San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons Prediction & Odds – November 14, 2026

San José State visits Air Force at Falcon Stadium with a clear clash of offensive styles. The Spartans rely more on the pass, while the Falcons bring a powerful rushing attack into this conference matchup.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 pm EST · Falcon Stadium

Total: 47.5 — over -118, under -102.

Draft Kings odds checked November 13, 2026 22:03 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Can the Spartans Find Enough Offense?

San José State averages 228.2 passing yards per game, with Luke Weaver throwing for 1,810 yards and Carson Clark collecting 689 receiving yards. That passing connection offers a way to challenge an Air Force defense allowing 160.9 passing yards per game, but the Spartans average just 20.9 points.

The Spartans enter off a 30-19 win over Northern Illinois, a welcome response to losses against New Mexico and Nevada. Their 24-11 victory at UTEP shows they can win away from home, but the 13-28 defeat at Nevada is a reminder that their attack has not traveled consistently in this stretch. San José State also scored only 13 against Wyoming and 16 against New Mexico. Keeping the offense moving across an entire game, rather than relying on one strong result, is the pressing question.

Air Force’s Ground Game Sets the Test

Air Force averages 332.0 rushing yards per game, making its ground game the central challenge for a San José State defense allowing 151.4 rushing yards per game. Evan Medders has 549 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. The Falcons also allow 21.4 points per game, giving them a solid defensive foundation.

The Falcons have won their last two, edging Army 24-21 on the road after beating UConn 35-26 at home. Their 41-31 home win over UNLV also shows how much they can score, although those home victories required them to withstand points at the other end. A 14-28 loss at Wyoming interrupts an otherwise strong run in the five completed games, while a 28-7 win at Northern Illinois shows their ability to control a game more comfortably. San José State will have chances if Air Force cannot limit scoring as effectively as it did there.

Injury news

San José State Spartans: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Air Force Falcons: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Availability checked November 13, 2026 22:03 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Air Force Falcons.

Air Force’s rushing production presents the clearest matchup edge, and its recent wins provide further support. San José State’s passing game could keep it competitive, but the Falcons are the stronger pick.

Original winner pick recorded November 13, 2026 07:02 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.