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Hang around this industry long enough and you’re going to hear “key numbers” enough times to turn it into a drinking game that even Andre the Giant might find a way to lose. Line value is something that is discussed a lot among professionals and amateur handicappers, but not everybody knows exactly what it means. <strong>This article covers some of those topics</strong>, but we want to expand on one key element mentioned in that write-up. Key numbers are very important, but it’s also important to keep in mind that the definition of a key number is shifting a little bit.

Scoring in football is largely done by threes (field goals) and sevens (touchdowns + extra points). There are other random occurrences like two-point conversions, safeties, and blocked extra point returns. As a result, the key numbers in the NFL have traditionally been known as 3, 4, 6, and 7. If you want to expand a little bit farther, you can make a case for 10, 11, 13, 14, 17, and so on, though those definitely drop in importance the higher you go.

It’s pretty easy, really. A game can very easily end 24-21 with three touchdowns for each team and a field goal for one of the teams. A team that settles for a field goal while the other scores a touchdown and kicks the extra point would win by four. A two-field goal advantage creates a final margin of six points. Obviously, one additional touchdown and extra point means a seven-point win.

As a result, the numbers 3, 4, 6, and 7 have always carried higher importance in the <strong><a href="http://bangthebook.com/nfl/">NFL</a></strong> and college football betting markets. Also, slight deviations on either side of those numbers, like 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 6.5, and 7.5 have always carried additional weight. Being able to get a +7.5 on an underdog rather than a +7 on an underdog is a pretty significant edge. Similarly, getting -6.5 instead of -7 is a pretty significant edge.

A byproduct of the scoring system is that it creates opportunities for bettors to improve their standing by moving off of these key numbers. Just about every <a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/us/"><em>sportsbook</em></a> allows its clients to buy half points or full points to adjust to the line to a more advantageous number. Bettors can pay anywhere from 20 to 40 cents to move off of a key number by “buying” -3 to -2.5 or +3 to +3.5. All sportsbooks are different in terms of how much additional juice they buy, but the idea all stems from how important these key numbers are.

Lately, however, some rule changes have adjusted the importance of the traditional key numbers. They are still very important in terms of market entry and in terms of getting value on the line, but extra points are no longer a given. During the 2016 NFL regular season, teams connected on 93.6 percent of their extra point attempts. During the 2015 NFL regular season, kickers came in at 94.2 percent on PATs. During the 2014 NFL regular season, kickers made 99.3 percent of their extra points.

What changed? Well, as you know, the extra point was pushed back from the two-yard-line to the 15-yard-line. That difference of 13 yards has been pretty significant, as you can see by how the success rate of extra points has plummeted. During the 2014 season, teams attempted 58 two-point conversions. They were only successful on 28. The number of two-point conversion tries ballooned to 94 in 2015, with 45 successful tries, and it increased even more in 2016 to 105 attempts, with 51 successes.

These things have thrown a wrench into key numbers as we know them in the NFL. Teams miss an extra point and wind up having to go for two at some point. Or, they outscore the opposition anyway and don’t win the game by seven points. Maybe they win by five or six. It used to be believed that numbers between four and six were the “dead zone” because games rarely landed five. Anything can happen now.

Incredibly, the 2015 season, the first one with the extra point moved back, saw about 16 percent of games end with a three-point spread. That was pretty much on par with the 15.67 percent of games that finished with that margin of victory from 2002-2014. In that same sample from 2002-2014, about 9.7 percent of games ended with a seven-point margin of victory. That number was up around 11 percent in 2015. It probably doesn’t surprise you to see that 10 and 4 were lower than the average in that sample. The biggest jump, not surprisingly, was that games ending in a six-point margin of victory ballooned to over nine percent, which was well above the 5.55 percent average from 2002-2014.

With 32 teams playing 16 games apiece during the regular season, there were 256 NFL games last season. Out of those games, here are some notable margins of victory:

1 point: 15 (5.9%)

2 points: 11 (4.3%)

3 points: 31 (12.1%)

4 points: 10 (3.9%)

6 points: 17 (6.6%)

7 points: 28 (10.9%)

This data is quite interesting. As you can see and as the 2015 data suggested, six is a more important key number than it used to be. There have also been moderately significant gains for 1 and 2, which came in just 3.92 percent of the time from 2002-2014. Four is less of a key number than it used to be. Three was less of a key number last year than it was the previous year. Seven was about on par with the previous season. Three was not as important as it has been in the past. We’ll have to monitor that to see if its simply variance or something else.

