Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

The 49ers are heavily favored at -293 on the money line as they get set to host the Seahawks at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The 49ers are -6.5 point favorites on the point spread. This week 11 NFC West matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 49.5 points.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Seattle Seahawks +6.5

This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS:

• We have the Seahawks winning this one by a score of 26 to 22
• Not only do we have the Seahawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Will The Seahawks Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 11, the Seahawks are on a two-game losing streak, including a 26-20 home loss to the Rams in week 9. This dropped Seattle to 4-5, leaving them 4th in the NFC West. They have a 2-1 road record but are just 2-4 at home. Our power rankings have the Seahawks 22nd, and they have a 6.3% chance of making the playoffs.

Seattle is 2-6-1 against the spread, with a -1.2 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 5-4, with the under hitting in their last three games. Seattle and the Rams combined for 46 points in week 9, falling short of the 48.5-point line.

Seattle ranks 20th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game (268.2) and rank 2nd in pass attempts per game (38.1). Geno Smith threw for 363 yards (21/34) and 3 touchdowns in week 9, but also had 3 interceptions and was sacked 7 times. Jaxon Smith-Njigba had a big game, with 7 catches for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns.

On the ground, the Seahawks rank 27th in rushing yards per game, with 91.2, and 25th in attempts. Kenneth Walker III had 83 yards on 25 carries in week 9. Seattle ranks 23rd in 3rd-down conversions, with a 35.2% success rate, and they scored 7 points in the 4th quarter against the Rams after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters.

In their 26-20 overtime loss to the Rams, the Seahawks’ defense allowed 298 passing yards and 68 rushing yards on 24 attempts. They gave up two passing touchdowns but did manage to intercept one pass, holding the Rams to a 23.1% third-down conversion rate. Seattle’s defense limited the Rams to a 56.8% completion percentage but struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

The Seahawks’ defense forced the Rams to settle for 26 points despite allowing 366 total yards in the game.

Are The 49ers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

After a week 7 loss to the Chiefs, the 49ers have bounced back with two straight wins, including a 30-24 victory over the Cowboys in week 8 and a 23-20 win over the Buccaneers in week 10. San Francisco was favored by 6.5 points against Tampa Bay but couldn’t cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 4-5. The 49ers have been favored in all of their games this season. Their O/U record stands at 5-4, with their games averaging 48.3 points compared to an average line of 46.6.

Heading into week 11, the 49ers rank 6th in our NFL power rankings and have a 49.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 35.7% chance of winning the NFC West. They currently sit 2nd in the division with a 5-4 record, including a 3-2 mark at home and 2-2 on the road. In division play, the 49ers are 1-2.

Heading into week 11, the 49ers are 6th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 25.9 points per game. They rank 2nd in passing yards per game (262.8) despite being 19th in passing attempts. Brock Purdy threw for 353 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10, posting a passer rating of 119. Jauan Jennings led the team with 7 catches for 93 yards against the Buccaneers.

San Francisco is 5th in rushing yards per game, averaging 149.7 yards on 30 attempts per game. Christian McCaffrey had 39 yards on 13 carries in week 10. The 49ers are 7th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 43.5% success rate, and they rank 22nd in red zone conversion percentage.

In their 23-20 win over the Buccaneers, the 49ers’ defense held Tampa Bay to 105 passing yards on just 18 completions. The 49ers’ defense also limited the Buccaneers to 110 rushing yards on 27 attempts. Despite this, the 49ers allowed one passing touchdown and a 62.1% completion percentage to Tampa Bay. San Francisco’s defense was effective on third downs, allowing just a 35.7% conversion rate, and they also recorded two sacks in the game.