New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 11/28/24

The Giants and Cowboys will face off on Thursday, November 28th at 4:30 ET on FOX. The Giants are +178 on the money line, and the Cowboys are favored by -212. This week 13 matchup features the Giants as +4 point underdogs on the road at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The over/under line is set at 37.5 points.
NEW YORK GIANTS VS DALLAS COWBOYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4
This game will be played at AT&T Stadium at 4:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS COWBOYS:
- We have the Cowboys winning this one by a score of 23 to 15
- Not only do we have the Cowboys winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
- Look for this game to go over the line of 37.5 points
Will The Giants Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
With their 30-7 loss to the Buccaneers in week 12, the Giants’ losing streak now stands at six games, dropping them to 2-9 on the season. New York ranks 32nd in our NFL power rankings and has a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-6 at home this year but are 2-3 on the road, including a week 5 win over the Seahawks. Since then, they have lost four straight, including a 20-17 loss to the Panthers in week 10 and a 27-22 loss to the Commanders in week 9.
New York is 3-8 against the spread this season and has failed to cover in six straight games. In week 10, they were 6.5-point favorites against the Panthers but lost by three. In week 12, they were 6-point underdogs against the Bucs, losing by 23. The O/U line for that game was 40 points, with the teams combining for 37. The Giants’ O/U record this season is 3-8.
Heading into week 13, the Giants rank 28th in our offensive power rankings and are 30th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 14.8 points per game. They are 24th in total yards, with 303.8 per game, and 28th in passing yards, despite being 8th in passing attempts. On the ground, New York ranks 19th in rushing yards per game, with 115.9, on 26.5 attempts per contest. The Giants are 17th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 14th in red zone attempts, converting 45.2% of their trips inside the 20 into touchdowns.
In week 12, the Giants were shut out for three quarters before scoring 7 points in the 4th quarter of a 30-7 loss to Tampa Bay. Tommy Devito threw for 189 yards on 21/31 passing, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. led the team with 42 rushing yards on 9 carries. Malik Nabers had 6 receptions for 64 yards. New York converted 5 of 11 3rd-down attempts and went 1/3 in the red zone.
In their 30-7 loss to the Buccaneers, the Giants’ defense struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record any sacks. The Giants allowed 294 passing yards and 156 rushing yards on 32 attempts (4.9 per attempt). Overall, the Giants gave up 450 total yards to Tampa Bay, and the Buccaneers averaged 9.8 yards per passing attempt.
Additionally, the Giants allowed Tampa Bay to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts, and they lost the tackles for loss differential by a margin of -3.
Are The Cowboys Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
With a 4-7 record, the Cowboys currently sit 3rd in the NFC East. After losing four straight, they bounced back in week 12 with a 34-26 win over the Commanders. Dallas entered the game as 10.5-point underdogs, but they came away with the win, snapping their losing streak. The O/U line was 44.5, and the teams combined for 60 points, marking the second straight game the over has hit in Cowboys games.
Heading into week 13, the Cowboys rank 31st in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-8 against the spread, with a -8.9 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 49.1 points per game.
Heading into week 13, the Cowboys rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.1 points per game (21st) and 323.2 yards per game (20th). They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (40.3), resulting in 240.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 8th. On the ground, they rank 29th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game, with 82.5. Dallas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 34.3% of their attempts, but they are 2nd in the league in red zone conversion percentage.
Cooper Rush threw for 247 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, going 24/32 against Washington. Rico Dowdle led the team with 86 rushing yards on 19 carries, while CeeDee Lamb had 10 receptions for 67 yards. Dallas scored 24 points in the 4th quarter after being held to 3 points through the first half. Lamb is dealing with back and foot injuries and is questionable for week 13.
In their 34-26 win over the Commanders, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 145 rushing yards on 25 attempts, including a 5.8 yards per attempt average. Despite this, they were able to force two interceptions and come up with four sacks. Washington finished with 412 total yards, but Dallas limited them to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. The Cowboys’ defense also allowed 267 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and a 65.8% completion percentage.