This is all important data to consider <a href="http://bangthebook.com/value-in-sports-betting-what-is-it-and-how-to-find-it/"><strong>when looking at the value of a number</strong></a> and when to enter the market. It’s something to monitor because we know that bookmakers are worried about key numbers and oddsmakers certainly consider them when setting numbers. You need to do the same.

Understanding The Key Numbers in NFL Sports Betting

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<p>With the Vikings favored on the road, the money line is -174 for them and +146 for the Seahawks. The Vikings are -3.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is 44 points. This week 16 NFC matchup is set to kick off at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Lumen Field in Seattle. The game will be televised on FOX.</p><h3>MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Seattle Seahawks +3.5</p><p>This game will be played at Lumen Field at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 22nd.</p><h3>WHY BET THE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 22 to 14</li><li>Not only do we have the Seahawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5</li><li>We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points</li></ul><h3>Will The Vikings Win As Road Favorites?</h3><p>With a 12-2 record, the Vikings have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and are ranked 6th in our NFL power rankings. Minnesota has won 7 straight games, including a 30-12 victory over the Bears in week 15. They also have a +8.4 scoring margin and are 9-4-1 against the spread this season.</p> <p>Heading into week 16, the Vikings have a 22.2% chance of winning the NFC North. In division games, they are 3-1, and they have a 7-2 conference record. Minnesota is 7-1 at home and 5-1 on the road this season.</p><p>Heading into week 16, the Vikings rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.4, and they also rank 8th in passing yards per game with 236.6, despite being 21st in passing attempts. On the ground, Minnesota is 14th in rushing yards per game, with 113.2, on 27.7 attempts per game. They have been strong in the first quarter, ranking 2nd in the league in points scored.</p> <p></p><p>Sam Darnold threw for 231 yards (24/40) and one touchdown in week 15 against the Bears, with one interception. Aaron Jones had 86 rushing yards on 18 carries, while Justin Jefferson led the team with 73 receiving yards on 7 catches. Minnesota scored 10 points in the first quarter and 10 more in the 4th, converting 7 of 14 third-down attempts and going 3/4 in the red zone.</p><p>Minnesota's defense was dominant on third downs in their 30-12 win over the Bears, allowing just an 8.3% conversion rate. They held Chicago to 113 yards rushing on 29 attempts and limited them to 171 yards passing. The Vikings' secondary gave up just one touchdown and held the Bears to a 59.4% completion rate.</p><p></p><p>Despite allowing two sacks, the Vikings struggled in the backfield, losing the tackles for loss battle with a -6 differential. Overall, the defense allowed only 284 total yards in the game.</p><h3>Are The Seahawks Going Win In At Upset At Lumen Field</h3><p>After three straight wins, the Seahawks couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 15, losing 30-13 at home to the Packers. This dropped Seattle to 8-6 on the season, putting them 2nd in the NFC West. They currently have a +0.1 scoring margin and rank 20th in our NFL power rankings. According to our projections, the Seahawks have a 36.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 34.8% chance of winning the division.</p> <p>Seattle is 6-7-1 against the spread this season, including a 5-5 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-7, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to an average line of 45.5.</p><p>Heading into week 16, the Seahawks rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.5 points per game, and 15th in total offense with 334.6 yards per game. Seattle ranks 6th in passing attempts and 5th in passing yards, with 240.4 per game. On the ground, they are 26th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards, averaging 94.3 yards per game. They rank 17th in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 18th in red zone attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 4th with a 44.4% conversion rate.</p> <p>Geno Smith threw for 149 yards on 15/19 passing in week 15, with one interception. Before that, he had a 233-yard performance in week 14 and a 206-yard game in week 13. Zach Charbonnet led the team in rushing in week 15 with 54 yards on 8 carries, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 10 receptions for 83 yards. Smith-Njigba also had 82 yards in week 14 and 74 yards in week 13.</p><p>In their 30-13 loss to the Packers, the Seahawks' defense struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record a sack and lost the QB hit differential by -6. The secondary allowed 74.1% completions and gave up 229 yards through the air, with two passing touchdowns allowed. Overall, the Seahawks gave up 369 total yards, and Green Bay converted on 41.7% of their third downs.<p></p>Seattle also struggled to stop the run, as Green Bay rushed for 140 yards on 34 attempts. The Seahawks' defense had a tough time in the trenches, losing the tackles for loss battle and failing to disrupt the Packers' offensive rhythm.</p>

Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

<p>Planning on watching today's Penguins and Flyers game? Catch the action at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA, as the Flyers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The Penguins are the favored team in this Metropolitan divisional contest against the Flyers. The game's over/under currently sits at 6 goals.</p><h3>PITTSBURGH PENGUINS VS PHILADELPHIA FLYERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Philadelphia Flyers +1.5</p><p>This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:00 ET on Monday, January 8th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA FLYERS:</h3><ul><li>With a 1.5 goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Penguins to secure a 4-3 victory.</li><li>Take the Penguins on the moneyline</li><li>On the puck line, we like Flyers (+1.5)</li></ul><h3>Can the Penguins Live Up to the Hype on the Road?</h3><p><p>On the season, the Penguins have gone 19-15-4 and are currently in 7th place in the Metropolitan Division and 12th place in the Eastern Conference. In games against the Eastern Conference, Pittsburgh is 10-14, and they have gone 5-6 against divisional opponents. Over their last ten games, the Penguins have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last five games.</p>

<p>When playing on the road, Pittsburgh has gone 9-7-3 this season, and they have won their last two road games. As the favorite, the Penguins have gone 11-10-3, and they have lost their last two games when favored. In games against the Flyers this season, Pittsburgh has gone 1-2.</p></p><p>On the season, Pittsburgh is 18-20 against the puck line, and they have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their last ten games. So far, the Penguins have 13 wins by multiple goals and have gone 9-15 against the puck line when favored.</p>

<p>As the road team, Pittsburgh is 9-10 vs. the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is +.3 goals per game. In their last ten road games, the Penguins have gone 4-6 against the puck line.</p> <p>This season, Pittsburgh's games are averaging 5.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.4. The Penguins currently have an over/under record of 15-20-3.</p><p>When looking at their past three road matchups, Pittsburgh has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 5 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.</p><p>The Penguins come into the game scoring an average of 3 goals per game, putting them 21st in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 7th in the league. Coming into the game, the Penguins have a 12-9 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 6-6.</p><p>Pittsburgh's leading scorer is Sidney Crosby. So far, he has 22 goals which is 9th in the NHL. Crosby also comes into the game with 19 assists.</p><p>Defensively, the Flyers are currently 26th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.6 shots per game against Philadelphia. They also are 8th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.</p><p>Goalie Tristan Jarry gets the start and has made 26 starts this season. His record at this point is 11-12, and his save percentage is 0.8725490196078431%.</p><h3>Can the Flyers Please their Home Crowd?</h3><p><p>At home this season, the Flyers have gone 9-7-2, and they have been the underdog in 28 of their 39 games, going 14-9-5 in those contests. In the Eastern Conference, Philadelphia is in sixth place, and they have gone 10-9 against other teams in the East.</p>

<p>Over the last ten games, the Flyers have gone 4-6, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog. For the season, Philadelphia is 20-13-6, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five games.</p></p><p>At home this season, the Flyers have gone just 8-10 vs. the puck line, and they have gone just 3-8 vs. the puck line when favored. Overall, Philadelphia's puck line record is at 26-13, and they have gone 23-5 vs. the puck line as the underdog.</p>

<p>Philadelphia comes into this game with a puck line losing streak of three games, and they have gone just 5-5 vs. the puck line over their last ten games. In their last three games at home, the Flyers have gone 0-3 vs. the puck line.</p> <p>For the season, Philadelphia's games have finished with an average of 5.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.2. Overall, the Flyers have an over/under record of 15-23-1.</p><p>In their last three road games, Pittsburgh has averaged 5 goals per game while allowing 3. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.</p><p>Offensively, the Flyers come into the game at 2.9 goals per contest placing 23rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 3rd position in the league. This season, the Flyers have a 12-7 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 6-6 record.</p><p>Philadelphia's leading goal scorer is Travis Konecny. So far this season, he has 21 goals, placing him 12th in the NHL. Konecny also comes into the game with 15 assists.</p><p>Defensively, the Flyers are currently 26th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.6 shots per game against Philadelphia. They also are 8th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.</p><p>Entering the game, goalie Samuel Ersson has started 16 games this season. His current record stands at 9-5, and his save percentage is 0.5784313725490197%.</p>

