New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 12/8/24

The Dolphins are the heavy favorite in their week 14 matchup against the Jets, with their money line odds at -299. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, is being televised on CBS. The Jets’ money line odds are +241, and they are +6.5 point underdogs on the road. The over/under line is set at 45.5 points.

NEW YORK JETS VS MIAMI DOLPHINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Jets +6.5

This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK JETS:

• We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 29 to 19
• Not only do we have the Jets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 45.5 points

Will The Jets Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 14, the Jets are on a three-game losing streak, dropping their record to 3-9. This includes a 26-21 loss to the Seahawks in week 13, where they couldn’t cover the 1.5-point spread as the favorites. The combined 47 points in the game went over the 42-point line, marking the second straight over for New York.

With their playoff chances now at 0.0%, the Jets rank 20th in our power rankings. They are 3-9 against the spread this season and have failed to cover in three straight games. Their average scoring margin is -3.6 points per game.

Heading into week 14, the Jets rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 30th in yards per game with 291.3. Despite being 6th in passing attempts per game (35.6), they are 23rd in passing yards, averaging 204 per game. On the ground, they rank 29th in both rushing attempts and yards, with 21.3 attempts and 87.3 yards per game. New York is 12th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (39.6%) and 11th in red zone conversion percentage.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 185 yards (21/39) and 2 touchdowns in week 13, with one interception. The Jets scored all 21 of their points in the first half against Seattle. Breece Hall led the team with 60 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Davante Adams had 5 receptions for 66 yards and a touchdown. Before week 13, Rodgers had a passer rating of 114 in week 11, throwing for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Despite their 26-21 loss to the Seahawks, the Jets’ defense played well, holding Seattle to just 84 rushing yards on 23 attempts. They also recorded three sacks and limited the Seahawks to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. The Jets’ defense allowed 175 passing yards and 259 total yards in the game.

Are The Dolphins Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

After three straight wins, the Dolphins couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 13, falling to the Packers 30-17. This dropped Miami to 5-7 on the season, leaving them with just an 8.9% chance of making the playoffs. They currently rank 17th in our NFL power rankings and 9th in the AFC standings.

Against the spread, the Dolphins are 5-7, with an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game. Their O/U record is also 5-7, with their games averaging 41.5 points compared to an average line of 45.

Miami’s offense is currently ranked 20th in our NFL power rankings, and they sit 23rd in the league in points per game, averaging 19.3. They rank 19th in passing yards per game (217.8) and 22nd in rushing yards per game (110.3), while their 3rd-down conversion rate of 40.6% is 11th in the NFL. Tua Tagovailoa has been on a roll, throwing for 365 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 13 against the Packers, following his 317-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 12 and 288 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 11.

In week 13, Miami struggled to score early, putting up just 3 points in the first half, and finished with 17 points in the loss to Green Bay. They also struggled on 3rd down, converting only 4 of 14 attempts, but did go 2/4 in the red zone. Jonnu Smith led the team with 10 catches for 113 yards, and Raheem Mostert had 19 rushing yards on 5 carries.

In their 30-17 loss to the Packers, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 388 yards and 114 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Miami gave up 274 passing yards on 21 completions, with two passing touchdowns allowed. The Dolphins struggled to pressure the quarterback, finishing with no sacks and losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Miami’s defense had a tough time getting off the field, as the Packers converted on 45.5% of their third down attempts. Additionally, Green Bay averaged 9.8 yards per pass attempt in the game.