Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24

FOX will broadcast the week 17 non-conference matchup between the Raiders and Saints from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints are favored on the money line at -124 and are -1.5 point favorites on the road. The game kicks off at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is set at 39.5 points.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS NEW ORLEANS SAINTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +1.5

This game will be played at Caesars Superdome at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.

WHY BET THE LAS VEGAS RAIDERS:

  • We have the Raiders winning this one by a score of 20 to 14
  • Not only do we have the Raiders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 39.5 points

Will The Raiders Pick Up A Win On The Road?

With a 3-12 record, the Raiders are 4th in the AFC West and 26th in our power rankings. They have a -8.4 scoring margin and are 6-8-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-7, with the under hitting in four straight games.

Las Vegas snapped a six-game losing streak with a 19-14 win over the Jaguars in week 16. They were 2-point favorites and covered the spread, improving to 1-1 ATS as the favorite. The combined points (33) fell short of the 41.5-point line.

Heading into week 17, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in both points per game (17.6) and yards per game (300.1). Despite being 3rd in the NFL in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards, averaging 222.7 per game. On the ground, they rank last in the league, with just 77.5 rushing yards per game, on 22 attempts per contest.

Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 33.5% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the NFL. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 46.2% of their trips, which ranks 3rd in the league. In week 16, they scored 19 points, with 13 coming in the 2nd quarter and 6 in the 4th. Aidan O’Connell threw for 257 yards against the Jaguars, and Brock Bowers led the team with 11 catches for 99 yards.

In their 19-14 win over the Jaguars, the Raiders’ defense allowed 236 passing yards on 25 completions. Jacksonville finished with 308 total yards, with the Raiders’ run defense holding them to 72 yards on 21 attempts. The Raiders’ defense forced the Jaguars to convert on just 40% of their third down attempts and allowed only one passing touchdown. However, they managed only one sack and had a tackles for loss differential of -4.

Will The Saints Win At Home Over The Raiders?

Heading into week 17, the Saints are 5-10 and sit 30th in our power rankings. They’ve lost two straight games, including a 34-0 blowout against the Packers in week 16. New Orleans was a 14-point underdog in that matchup but couldn’t cover the spread. The O/U line was 43.5, and the teams combined for 34 points, marking the Saints’ fourth consecutive under.

With a -2.5 scoring margin, New Orleans is 6-9 against the spread. They are 1-3 as favorites and 5-6 as underdogs. The Saints have been eliminated from playoff contention and have a 0.0% chance of winning the NFC South.

Heading into week 17, the Saints rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 22nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.6, and are 18th in yards per game with 325.4. New Orleans is 17th in passing attempts, averaging 31.5 per game, but ranks 23rd in passing yards with 204.8. On the ground, they are 12th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards, averaging 120.6 per game. The Saints are 20th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 19th in red zone attempts, converting 35% of their trips inside the 20, which ranks 11th in the NFL.

Spencer Rattler has been filling in for Derek Carr, who is questionable for week 17 with a hand injury. In week 16, Rattler threw for 153 yards on 15/30 passing, with one interception in a 34-0 loss to the Packers. Foster Moreau led the team with 33 receiving yards, while Rattler added 28 rushing yards. The Saints failed to score in week 16 after putting up 19 points in week 15 and 11 in week 14.

The Saints’ defense struggled to stop the run in their 34-0 loss to the Packers, giving up 188 yards on 39 attempts. Despite their issues against the run, they did hold the Packers to 216 passing yards on 17 completions. New Orleans’ defense didn’t record any sacks in the game and allowed the Packers to convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts.

The Saints’ defense also allowed one passing touchdown and gave up 404 total yards in the game. They finished with a 56.7% completion percentage against them and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials to the Packers.