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/8/24

St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24

<p>The White Sox are favored on the money line today, as they are at -160 compared to the Marlins at +136. This interleague matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins are currently on a five-game losing streak, and they are 5th in the NL East, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central with a record of 26-64.</p>

<p>Yonny Chirinos is starting for the Marlins, while the White Sox are starting Garrett Crochet. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and NBCS will be televising this game.</p><h3>MIAMI MARLINS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +136</p><p>This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 6th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS MARLINS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Chicago picked up a 3-2 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Marlins could only muster one run in the 7th and added their final run in the 9th. As for the White Sox, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added their final two runs in the 5th.</p>

<p>Drew Thorpe got the win for the White Sox, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Marlins, Bryan Hoeing only went three innings and gave up one earned run on five hits.</p>

<p>Nicky Lopez, Luis Robert Jr., and Tommy Pham each had two hits for the White Sox. Lopez and Robert Jr. were the only two White Sox hitters to have more than one hit. Jazz Chisholm Jr. did the most damage for the Marlins, going 2/4 with a home run.</p><h3>White Sox Records & Stats</h3><p>Chicago is just 26-64 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 30 games in the division. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 7-23 this year.</p>

<p>At home, the White Sox are 16-29 and have gone just 10-35 on the road. Chicago has really struggled in day games this year, going 10-27. As the underdog, the White Sox are 21-63 this year compared to 5-1 as the favorite. The team's overall series record is 6-21-2.</p><p>When betting the run line with the White Sox this season, it's been a mixed bag. They have a run line record of 42-48, which includes a 20-25 mark on the road. However, when they are the favorite, they have been a solid bet at 5-1. Their average run margin this season is -1.8, but that number jumps to -3.7 in their losses.</p><p>Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-46. The over/under line for today's game against the Miami Marlins is set at 7 runs, which is below their season average. The White Sox have played in 80 games with higher over/under lines than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.9% of their games this season.</p><p>Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.02 ERA. Crochet's WHIP for the season is .93, and opponents are batting .193 off him this year. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with 11 strikeouts. Crochet didn't allow a homer in that outing. He has allowed a total of 10 homers this season.</p><p>Chicago's offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 3.2 runs per game, which is dead last in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per game. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in most major offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.</p>

<p>Paul DeJong and Andrew Vaughn have been two of the White Sox's top power threats this season, with DeJong leading the team with 16 homers and Vaughn right behind him with 11. DeJong is also 2nd on the team with 36 RBIs, while Vaughn's 41 RBIs are the best on the team. Vaughn has gone deep twice in his last four games, but he is just 4/17 in that stretch.</p><h3>Marlins Records & Stats</h3><p>Miami is 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 28 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 30-58 and have dropped five straight games, including losing the series opener vs. the White Sox. This year, they are just 3-13 as the favorite and 27-45 as the underdog.</p>

<p>At home, the Marlins are 16-31 compared to 14-27 on the road. As the home underdog, Miami has gone 13-18 this year, and their overall series record is 7-19-2.</p><p>When betting on the Marlins this season, it's been wise to take the run line, as they are 38-50 against it. They are 21-20 on the run line on the road, but just 17-30 at home. They have been the underdog in most games, going 37-35 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in losses is -3.8 runs per game, while it's +2.7 runs per game in wins.</p><p>When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. Their games have gone over the line 46 times and under 41 times. The combined run average in their games is 8.5 runs per game. The over/under line for today's game against the Chicago White Sox is set at 7 runs.</p><p>Yonny Chirinos will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and he has yet to pick up a win in his first two outings. Chirinos has been solid, however, as he has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in a start. In his last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings and struck out 4, giving up 3 earned runs on 9 hits.</p><p>So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami's offense has really struggled in the power department, as they are dead last in the league in home runs and have the worst team ISO in the league.</p>

