Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Odds – November 14, 2026

Middle Tennessee visits Liberty at Williams Stadium with a chance to challenge the Flames’ unbeaten conference record. The Blue Raiders bring a productive passing game, but Liberty’s defense presents a demanding test.

Game details and odds

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 pm EST · Williams Stadium (VA)

Total: 53.5 — over -108, under -112.

Odds checked November 14, 2026 13:02 UTC. Odds subject to change.

Middle Tennessee’s offense faces a tougher test

Roman Gagliano has thrown for 1,899 yards and 16 touchdowns, giving Middle Tennessee a way to move the ball even when its ground game stalls. Antonio Martin has added 711 rushing yards. The concern is on the other side: the Blue Raiders allow 31.0 points per game.

Middle Tennessee’s latest win showed its scoring potential and its defensive vulnerability at once: it beat Western Kentucky 51-42 after losing 44-28 to Kennesaw State. Earlier, the Blue Raiders edged Florida International 26-23 on the road and Delaware 33-30 at home. Those close wins suggest they can keep competing when games tighten, but they have also needed plenty of offense to do it. A 55-0 loss at Kansas offers a reminder that their attack has not traveled consistently against every opponent.

Liberty’s defense sets the terms

Liberty enters 8-1 overall and 5-0 in conference play. The Flames allow 13.6 points and 98.3 rushing yards per game, a combination that could make Middle Tennessee rely heavily on Gagliano. Liberty also averages 205.0 rushing yards per game, giving its offense a contrasting path to sustained drives.

Liberty has kept opponents from building much momentum across its five listed completed games. The Flames won 30-14 at New Mexico State most recently, following a 49-10 home win over Florida International and a 34-6 road win over Kennesaw State. They also beat Sam Houston 35-3 at home and Delaware 30-14 on the road. The scores show an offense capable of putting games beyond reach, but the steadier theme is defensive control: none of those opponents scored more than 14 points.

Injury news

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Liberty Flames: No player statuses returned in the latest check..

Availability checked November 14, 2026 13:02 UTC. Reported statuses may change; final lineups are not confirmed here.

BTB Betting Pick

Winner pick: Liberty Flames.

Liberty’s defensive consistency and rushing production give it the clearer path to control the game. Middle Tennessee’s passing attack can challenge that edge, but its recent defensive results leave less room for error.

Original winner pick recorded November 13, 2026 06:02 UTC. Subsequent updates retain that selection.