New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24
The Jets and Bills will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo. The Bills are heavily favored at -498 on the money line, and the point spread is at -9.5 in favor of the Bills. This week 17 AFC East matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 46.5 points.
NEW YORK JETS VS BUFFALO BILLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Jets +9.5
This game will be played at Highmark Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK JETS:
- We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 23 to 17
- Even though we like the Bills to win, our ATS pick is to take the Jets at +9.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points
Will The Jets Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Heading into week 17, the Jets sit at 4-11, putting them 18th in our power rankings and giving them a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. New York is 3rd in the AFC East with a 1-3 division record, and they are 4-6 in conference games. The Jets are 2-5 at home and 2-6 on the road this season.
Against the spread, the Jets are 5-10, with a scoring margin of -3.5 points per game. They are 4-6 ATS as favorites and 1-4 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-6-1, with their games averaging 42.4 points per game, which matches their average O/U line this season.
Heading into week 17, the Jets rank 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.5, and 23rd in yards per game with 307.9. New York leans heavily on the passing game, ranking 8th in attempts and 17th in passing yards per game (219.2). On the ground, they are 28th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game, averaging 88.7.
Aaron Rodgers threw for 256 yards (28/42) and one touchdown in week 16 against the Rams, posting a passer rating of 90. Davante Adams led the team with 7 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown, while Breece Hall had 52 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Jets scored just 9 points, all in the first half, after putting up 15 points in the 4th quarter of their week 15 win over the Jaguars.
In the Jets’ 19-9 loss to the Rams, their defense allowed 132 rushing yards on 31 attempts, with Los Angeles gaining 4.3 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite giving up some yardage in the running game, the Jets held the Rams to 110 passing yards on just 14 completions. However, one of those completions was a touchdown. The Jets’ defense also struggled to get off the field, allowing the Rams to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
New York’s defense didn’t record any sacks in the game and allowed the Rams’ quarterback to complete 73.7% of his passes. However, they did manage to come up with one interception.
Are The Bills Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
With a 12-3 record, the Bills have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the AFC East. They are 4-0 in division games and 8-2 in conference play, putting them 2nd in the AFC standings. Buffalo is 7-0 at home and 5-3 on the road, and they are on a two-game winning streak heading into week 17, when they will host the Jets.
Buffalo is 9-6 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points. Their O/U record is also 9-6, with their games averaging 53.3 points compared to an average line of 47. In week 16, the Bills beat the Patriots 24-21 but didn’t cover the 14-point spread. The O/U line was 48, and the teams combined for 45 points.
Josh Allen had a passer rating of 67 in week 16, finishing with 154 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception on 16/29 passing. He had gone without an interception in weeks 14 and 15, throwing for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14, followed by 362 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 15. James Cook rushed for 100 yards on 11 carries in week 16 and also led the team in receiving with 26 yards on 3 catches.
Buffalo is 2nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 31.3 points per game. They rank 7th in the NFL in passing yards per game (233) and 9th in rushing, with 133.5 yards per game. On 3rd down, they convert 43.4% of the time, which ranks 7th in the league.
In their 24-21 win over the Patriots, the Bills’ defense gave up 253 passing yards and 126 rushing yards. New England finished with 379 total yards, but Buffalo managed to come out on top. The Bills allowed the Patriots to convert on 58.3% of their third down attempts and gave up two passing touchdowns.
Buffalo’s defense recorded two sacks and came up with one interception. The Patriots completed 61.1% of their passes against the Bills, and New England had a QB hit advantage of +2 in the game.