Arizona Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

ESPN+ will be covering this week 13 college football matchup between the Arizona Wildcats and the TCU Horned Frogs, set to kick off at 3:00 ET from Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth. The over/under line is currently 58.5 points, and the Horned Frogs are favored by -11.5 points. TCU comes in with a 6-4 record, while Arizona is 4-6 on the season.
ARIZONA WILDCATS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -11.5
This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium at 3:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE TCU HORNED FROGS:
- We have the TCU Horned Frogs winning this one by a score of 35 to 23
- Not only do we have the TCU Horned Frogs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 58.5 points
Will The Arizona Wildcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Arizona enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, holding a 1-3 mark on the road and a 2-3 record at home. They have a 6.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. So far, the Wildcats have been favored in five of their ten games this season.
Arizona’s ATS record stands at 2-7, with a 1-3 mark on the road and 1-4 at home. Their average scoring margin is -5.7 points per game, and they are 1-4 against the spread as the favorite.
This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points. Arizona’s average over/under line this season has been 54.6 points, and they have a 4-5 record against the over/under, with their games averaging 50.9 points.
Arizona’s offense is averaging 22.6 points per game, ranking 77th in the nation, and they are 79th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Quarterback Noah Fifita has thrown for 2,548 yards with 15 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. Arizona is 20th in passing attempts per game, averaging 35.9, and they are 38th in passing yards, with 256.2 per game.
Leading receiver Tetairoa McMillan has 1,136 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 69 catches. Arizona is 106th in rushing, averaging 116.1 yards per game. Quali Conley leads the ground game with 677 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.
Arizona’s defense is coming off a strong performance, allowing just three points in their win over Houston. They gave up 326 total yards, including 135 rushing yards on 34 attempts and 191 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
On average this season, Arizona’s defense has allowed 28.3 points per game. They rank 113th in rushing yards allowed per game (169.2) and 90th in passing yards allowed (220.3), with opposing quarterbacks completing 63.1% of their passes.
Are The TCU Horned Frogs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
TCU enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record and a 40th-place ranking in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% shot at winning the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 2-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season.
TCU has been favored in six of their ten games, going 3-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +5.6 points per game, and they have a 3-6 record against the spread.
The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. TCU’s games have averaged 60.8 points, with their over/under record at 6-3 and an average line of 60 points.
Heading into week 13, TCU’s offense ranks 26th in points per game, scoring 33.2, and they are 33rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 6th nationally with 329.6 yards per game. They are 10th in passing attempts and 7th in completions.
Josh Hoover leads the team with 3,233 passing yards and has a passer rating of 104. He has thrown 22 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Jack Bech, the leading receiver, has 982 yards and 9 touchdowns. TCU’s run game ranks 110th, averaging 113.8 yards per game.
TCU’s defense is currently ranked 66th in the nation, allowing 27.6 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 174.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 117th, and 186.5 passing yards, which is 36th in the country.
In their recent game against Oklahoma State, TCU’s defense allowed just 13 points, while giving up 369 total yards, including 136 rushing yards and 233 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.