Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 1/12/25

FOX will broadcast the NFC wild card round matchup between the Eagles and Packers at 4:30 ET. The Eagles are favored at -237 on the money line and -5 on the point spread. The game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with the Packers at +199 on the money line. The over/under line is set at 46 points.

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Green Bay Packers +5

This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 4:30 ET on Sunday, January 12th.

WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:

• We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 24 to 22
• Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Packers at +5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46 points

Will The Packers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

After finishing the regular season with an 11-6 record, the Packers head into the playoffs on a two-game losing streak, including a 34-29 loss to the Eagles in week 1. Green Bay was unable to cover the 1.5-point spread, and the 63 total points in the game went over the 49.5-point line. Before that, the Packers lost to the Bears in week 18 and the Vikings in week 17, but they had won two straight prior to that, including a 34-0 victory over the Saints in week 16.

Heading into the playoffs, the Packers are 8-8-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game. They are 6-6 ATS as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 8-8-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Packers rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.1 points per game, and 5th in total yards, with 370.5 per game. Green Bay has relied heavily on the run game, ranking 5th in both rushing attempts (30.9 per game) and rushing yards (146.8 per game). Despite being 26th in passing attempts, they are 12th in passing yards, averaging 223.6 per game. The Packers have been strong early in games, ranking 3rd in the league in 1st-quarter scoring.

Green Bay has struggled in the red zone, converting just 8.7% of their opportunities, which ranks 27th in the NFL, despite being 3rd in attempts. They are 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 39.5%. Jordan Love is questionable for the Wild Card round with an elbow injury. He threw for 3,389 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. In his absence, Malik Willis has played well, posting a passer rating of 126 in week 2 and 120 in week 3, with 202 passing yards in the latter.

In their 24-22 loss to the Bears, the Packers’ defense allowed just 141 passing yards on 21 completions. Chicago managed to score one passing touchdown, while Green Bay picked off one pass. The Packers held the Bears to 83 rushing yards on 26 attempts, with Chicago averaging only 3.2 yards per attempt on the ground. On third downs, the Bears converted 50% of their chances.

Despite giving up only 224 total yards, the Packers’ offense struggled to move the ball effectively. This was partially due to the Bears’ time of possession advantage, as they held the ball for 33:55 compared to Green Bay’s 26:05. The Packers’ defense also recorded one sack and won the tackles for loss battle.

Are The Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With a 14-3 record, the Eagles finished the regular season on a two-game winning streak, which included a 20-13 win over the Giants in week 18 and a dominant 41-7 victory over the Cowboys in week 17. Philadelphia entered week 18 as 3-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 11-6. Against the spread, the Eagles are 8-6 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs.

Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NFC and 5th in our power rankings heading into the playoffs. In division games, they went 5-1, and they were 9-3 against NFC opponents. The Eagles had a +9.4 scoring margin this season and an O/U record of 7-10, with their games averaging 45.1 points.

In our offensive power rankings, the Eagles sit 4th in the NFL, and they are 7th in scoring, averaging 27.2 points per game. They are 8th in the league in total offense with 367.2 yards per game, and they rank 10th in 3rd-down conversion percentage (41.7%). Philadelphia is 4th in red zone attempts, but they have struggled to convert, ranking 26th with a 10.3% conversion rate.

Philadelphia has leaned heavily on the run game, leading the NFL in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 179.3. In the passing game, they are 28th in attempts and 29th in passing yards, averaging 187.9 per game. Jalen Hurts threw for 311 yards in week 3 against the Saints, with Dallas Goedert catching 10 passes for 170 yards.

In their 20-13 win over the Giants, the Eagles’ defense gave up 100 rushing yards on 25 attempts, but they held New York to just 138 yards passing. The Eagles allowed the Giants to complete 75.9% of their passes, with 22 completions, and gave up one passing touchdown. Overall, the Eagles limited the Giants to 238 total yards and held them to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down. Philadelphia did come up with one interception and didn’t record any sacks in the game.