Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/25

Betting on today’s Maple Leafs and Golden Knights game? Catch the action at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV, as the Golden Knights hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on TNT. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6 goals, with the Golden Knights being the favored by -1.5 goals against the Maple Leafs.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5
This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, March 5th.
WHY BET THE VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS:
- The Golden Knights enter this game as 1.5-goal favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 4-3.
- Take the Golden Knights on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Are the Maple Leafs Ready for a Road Win?
Toronto fell to 38-21-3 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs were underdogs on the puck line, with the total set at 6 goals, but the game’s 3 total goals fell short of the line.
After the Wild scored first, William Nylander tied it up with a goal at 19:08 in the first period. The game stayed tied until Minnesota scored at 2:14 in overtime.
William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play at 19:08 in the first period, bringing the score to 1-1. Auston Matthews picked up his 6th assist, while Mitchell Marner added his 12th.
The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after the first period. They recorded 10 giveaways in the game.
Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Defensively, the Maple Leafs had 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Can the Golden Knights Deliver Being Favored at Home?
With a 4-3 overtime win against the Utah Hockey Club, the Golden Knights improved to 36-18-6. Vegas, favored on the puck line, didn’t cover, and the total of 7 goals surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.
Utah led 2-0 before Vegas scored four straight. All four of the Golden Knights’ goals came from different players.
Vegas fired 35 shots on goal in their 4-3 overtime win, with Brett Howden netting his 6th goal of the season at 2:15 into OT. William Karlsson added his 2nd goal of the year, while Pavel Dorofeyev opened the scoring for the Golden Knights with his 7th goal. Noah Hanifin contributed his 2nd goal and also picked up two assists, bringing his season total to 5 assists.
The Golden Knights were held scoreless in the first period before Dorofeyev got them on the board at 4:54 in the second. Hanifin followed with a goal at 19:59 in the second period. Vegas had 13 giveaways in the game.
Vegas found themselves down 2-0 after Utah scored at the 12:00 mark in the second period, and their defense gave up another late goal in the 3rd, but the Golden Knights secured a 4-3 win in overtime. Adin Hill made 16 saves with a save percentage of 84.2%, and the defense recorded 10 takeaways and 22 hits.