<p>Jazz Chisholm Jr. comes into the game with a team-best 10 home runs and is batting .262 for the season. He has also gone deep 2 times in his last 6 games. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with 42 RBIs and has gone deep 15 times, which is 11th in the MLB. De La Cruz is also on a 3-game hitting streak, as is Chisholm Jr. The Marlins' hottest hitter is Jesús Sánchez, who is batting .333 over his last 6 games.</p>

Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/6/24

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/17/24

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/17/24

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/16/24

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 10/15/24

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 10/14/24

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/11/24

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 10/10/24

New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 10/9/24

<p>At 7:07 PM ET, the Mets and Blue Jays square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Mets are the betting favorite on the money line (-135). The Blue Jays' money line odds are sitting at +114, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.</p>

<p>SNY will be televising this game, and David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets. The Blue Jays are starting Chris Bassitt, and they will look to end a two-game losing streak. The Mets are 79-65, while the Blue Jays are 68-77 and are 5th in the AL East. The Mets are 2nd in the NL East. </p><h3>TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +114</p><p>This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE METS VS BLUE JAYS:</h3><ul><li>We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Toronto wasted a good outing from Ryan Burr, as he went just two innings but didn't give up a hit or a run for the Blue Jays. Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in the win, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run.</p>

<p>Ernie Clement was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/2 with two singles. New York's offense was led by a two-hit game from Jeff McNeil.</p>

<p>After scoring two runs in the 7th inning, the Blue Jays could only muster one more run in the 9th and fell short with a final score of 3-2. The Mets had a late rally of their own, scoring two runs in the 8th and picking up the win.</p><h3>Mets Records & Stats</h3><p>The Mets are 79-65 overall, putting them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York has gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets have won five straight road games, and they are 39-31 on the road this season.</p>

<p>So far, the Mets have been good as the favorite, going 52-36 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 25-16-8.</p><p>When the Mets are on the road, their run line record is 39-31, with an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 56 games, going 33-23 on the run line in those contests.</p><p>The Mets are on the road against the Blue Jays today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 71-69. The average over/under line in their games is also 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-8. Overall, 54.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 3 games.</p><p>Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 9-1 with a 2.75 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Peterson this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.31. Peterson's last outing came on September 3rd, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. He finished that outing with 11 strikeouts. Looking back, he has given up just one earned run in three straight starts.</p><p>Heading into today's game, the Mets are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the Mets are batting .247, which is 11th in the league, and have the 8th ranked on-base percentage in the league.</p>

<p>Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets' top power threats this season, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor is also 13th in the league with 84 RBIs. Lindor has gone 7/27 in his last seven games, with one home run.</p><h3>Blue Jays Records & Stats</h3><p>Toronto is 68-77 overall, and they are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 15.5 games. The Blue Jays have gone 20-26 against other teams in the AL East. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight games, and they are just 3-7 across their last ten games.</p>

<p>At home, the Blue Jays are 34-36 this season, and they are 34-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 27-49 this season, and they are 41-28 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 16-24-6, and they have lost three straight series.</p><p>The Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet this season, going 74-71 overall. They have been especially strong on the road, where they are 48-27 against the run line. At home, they are just 26-44 vs. the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 43-33 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while it is -3.6 in losses.</p><p>When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the Blue Jays have a 75-67 over/under record, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 23-14-1. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over has hit in 61.5% of their games this season. Currently, the under has hit in their last two games.</p><p>Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 9-13 and an ERA of 4.30. Looking back at his last outing, Bassitt finished with a no-decision against the Phillies, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He did give up two homers in that outing. Before that, he had given up two homers in three straight starts. Bassitt has made 28 starts this year and has a total of 11 quality starts. His ERA at home is 5.8 compared to 4.07 on the road.</p><p>Over his last six games, Spencer Horwitz has been on fire for the Blue Jays, going 9/20 with three homers and five RBIs. This has helped him put together a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .322 with a team-high 94 RBIs. Toronto's top power threat has been Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 13th in the league with 28 homers and is also batting .322.</p>

<p>For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the MLB. They are also just 18th in home runs. As a team, Toronto is batting .242, and their team OPS of .708 is 14th in the league. So far, they have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in this category.</p>

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24

Indianapolis Colts vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24

New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24

Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/12/24

Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

The National Football League (NFL) is easily the most popular sport in the United States, especially when it comes to betting. NFL betting puts up the biggest numbers every single year, and bettors are always looking for new betting options.

