Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/25

At 9:30 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-310) will travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies (+254). The Thunder are favored by 8 points and have won four straight games. The Grizzlies have lost three in a row and are currently 4th in the Western Conference.

This Western Conference matchup can be seen on ESPN.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +8

This game will be played at FedExForum at 9:30 ET on Wednesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 145-131 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Our projections have Ja Morant finishing with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down 16 threes.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Favored Oklahoma City?

The Thunder improved to 50-11 on the season with a 137-128 win over the Rockets on Monday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City was favored by 14 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 265 points went well over the pre-game line of 228.5.

A pivotal 13-0 run by the Thunder turned a 68-67 lead into an 81-67 advantage. They outscored Houston 39-27 in the 3rd quarter, entering the 4th with a 102-89 lead, though the Rockets outscored them 39-35 in the final period.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Rockets, scoring 51 points with 20 in the 1st quarter and another 17 in the 3rd. He hit 5 threes at a 55.6% rate, finishing with a 60% overall shooting percentage.

As a team, the Thunder made 17 threes, shooting 45.9% from beyond the arc and 49.5% overall. Jalen Williams added 24 points, with 9 coming in the 4th quarter, while Cason Wallace scored 10 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter.

Even with a shaky defensive effort, the Thunder managed to secure a win over the Rockets on Monday, despite giving up 128 points. Oklahoma City allowed 31 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, tightened up in the 3rd by giving up 27, but struggled again in the 4th, allowing 39 points.

The Thunder allowed Houston to shoot 48% from the field, including 16 threes at a 45% clip. They sent the Rockets to the line 17 times, where they made 14 free throws. Oklahoma City finished with 35 defensive rebounds, gave up 15 offensive boards, and added 11 steals and 6 blocks.

Can the Grizzlies Grab a Win at Home?

The Grizzlies fell to 38-23 on the season after a 132-130 loss to the Hawks on Monday. Memphis was favored by 8 points at home but couldn’t cover the spread, and the game’s total of 262 points exceeded the 250-point line.

Memphis went on a 10-0 run early, but Atlanta responded with a strong 2nd quarter, outscoring the Grizzlies 42-31. Memphis bounced back in the 3rd, taking a 107-101 lead into the 4th, but the Hawks closed the game on a 31-23 run to secure the win.

Desmond Bane’s triple-double of 35 points, 10 assists, and 10 rebounds led the Grizzlies in their 132-130 loss to the Hawks. Bane scored 18 points in the 3rd quarter and added 13 in the 1st. Memphis shot 50.5% from the field and 39.4% from three, hitting 13 threes overall.

Luke Kennard contributed 17 points, with 8 coming in the 4th quarter. Vince Williams also added 15 points, hitting 3 threes at a 60% rate. Zach Edey and Williams both scored 5 points in the final period.

The Grizzlies struggled defensively on Monday, giving up 132 points to the Hawks, including a 42-point 2nd quarter. Memphis allowed Atlanta to shoot 57% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Hawks hit 13 threes at a 46% clip. The Grizzlies sent Atlanta to the line 17 times, where they made 9 free throws. Memphis finished with 26 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 3 blocks.