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.</p> 

<p>After trailing 37-31 at halftime, Chattanooga couldn’t make up the difference in the 2nd half, as both teams scored 30 points after the break. The game’s total points of 128 fell short of the O/U line of 147.</p><p>Chattanooga's offense struggled from beyond the arc in their last game, hitting just 5 of 29 threes for a 17.2% shooting percentage. Overall, they shot 39.1% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 43.8%.</p> <p>Inside the arc, the Mocs were more efficient, shooting 57.1% on two-point attempts. Bash Wieland led the team with 19 points, while LJ Thomas added 18, and Sai Witt contributed 17. Isaac Haney was efficient, hitting 3 of 4 threes and finishing with 14 points.</p><p>Chattanooga's defense held their opponent to 67 points, allowing them to shoot 43% from the field. The Mocs gave up 15 two-point baskets on 33 attempts, a 45% shooting rate.</p> <p>From beyond the arc, Chattanooga's defense allowed 6 threes on 15 attempts, with their opponent shooting 40%. They also sent them to the line 26 times, where they made 19 free throws, a 73% success rate.</p>

Morehead State Eagles vs Chattanooga Mocs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/14/24

Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. That was the case last night, as Kansas somehow covered +9 against Baylor. A banked three at the buzzer was jubilation for KU backers and devastation for Bears bettors. Such is life betting college basketball. We all have those meaningless threes, ridiculous fouls, and other bad beat stories on both sides. They never seem to even out, but those on Kansas last night got one back.

With that we head into a busy Tuesday night card. Like I said yesterday, sometimes you have no choice but to look at a big game. That big game tonight is Alabama vs. LSU down in Baton Rouge. LSU is -1 at <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bovada"><strong>Bovada Sportsbook</strong></a> with a total of 163. It’s a big ol’ total, but these two teams went over that number last season and both are playing at quickened paces this year.

This is a really fascinating game in a lot of ways, aside from just being one that looks like it could have an NBA score. There are also some side angles in play as well.
<h3><strong><u>Alabama</u></strong><strong><u> Crimson Tide</u></strong></h3>
The Tide have rolled to an 11-3 straight up mark and are 8-6 against the spread, depending on the number you got in some of their games that fell around the number. Since an unexpected loss to Western Kentucky, Alabama has ripped off seven straight wins and a 6-0 start in SEC play. They’ve only failed to cover once in that span and that was against Auburn on January 9.

Alabama does have some injury worries heading into this one, as Jordan Bruner, the tallest player on the roster at 6-foot-10, missed the game against Arkansas over the weekend with a knee injury. He is officially questionable tonight. Bruner had 20 in the win over Auburn, but only hit double digits once otherwise this season. However, LSU is a poor defensive rebounding team, so this would be a good spot to have the big man.

Alabama checks a lot of boxes both offensively and defensively. The Tide rank 24th in adjusted offensive efficiency, due in large part to offensive rebounding and taking care of the basketball. They actually haven’t shot that well, shooting 34.1% from deep and 50.3% inside the arc. They’ve been blocked a lot in the paint as well, but this is a team that likes to push the pace and shoot from three. Their adjusted tempo ranks 12th per Bart Torvik and their 3P Rate is 22nd in the country.

Defensively, this is a stout squad for Nate Oats. The Tide are 14th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Opponents are only shooting 30.6% from 3 and 45.8% from 2. Locking down defensively has been a big part of this SEC run. Only one team, Auburn, has scored over a point per possession on Alabama in the last eight games.
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<h3><strong><u>LSU Tigers</u></strong></h3>
That would appear to be a major concern for Will Wade’s team. LSU is one of three teams in Bart Torvik’s top 49 that ranks outside the top 100 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Iowa and UCLA are the others. LSU wins with offense. They are fifth in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and 20th in eFG%. The Tigers are a great offensive rebounding team that gets to the line a lot and shoots high percentages from the field. They are at 36.7% on threes and 56.9% on twos. They’re also north of 77% at the free throw line.

Make no mistake, this is an excellent offensive bunch. And that’s how they’ve been able to win games. LSU has scored at least 1.072 points per possession in all 12 games this season. In their two losses, they were simply outscored, allowing 1.282 PPP to Saint Louis and 1.179 to Florida.

Recently, Wade’s team has done a bit better of a job defensively, holding Ole Miss to .872 PPP and Arkansas to .922 PPP in blowout wins. However, LSU is still 111th in adjusted defensive efficiency on the year. They give up too many offensive rebounds and opponents are shooting 52% inside the arc.

What has saved LSU’s defense is that opponents haven’t made enough threes. LSU’s 3P Rate against ranks 336th in the nation, as opponents are firing away 46% of the time from beyond the arc. Those opponents are only shooting 27.6% on those attempts. SIU Edwardsville opened the season going 13-of-27 from 3 against the Tigers and Saint Louis followed that up by shooting 10-of-24. Since then, LSU has allowed more than eight threes in a game just once.
<h3><strong><u>Pick &amp; Analysis</u></strong></h3>
SEC opponents are only shooting 27.4% from 3 against LSU. Opponents shot 35.8% last season. Maybe Wade committed to defending the perimeter, but it still feels like regression is coming in this one.

It makes sense to trust Alabama to get more stops. LSU will get their points, but Alabama is a better defensive team and a pretty strong offensive team as well, despite the average shooting numbers. They’ve shot 39.4% from three in SEC play thus far, so they’ve turned it around in that regard.

It’s Alabama for me. The +1 is fine. A plus money ML is better. They should win this game.
<h4><strong>Pick: Alabama +1</strong></h4>
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Alabama vs. LSU College Basketball Free Pick & Prediction 1/19/21

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