Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
On Saturday, November 23rd, the Nevada Wolf Pack will host the Air Force Falcons at Mackay Stadium in Reno. Kickoff is set for 10:30 ET, with FS1 handling the broadcast. The Wolf Pack are favored by -4 points in this matchup, with the over/under line currently at 44.5 points. Both teams come into this game with a 3-8 record for the season.
AIR FORCE FALCONS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK BETTING PICK
The Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack -4
This game will be played at Mackay Stadium at 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE NEVADA WOLF PACK:
- We have the Nevada Wolf Pack winning this one by a score of 25 to 16
- Not only do we have the Nevada Wolf Pack winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
- We see this game finishing below the line of 44.5 points
Will The Air Force Falcons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Air Force enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record, and they have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Falcons are 0-4 on the road and 2-3 at home this season. In our power rankings, they sit at 109th heading into their matchup with Nevada.
Air Force has been favored in just two games this season, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -6.6 points per game, and they have a 3-6 record against the spread.
The Falcons’ over/under record is 4-5, with their games averaging 41.4 points. This week’s line is set at 44.5 points, which is higher than their average over/under line of 42.1 points this season.
Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, heading into week 13 ranked 123rd in our offensive power rankings. They are averaging just 17.4 points per game, placing them 93rd nationally. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 94.9 yards per game, ranking 129th. They are also 132nd in passer rating.
John Busha, their leading passer, has thrown for 415 yards with a passer rating of 32, one touchdown, and five interceptions. Air Force leads the nation in rushing attempts, averaging 54.8 per game, and they rank 14th in rushing yards, with 210.6 per game. Dylan Carson leads the team with 370 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
Air Force’s defense is coming off a strong performance, shutting out Oregon State 28-0. They allowed just 9 first downs and 175 total yards, including 69 rushing yards on 24 attempts and 106 passing yards, while forcing one interception.
On average, Air Force’s defense has given up 24 points per game this season. They rank 24th nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up 175.8 yards per game, but have struggled against the run, allowing 165.5 rushing yards per game.
Are The Nevada Wolf Pack Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Nevada enters Week 13 against Air Force with a 3-8 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 102nd in our power rankings. At home, the Wolf Pack is 1-4 this season.
Nevada has gone 5-4-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -4.3 points per game. They’ve been the underdog in all 11 games, posting a 5-3-1 ATS record in those matchups.
Their over/under record is 5-5, with Nevada games averaging 52.8 points. The average over/under line is 49.7 points, while this week’s line is set at 44.5 points.
Nevada’s offense is ranked 72nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13, and they are averaging 24.3 points per game, placing them 70th in the nation. Their rushing attack has been their strength, with 36.9 attempts per game, ranking 15th, and they are averaging 179.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 29th.
Savion Red leads the team with 676 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,730 yards with 12 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 96. Jaden Smith leads the receiving corps with 687 yards and five touchdowns on 49 catches.
Nevada’s defense allowed 28 points in their recent 28-21 loss to Boise State, giving up 456 total yards, including 286 passing yards and 170 rushing yards on 41 attempts. Boise State also recorded four rushing touchdowns against Nevada’s defense.
On average, Nevada’s defense has allowed 28.5 points per game this season. Opponents have averaged 171 rushing yards per game and 219.5 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 60.2% of their passes and have a passer rating of 80.9 against Nevada’s defense.