Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Pick & Prediction 12/8/24

On the money line, the Vikings are -228 as they prepare to host the Falcons at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Falcons and Vikings will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th, with the Vikings favored by -5 points. The over/under line is set at 46 points for this week 14 NFC matchup, which will be televised on FOX.

ATLANTA FALCONS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Falcons +5

This game will be played at U.S. Bank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th.

WHY BET THE ATLANTA FALCONS:

• We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
• Even though we like the Vikings to win, our ATS pick is to take the Falcons at +5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46 points

Will The Falcons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Atlanta heads into week 14 looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 17-13 home loss to the Chargers in week 13. This dropped the Falcons to 6-6, but they still hold the top spot in the NFC South thanks to a 4-1 division record. In our power rankings, Atlanta sits 18th, and they have a 49.2% chance of winning the division and a 52.5% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-7 and have failed to cover in three straight games. They were 0.5-point underdogs against the Chargers and couldn’t get the win. Their O/U record is 4-8, with the under hitting in four consecutive games.

Heading into week 14, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and are 8th in yards per game with 360.6. Atlanta is 4th in passing yards per game, with 242.8 on 33.8 attempts per game, and they sit 14th in rushing yards per game, averaging 117.8 on 27.2 attempts.

In week 13, Kirk Cousins threw for 245 yards but had 4 interceptions against the Chargers. Bijan Robinson rushed for 102 yards on 26 carries, and Ray-Ray McCloud III led the team with 95 receiving yards. The Falcons struggled on third down, converting just 3 of 14 attempts.

Despite their defensive effort, the Falcons lost 17-13 to the Chargers in their most recent game. Atlanta’s defense allowed just 131 passing yards and limited the Chargers to 187 total yards. The Falcons’ run defense held the Chargers to 56 yards on 17 attempts.

Atlanta’s defense also recorded five sacks in the game and held the Chargers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. However, the Falcons’ offense struggled to capitalize on their defensive performance, managing only 13 points in the game.

Are The Vikings Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With their 23-22 win over the Cardinals in week 13, the Vikings extended their winning streak to five games, bringing their record to 10-2. Minnesota is 5-1 both at home and on the road this season, and they rank 7th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 14. They have a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs, but their chances of winning the NFC North are just 10.0%, as they sit 2-1 in division play.

The Vikings are 7-4-1 against the spread, with a +6.5 average scoring margin. They are 3-0 ATS as underdogs and 4-4-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 43 points compared to an average line of 44.4.

Sam Darnold has posted three straight games with a passer rating over 100, including a 111.0 rating in week 13, where he threw for 235 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21/31 passing. He was sacked 5 times in that game, though. Justin Jefferson led the team with 7 catches for 99 yards against the Cardinals, while Darnold also led the team in rushing with 22 yards on 4 carries.

Heading into week 14, the Vikings rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game (24.8) and 13th in yards per game (344.6). Minnesota has been strong in the 1st quarter, leading the league with 7.1 points per game.

In their 23-22 win over the Cardinals, the Vikings’ defense gave up 406 yards, including 154 yards on the ground from 31 attempts (5.0 yards per attempt). Arizona completed 68.9% of their passes for 252 yards, with Minnesota allowing 1 passing touchdown. However, the Vikings’ defense came up with two interceptions and held the Cardinals to a 38.5% conversion rate on third downs. Minnesota’s defense also had one sack in the game.