Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 3/15/25

At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat will travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies in a non-conference matchup. The Grizzlies are favored by 7.5 and the over/under line is set at 228.

Miami enters this game on a six-game losing streak and is currently 9th in the Eastern Conference. The Grizzlies are 4th in the West and have a record of 42-25.

MIAMI HEAT VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -7.5

This game will be played at FedExForum at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 15th.

WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 166-126 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.3% and knocking down 18 threes.

Does Miami Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Miami’s season record fell to 29-37 after a 103-91 home loss to the Celtics on Friday. The Heat entered the game as +7.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 194, falling well short of the 212-point line.

After a strong 2nd quarter, Miami took a 77-78 deficit into the 4th, but a 10-0 run by Boston put the game out of reach, as the Celtics outscored the Heat 25-14 in the final period.

In their 103-91 loss to the Celtics, the Heat shot 45.3% from the field and connected on 13 threes at a 38.2% clip. Andrew Wiggins led the way with 23 points, adding 10 in the 2nd quarter, while Tyler Herro contributed 19 points and 6 assists.

Jaime Jaquez chipped in 13 points, with 9 coming in the 3rd quarter, and Davion Mitchell added 12 points, 6 of which were scored in the 2nd. Herro and Wiggins each made 3 threes, shooting 37.5% from beyond the arc.

Even with a strong defensive effort, the Heat couldn’t come away with a win, allowing 103 points to the Celtics. Miami gave up 30 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, holding Boston to just 20 points. The Celtics scored 28 in the 3rd and 25 in the 4th.

The Heat held Boston to 43% shooting but struggled against the three, where the Celtics hit 19 threes at a 38% rate. Miami sent Boston to the line 13 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Heat recorded 10 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Does Memphis Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

The Grizzlies fell to 42-25 on the season after a 133-124 home loss to the Cavaliers on Friday. Memphis entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 257 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 243.5 by 13.5 points.

Memphis struggled early, trailing 75-58 at halftime and 112-92 heading into the 4th quarter. They made a push with a 10-0 run, cutting the deficit from 112-89 to 112-99, but ultimately couldn’t complete the comeback.

Ja Morant was unstoppable in the Grizzlies’ 133-124 loss to the Cavaliers, scoring 44 points with 8 rebounds and 7 assists, shooting 77.3% from the field. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brandon Clarke each added 13 points, with Clarke scoring 11 of his points in the 3rd quarter.

Memphis shot 49.5% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 11 threes at 30.6%. Morant scored 14 points in the 1st quarter and added 12 more in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Defensively, the Grizzlies struggled against the Cavaliers, giving up 133 points on 50% shooting. Memphis allowed 36 points in the 1st quarter, 39 in the 2nd, and 37 in the 3rd before tightening up in the 4th, where they gave up just 21 points.

From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies allowed Cleveland to hit 19 threes at a 37% clip. The Cavaliers also went to the line 33 times, making 26 free throws. Memphis finished with 35 defensive rebounds, allowed 8 offensive boards, and recorded 11 steals.