Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 12/5/24
The Lions are favored at -185 on the money line as they host the Packers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 5th at Ford Field in Detroit. Amazon is handling the broadcast, and the Lions are -3.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 51 points. The Lions and Packers both need to add to their records in this week 14 NFC North matchup.
GREEN BAY PACKERS VS DETROIT LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Green Bay Packers +3.5
This game will be played at Ford Field at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 5th.
WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:
- We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 29 to 24
- Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 51 points
Will The Packers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
With a 9-3 record, the Packers have a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs and rank 4th in our power rankings. Green Bay has won three straight games, including a 30-17 victory over the Dolphins in week 13. They covered the 3.5-point spread in that game, but the 47 combined points fell just short of the 47.5-point line.
Against the spread, the Packers are 6-6 this season, with an average scoring margin of +6.5 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with their games averaging 46.5 points compared to an average line of 45.5.
Heading into week 14, the Packers are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 7th in the NFL in points per game (26.5) and 3rd in yards per game (382.4). Despite being 29th in passing attempts, they are 8th in passing yards per game, averaging 233.9. On the ground, they rank 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game, with 148.5.
Jordan Love has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 129 in week 13, with 274 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Dolphins. He threw for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12 and had a 261-yard game in week 11. Josh Jacobs, who is dealing with a calf injury, had 43 yards on 19 carries in week 13. Tucker Kraft led the team in receiving in week 13, with 6 catches for 78 yards.
Despite allowing 336 passing yards to the Dolphins, the Packers’ defense played well in their most recent game, coming away with five sacks and holding Miami to 2 of 7 on third down. Green Bay won the quarterback hit differential by three and had six more tackles for loss than the Dolphins. The Packers’ defense also limited Miami to just 39 rushing yards on 14 attempts.
Although the Dolphins had 37 completions for 336 yards, Green Bay’s defense limited them to 17 points in a 30-17 Packers’ victory. Miami finished with an 80.4% completion percentage in the game.
Are The Lions Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
With 10 straight wins, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They are 11-1 on the season and have an 84.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit is 3-0 in division games and 7-1 in conference play. They are 6-0 on the road and 5-1 at home.
Against the spread, the Lions are 9-3, with an average scoring margin of +15 points. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Their games have averaged 48.8 points, with an average O/U line of 49.6.
Jared Goff has been consistent, posting a passer rating of 100 in week 13 against the Bears, with 221 yards and 2 touchdowns, following his 269-yard performance in week 12 and a 158 passer rating in week 11. Goff has not thrown an interception in his last three games. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team in receiving in week 13, with 5 catches for 73 yards, after his 161-yard, 2-touchdown game in week 11. David Montgomery rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries in week 13.
Detroit ranks 2nd in our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL with 31.9 points per game. They are 2nd in total yards per game (395.2) and 5th in passing yards (240.8), despite ranking 26th in passing attempts. The Lions are 4th in rushing yards per game, with 154.4, on 32.4 attempts per game. They are also 4th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.7% success rate.
The Lions’ defense gave up three passing touchdowns in their 23-20 win over the Bears, but they did come up with five sacks and held Chicago to just 51.3% completions. Detroit allowed just 78 rushing yards on 15 attempts, but the Bears still managed to average 5.2 yards per attempt. Overall, the Lions gave up 223 yards through the air.
Chicago converted on 46.7% of their third down attempts, and the Lions’ defense was able to create five sacks in the game. Even though Detroit gave up three passing touchdowns, their ability to get to the quarterback was a key factor in the win.