Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Falcons and Wolf Pack. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on MWN, and it's hosted by the Wolf Pack at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 132 points, and the Wolf Pack are favored to win at home against the Falcons.


The Pick: Air Force Falcons +15.5

This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, January 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Wolf Pack.
  • Even though we have Nevada winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +15.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Air Force Have A Chance at Lawlor Events Center?

Through 13 games this season, Air Force has a 7-6 record, including a 0-1 mark in Mountain West play. They have lost their last four games, and their record as the underdog is 1-3.

On the road, the Falcons are 3-1, and their average scoring margin is +7.5 points per game. They have won their last two road games, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6.

As the underdog, Air Force has gone just 1-3 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Falcons are 4-6 vs. the spread. On the road, Air Force has an ATS mark of just 2-2 this year and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 road contests.

Today's over/under line of 132 is lower than the average over/under line in Air Force's games this season (134.4). So far, 5 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

The Air Force offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 60 points versus Utah State. During the game, they attempted 14 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 43.8%. The top scorer for the Falcons was Rytis Petraitis with 15 points, while Jeffery Mills also added 12 to the scoreboard.

At this time, the Falcons' defense is positioned 79th in the country, permitting 66.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Nevada. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.2%.

Will Nevada Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

After winning their last game against Fresno State by a score of 72-57, Nevada comes into this game with a record of 14-1. They have won seven straight games and are 1-0 in Mountain West play. At home, the Wolf Pack are a perfect 8-0 this season and have won their last eight games.

So far, Nevada has been favored in 13 of their 15 games, going 12-1 in those matchups. On the year, their average scoring margin at home is +21.9 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2.

Overall, Nevada has an ATS record of 11-4 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 5-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wolf Pack are 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Nevada games is 7-8 and today's line of 132 is lower than the average OU line in their games (144.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points and the over/under record during that stretch is 1-2.

In contrast to their season average of 79.1 points per game, the Nevada had a below average performance. They scored 72 points against Fresno State and had a field goal percentage of 42.9%. For the season, the Nevada offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 5.9 made three's per contest.

This season, the Nevada defense has been impressive, holding the 30th position in the country while permitting an average of 63.9 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Fresno State, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 57 points vs. Nevada.