UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

ESPN+ will be covering the week 13 matchup between the UL Monroe Warhawks and Arkansas State Red Wolves as they kick off at 3:00 ET from Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro. The over/under line is currently set at 52.5 points, and the Red Wolves are the -3.5 point favorites at home. The Warhawks enter the game with a 5-5 record, while the Red Wolves are 6-4 on the season.

UL MONROE WARHAWKS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3.5

This game will be played at Centennial Bank Stadium at 3:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:

• We have the Arkansas State Red Wolves winning this one by a score of 31 to 25
• Not only do we have the Arkansas State Red Wolves winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 52.5 points

Will The UL Monroe Warhawks Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

UL Monroe enters Week 13 with a 5-5 record, ranked 106th in our power rankings. They have a 58.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at the Sun Belt title. The Warhawks have been strong at home (3-1) but have struggled on the road (1-4) this season.

Against the spread, UL Monroe is 5-4, with a 3-1 record at home and 2-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, covering the spread in that matchup. Their average scoring margin is -7.2 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is set at 52.5 points. UL Monroe’s games have averaged 48.8 points, with their over/under record at 6-3. Their average over/under line this season has been 48.1 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 1.2 points per game.

UL Monroe’s offense has been heavily reliant on their ground game, ranking 29th in rushing attempts per game and averaging 169 rushing yards per contest. Ahmad Hardy has been the focal point, amassing 977 rushing yards and scoring 10 touchdowns, while averaging 5 yards per carry.

Overall, the Warhawks are 108th in our offensive power rankings and are scoring 20.8 points per game. Their passing game has struggled, ranking 126th nationally with 131.2 yards per game. Aidan Armenta has thrown for 989 yards, with seven touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78.

UL Monroe’s defense struggled in their recent game against Auburn, giving up 48 points and 509 total yards. They allowed 304 passing yards and five touchdowns through the air, while Auburn also rushed for 205 yards.

On the season, UL Monroe ranks 34th in the nation, allowing 184.9 passing yards per game. However, they’ve struggled against the run, ranking 142nd by giving up 204 rushing yards per game.

Are The Arkansas State Red Wolves Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Arkansas State enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record, hosting UL Monroe. They are 3-0 at home this season and rank 110th in our CFB power rankings. The Red Wolves have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible, but only a 0.1% chance of winning the Sun Belt.

They’ve been favored in three games, going 3-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -8.8 points per game, and they are 4-5 against the spread this season.

Their over/under record stands at 4-5, with their games averaging 56.4 points. The average over/under line has been 57.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 52.5 points.

Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 23.8 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 72nd in the nation. They are ranked 95th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 39%, and their passer rating is 81, ranking 102nd nationally. On the ground, they average 162.5 rushing yards per game.

Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 2,131 yards with a passer rating of 78, completing 61.3% of his passes. He has thrown eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. Arkansas State ranks 26th in passing attempts per game. Leading receiver Corey Rucker has 782 yards and three touchdowns this season. Ja’Quez Cross leads the rushing attack with 543 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 32.6 points per game. They rank 149th in the nation against the run, giving up 208.1 rushing yards per game. Opponents have averaged 253.3 passing yards per game, completing 63.9% of their throws.

In their recent game against Georgia State, Arkansas State allowed 20 points but limited the Panthers to just 65 rushing yards on 23 attempts. Georgia State threw the ball 49 times, accumulating 346 passing yards, while Arkansas State’s defense came away with two interceptions.