Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24

The Jaguars are the slight favorite in this week 17 AFC South matchup, with the point spread set at -1 in their game against the Titans. The Jaguars’ money line odds are -116, and the game is being played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. The Titans’ money line odds are -105, and the over/under line is 41 points. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, and this one is being televised on CBS.

TENNESSEE TITANS VS JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tennessee Titans +1

This game will be played at EverBank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.

WHY BET THE TENNESSEE TITANS:

  • We have the Titans winning this one by a score of 23 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Titans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 41 points

Will The Titans Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 17, the Titans are on a four-game losing streak, dropping their record to 3-12. This includes a 38-30 loss to the Colts in week 16, where they couldn’t cover the spread as 4-point underdogs. Tennessee is now 2-13 against the spread this season, with their O/U record sitting at 9-5-1.

With a -8.9 scoring margin, the Titans rank 24th in our power rankings. They have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs or winning the AFC South. In division games, they are 1-3, and they are 3-7 against AFC opponents.

Heading into week 17, the Titans rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 18.9 points per game (25th in the NFL) and 301.4 yards per game (27th). They sit 26th in passing yards per game with 194, on 31.5 attempts per game, and rank 21st in rushing yards, averaging 107.4 on 25.9 attempts per game. Tennessee has done well in the red zone, converting 36.6% of their chances, which ranks 9th in the league. They are 22nd in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.1% success rate, but have been strong in the 1st quarter, ranking 5th in points scored.

In week 16, Mason Rudolph threw for 252 yards, with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, completing 23 of 34 passes. Chig Okonkwo led the team with 9 catches for 81 yards, while Tony Pollard had 35 rushing yards on 8 carries. The Titans scored 15 points in the 4th quarter against the Colts, converting 5 of 11 3rd-down attempts and going 3/3 in the red zone.

In their 38-30 loss to the Colts, the Titans’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 335 rushing yards on 50 attempts. Despite this, they defended the pass well, allowing just 123 yards through the air on seven completions. Tennessee’s run defense allowed 6.7 yards per attempt, and they gave up a total of 458 yards in the game.

The Titans’ defense managed one sack and one interception in the game. Opposing offenses have been able to convert on 53.3% of their third down attempts against Tennessee, and they have not been generating consistent pressure, as they lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in their most recent game.

Will The Jaguars Win At Home Over The Titans?

Jacksonville enters week 17 against the Titans on a two-game losing streak, including a 19-14 loss to the Raiders in week 16. This dropped the Jaguars to 3-12, leaving them 3rd in the AFC South and 29th in our power rankings. They are 2-2 in division games and 3-7 in conference play.

Jacksonville is 7-7-1 ATS, with a -7.9 average scoring margin. They are 6-4-1 as underdogs and 1-3 as favorites. Their O/U record is 8-7, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to a 44.5-point line.

Heading into week 17, the Jaguars rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.5, and 26th in yards per game with 306.1. Jacksonville ranks 21st in passing yards per game (206.5) and 26th in rushing yards per game (99.6). They are 26th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 35.6% of their attempts.

Mac Jones threw for 247 yards (25/39) and a touchdown in week 16, posting a passer rating of 90. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 9 catches for 132 yards, while Tank Bigsby rushed for 50 yards on 12 carries. Jacksonville scored 7 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters against the Raiders but were held scoreless in the 2nd and 4th quarters.

In their 19-14 loss to the Raiders, the Jaguars’ defense held Las Vegas to just 2.6 yards per attempt on 27 rushes. They also limited the Raiders to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down and didn’t allow a passing touchdown. Despite this, Jacksonville’s defense was unable to come up with a win, as the offense struggled and the Jaguars fell to 2-11 on the season.

The Jaguars’ defense recorded two sacks and held the Raiders to 69 rushing yards. In the passing game, the Jaguars gave up 245 yards on 24 completions (63.2% completion rate) and forced a few key stops, but it wasn’t enough to secure the victory.