Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 3/15/25

Betting on today’s Senators and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 6 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 against the Senators in a Atlantic division matchup.
OTTAWA SENATORS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 15th.
WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:
- With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)
Will the Senators Find a Way to Win on the Road?
With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators moved to 35-25-5 this season. Ottawa was favored on the puck line and covered easily. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short.
All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players, and the Senators’ defense held Seattle scoreless. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring at 14:32 in the first period.
In their 3-0 win over Seattle, Ottawa’s offense was led by Tim Stützle, who netted his 6th goal of the season on an empty net. Brady Tkachuk added his 7th goal, while Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal as well. The Senators took 23 shots on goal and recorded 11 giveaways.
Gaudette got Ottawa on the board at 14:32 in the first period. Tkachuk followed with a goal at 8:49 in the second period, and Stützle sealed the game with an empty-netter at 2:14 in the third. The Senators finished the game with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the Senators will look to build off a strong performance in their previous game, where they allowed 0 goals. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves, posting a 100% save percentage. Ottawa’s defense also recorded 2 takeaways and 25 hits.
Can the Toronto Offense Score Enough at Home?
Toronto fell to 39-23-3 with a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs trailed early, as Minnesota scored at 10:19 in the first period. Toronto responded with a goal of their own, with just 52 seconds left in the first. The game remained tied until the Wild scored 2:14 into overtime.
The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. Toronto, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. The Maple Leafs’ lone goal came from William Nylander, who scored with 19:08 gone in the first period.
Toronto’s offense came up short in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, with William Nylander scoring his 9th goal of the season on a power play. The Maple Leafs took 28 shots on goal but only managed to find the net once.
Mitchell Marner picked up his 12th assist, while Auston Matthews added his 6th. The Leafs had 10 giveaways in the game.
Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal of the game at 9:41 in the first period, but they didn’t allow another until 2:14 into overtime, which ended the contest. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves, posting a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 30 hits.