The NFL was founded all the way back in 1920 in Canton, Ohio, and that is where the Hall of Fame is located to this day. There were only a handful of teams in the league when it first started, but it didn’t take long for the league to grow.

There are now 32 teams in the NFL, and the league is broken up into two conferences and eight total divisions. Since the league just continues to be more and more popular, the league has added an extra regular season game for each team to play in.

NFL teams now play 17 total regular season games, and then the top seven teams in each conference advance to the postseason. The NFL regular season begins in September, and the Super Bowl is now played during the month of February.

When it comes to the NFL, the Super Bowl is the event that draws the most betting attention. This league isn’t going away anytime soon, and it’s actually started to become more of an international competition.

This article will not only cover the best NFL betting sites &amp; sportsbooks, but will also provide some tips on how to bet on the NFL.
<h3>Where to bet on NFL</h3>
Knowing where to find the best NFL sportsbooks is a big key if you want to have some success when wagering on this sport. Here are six of the best NFL sportsbooks to use, and all of them are going to be a little bit different.

&nbsp;

Best NFL Betting Sites & Sportsbooks

New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 12/23/24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Jets Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

<p>Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Crimson Tide versus the Wildcats? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBS. The game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 175.5 points, and Kentucky is favored by -2.5 to win at home against Alabama.</p><h3>ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5</p><p>This game will be played at Rupp Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.</p><h3>WHY BET THE KENTUCKY WILDCATS:</h3><ul><li>We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wildcats.</li><li>Not only will Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.</li><li>The over/under is currently sitting at 175.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.</li></ul><h3>Will the Crimson Tide Make it Happen in Lexington?</h3><p>Alabama heads into tonight's game against Kentucky as a 2.5-point underdog. The Crimson Tide are 19-7 overall this season and have won two straight games. In Southeastern Conference play, they are 10-2.</p>

<p>On the road, Alabama has gone 6-6 this season, and its average scoring margin away from home is +1.6. Over the team's last 10 road games, it has gone 5-5.</p><p>Alabama has an overall ATS record of 16-9 this season, including a 5-7 mark vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Crimson Tide are just 2-4 vs. the spread this year and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games as the underdog. However, Alabama has gone 2-1 ATS in their last three road games and 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 games on the road.</p><p>Today's over/under line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 160.2 in Alabama's games this year. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 188 points.</p><p>The Alabama offense is coming off a game where they scored 100 points against Texas A&M. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.1% and connected on 18 threes. Mark Sears led the scoring for the Crimson Tide, contributing 23 points. Additionally, Rylan Griffen chipped in with 17 points.</p><p>At this time, the Crimson Tide's defense is positioned 292nd in the country, permitting 77.4 points per game. Against Texas A&M in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Texas A&M to hit 52% of their shots.</p><h3>Does Kentucky Stand a Chance at Home?</h3><p>Despite losing their last game to LSU, Kentucky has been dominant at home this season. They are 12-4 at home, and their average scoring margin is +13.2 points per game. For the season, they are 18-8, including an 8-5 record in the Southeastern Conference.</p>

<p>As the favorite, Kentucky has gone 15-6 this season. For the year, they have been favored in 21 of their 26 games. They will be favored by 2.5 points tonight, and the over/under is set at 175.5 points.</p><p>As the favorite this season, Kentucky has gone just 10-11 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have a 3-7 ATS mark. At home this year, Kentucky is 9-7 vs. the spread.</p><p>So far this season, the over/under record in Kentucky games is 18-8, and today's line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (157.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-5.</p><p>Against LSU, the Kentucky had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 87.6 points per game. They scored 74 points and posted a field goal percentage of 43.5% in the game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Wildcats offense has been good from outside, hitting 40% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.7 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.</p><p>Facing Alabama, Kentucky aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.3 points allowed per game (290th). Against LSU in their most recent game, the Kentucky defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing LSU to hit 44% of their shots.</p>

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 2/24/24